rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 It’s gonna be close. Probably a miss but I’m watching this one! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Nam now getting into range.. NWS going with an inch or two for higher elevations.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2019 Author Share Posted December 12, 2019 The RGEM was by far the best model for the LES yesterday. All those high res models that had northtowns jackpot were wrong. ARW/NMM/WRF. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Navy has been inland run after run with the Tues system. The two models u expect suppressed are the farthest NW lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 If u look at the gfs , it was heading NE, possibly through nnj/SE NY before jumping north at the last second, I'm thinking due to some phasing with some northern stream energy.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 The 00z high res euro is still maintaining its southern trajectory, but did nudge ever so slightly NW from the 12z yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2019 Author Share Posted December 12, 2019 GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 A few decent members for sat-sun.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Hopefully we trend colder as we get closer .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Navy get an upgrade? Lol Couple years back this is off the coast of CC. But this year it's been in the"realm" of possibilities lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 31 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS If that were to hold serve then we would all mix for a period but snow accums could be significant with that or just SE of that line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 I’m telling ya. I’ve just had a feeling about this weekend. It’s a sneaky f... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 The models do great with placement but they still struggle with p-type. You get a storm, driving over 1” qpf, on the cusp, ya better stay alert. Elevation thing probably. But the big players are there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The models do great with placement but they still struggle with p-type. You get a storm, driving over 1” qpf, on the cusp, ya better stay alert. Elevation thing probably. But the big players are there. If you look at the models the Canadian high pressure is over Minnesota, not too far to our west. Once the winds switch to NW later Saturday I can see a more powerful low being able to tap into that airmass and changing every thing to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 One of the best tracks were gonna see this year.. Damn shame lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Turtle mode once it gets near Maine, which is our shot at some snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Late next could be great for roc to syr corridor for lake snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 And for Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 33 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: If you look at the models the Canadian high pressure is over Minnesota, not too far to our west. Once the winds switch to NW later Saturday I can see a more powerful low being able to tap into that airmass and changing every thing to snow Exactly. All the big players there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 21 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: One of the best tracks were gonna see this year.. Damn shame lol What a waste! The freaking H is there too!! This is what happens with crap indices? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Thermos aren’t too far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Thermos aren’t too far off. I think as we hit tomorrow this will become a little more clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Look at the wind direction, out of the south lol.. U wouldn't expect that with a system over the Delmarva.. Has something to do with that northern stream energy.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 37 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: One of the best tracks were gonna see this year.. Damn shame lol That's a nice track for WNY no way we rain with that setup. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 40 minutes ago, tim123 said: Late next could be great for roc to syr corridor for lake snow Yea looks great for Snowbelt areas but we're still 150hrs away lets not get too excited lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 That’s a good looking set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Not as good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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