wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 We continue to drop.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We continue to drop.. Yep, minus 3 as we approach Watertown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 EPS look good in long range, matches the GEFS. Looks like a clipper pattern which is by far my favorite winter pattern to be in. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 The GEPS look similar as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 How much I pay to see this lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: How much I pay to see this lol We take 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Anyone else going to the Bills and Jets game on the 29th. That storm has been dithering between absolutely nothing, pounding rain, and sometimes heavy snow and wind. I would love to see it trend towards the snowy outcome. At least the long range is showing signs of life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2019 Author Share Posted December 21, 2019 15 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Anyone else going to the Bills and Jets game on the 29th. That storm has been dithering between absolutely nothing, pounding rain, and sometimes heavy snow and wind. I would love to see it trend towards the snowy outcome. At least the long range is showing signs of life. Not yet, was waiting to see what the weather will be as we most likely rest our starters as it won't have an impact on anything if we lose tomorrow. If tickets are really cheap I'll probably go as a celebratory day of the Bills season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 8 hours ago, wolfie09 said: How much I pay to see this lol If the 330 hour GFS says it, it must be true. Lock it in! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Lol Wow does that suck. I mean you look up the word "sucks" in the winter weather dictionary, you get that image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 8 hours ago, wolfie09 said: How much I pay to see this lol Same time frame on the 6Z run, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 8 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Not yet, was waiting to see what the weather will be as we most likely rest our starters as it won't have an impact on anything if we lose tomorrow. If tickets are really cheap I'll probably go as a celebratory day of the Bills season. Yeah I bought these tickets early in the season. At one point this game could have been incredibly important (thankfully not though). But if the bills win today next week suddenly gets more interesting as the bills at least have a shot of winning the afc east. If the bills lose today next week will just be a snoozer. I could even see myself just eating the tix and staying home (unless there is interesting weather at the game). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Ugh. What a sh.. pattern. Right in time for Christmas. Highs near 50, Monday and Tuesday. Bye bye to the 4” we have. It’s gonna be at least after the first week of January before we have anything interesting. Looks like El Niño type crap. Ya never know, something could pop up. It’s been an active start! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Whatever happened to winters where there was a January thaw, and not 75 of them? Seems like the Raging Pacific has ruled the winter pattern for years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 Nice looking clipper pattern on the op gfs in the LR , as alluded to yesterday by buff..Lets we if it has any staying power lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 3 hours ago, rochesterdave said: Ugh. What a sh.. pattern. Right in time for Christmas. Highs near 50, Monday and Tuesday. Bye bye to the 4” we have. It’s gonna be at least after the first week of January before we have anything interesting. Looks like El Niño type crap. Ya never know, something could pop up. It’s been an active start! I don't see what you're seeing...its pretty much right around the first if the year we get into a wintery pattern...potato potatoe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: I don't see what you're seeing...its pretty much right around the first if the year we get into a wintery pattern...potato potatoe... Clippers are 90% crap for Roc. Unless they go through N Pennsylvania, we downslope and end up with cold, windy weather and bare ground. It DOES look more interesting for BUF and the Tug who benefit from a SW flow and clipper moisture. No interesting synoptic or retrograde stuff until week 2 of January. Retrograde systems are fantastic for the south shore and there were some hints of a pattern like that late in the cycle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 45 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Clippers are 90% crap for Roc. Unless they go through N Pennsylvania, we downslope and end up with cold, windy weather and bare ground. It DOES look more interesting for BUF and the Tug who benefit from a SW flow and clipper moisture. No interesting synoptic or retrograde stuff until week 2 of January. Retrograde systems are fantastic for the south shore and there were some hints of a pattern like that late in the cycle You know it's funny but I always perceive our CWA as a whole and forget how many micro climates we have upstate. I hope there's a giant ass noreaster that has NE winds and enough Atlantic moisture to pound Rochester with 2 feet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 21, 2019 Share Posted December 21, 2019 I still feel like BUF is due. Syracuse too. We’ve been pretty blessed in Roc (even if the airport exaggerates a touch). Merry Christmas everyone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 Is it to much to ask for maybe another 100 miles east here lol Granted still 8 days away..It looks to be the next storm potential.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 That was some game. What's with the sloppy tackling all of a sudden? They coulda, shoulda won. As usual. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Is it to much to ask for maybe another 100 miles east here lol Granted still 8 days away..It looks to be the next storm potential.. Just hope it doesn’t disappear and maybe gives us SOMETHING to track during the holiday week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 On 12/20/2019 at 3:57 PM, DeltaT13 said: I got 2 weeks off wanna see a storm or 2. Would be only present I want 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 Next Sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Next Sunday.. I like the euro solution lol! Gives me 6 inches 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 On 12/21/2019 at 12:52 AM, DeltaT13 said: Anyone else going to the Bills and Jets game on the 29th. That storm has been dithering between absolutely nothing, pounding rain, and sometimes heavy snow and wind. I would love to see it trend towards the snowy outcome. At least the long range is showing signs of life. Gfs has been very persistent on full cutter but doesn’t have much support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 Ugh. What a sh.. pattern. Right in time for Christmas. Highs near 50, Monday and Tuesday. Bye bye to the 4” we have. It’s gonna be at least after the first week of January before we have anything interesting. Looks like El Niño type crap. Ya never know, something could pop up. It’s been an active start! What a horrible post, lol! Not even remotely close to reality but it's time of forgiveness so I forgive you but Merry Christmas Dave, lol! Fun begins right after Christmas and especially the New Year so I'll stay positive during this upcoming holiday week. Pretty much a guaranteed white Christmas for us, dont know about the rest of the CWA but We'll be OK, just cause!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2019 Author Share Posted December 22, 2019 .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... The pattern starts to at least try to change as the long term progresses with a deep trough developing over the western CONUS. This eventually allows for Pacific moisture in southwest flow to advance toward the Great Lakes by late this week as the resident ridge gradually deamplifies and becomes more positively-tilted. A leading shortwave trough may start to work at the apex of the ridge by Thursday with the Canadian and ECMWF favoring this scenario. This would lead to less warm weather later in the week and wetter conditions, however the GEFS doesn`t favor this scenario and instead spins up a massive system for next weekend. Given the amount of time between now and these eventualities, a blended solution was favored with a modest decrease in warming late in the week. While the models don`t agree much between Thursday and then, there does see to be decent agreement on the next shot of Arctic air making its way toward the region by the end of next weekend. Granted, modeling systems all seem to be too aggressive with these types of situations, so it wouldn`t be all too shocking if it was delayed, but it certainly seems like the trend amongst global ensembles to favor troughing spreading east across North America beyond day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 22, 2019 Share Posted December 22, 2019 On 12/21/2019 at 8:33 AM, cny rider said: Wow does that suck. I mean you look up the word "sucks" in the winter weather dictionary, you get that image. Looks good to me, euro snows in the dacks, gfs big rain, cmc nothing. I favor GFS given it’s been kicking butt in the long range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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