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Upstate/Eastern New York


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Pretty much 90% PL here now.  Looks like the accumulation phase of Part 1 is over.  After midnight it may change back and we'll see how the models do with Phase 2.  Thusfar, the warmer ones have won, here.  NWP QPF probably going to make sense for Part 1, likely near 0.5" liquid by the time Part 1 dies out.

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Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said:

It just loves to taint here, Wow, its almost nuts that every synoptic event we have to worry bout mixing this far inland, WTF??

Almost has to taint when main SLP goes about 800 miles west of us.  I don't care what models say.  I had a sliver of hope we would hang on here looking at several models but they were all full of sh*t.  

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Is there a technical difference between PL and IP?  I used to think there might be a difference based on exactly how the hydrometeor is formed, but can't remember.  From a sensible standpoint there's not really a difference.  Just wondering, while we admire the taint...

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