Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,589
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Upstate/Eastern New York


 Share

Recommended Posts

Just now, tim123 said:

Cool storm to watch evolve. Think there will be some surprises good or bad. Especially when coastal form and interacts with ull in ohio

Yeah. A couple of the smart guys on the forum mentioned that yesterday. This storm is tricky. Roc has a DOUBLE challenge for forecasting: the front end p-type and later, the western cutoff. That fujiwara nonsense is way over my head (it probably happened once). Does the secondary tuck or is it a spread out mess? 
Tim, good point on heavy stuff changing sleet to snow- that’s what’s been happening up in Irondequoit. 
I know SE ROC is having a mess with frz rn

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Mesoscale Discussion 2184
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0445 AM CST Sun Dec 01 2019

   Areas affected...Portions of western/central PA...far western
   MD...and southwestern NY

   Concerning...Freezing rain 

   Valid 011045Z - 011645Z

   SUMMARY...Freezing rain, with rates in excess of 0.05 inch per three
   hours, will become increasingly likely through the morning.

   DISCUSSION...A band of precipitation being aided by strengthening
   low-level warm and moist advection will develop across much of the
   Mid-Atlantic this morning. This precipitation will overrun a
   residual near-surface sub-freezing layer that extends across much of
   the Northeast and into parts of western/central PA and the higher
   terrain of far western MD. As surface temperatures cool to the wet
   bulb temperature with continued low-level moistening, freezing rain
   will become increasingly likely across much of this region. Freezing
   rain rates in excess of 0.05 inch per three hours appear probable,
   although substantial ice accretion may be limited by near-freezing
   surface temperatures. Somewhat better potential for both higher
   rates and ice accretion will likely exist across the higher terrain
   of western PA/central and far western MD, where surface temperatures
   in the upper 20s to around 30 F should be present. With the
   exception of the higher terrain, freezing rain should gradually
   transition to rain from southwest to northeast across western PA
   through the morning as low-level warm advection continues.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

KBUF'S Aviation discussion does hit the freezing rain, sleet threat that could have a significant impact on airport ops...and there is  a Travellers Advisory posted for inclement conditions on untreated surfaces. 

Started snowing around 1030 as I was finishing up electrical repairs on my neighbors horse fence.  Good flake size almost since start.

Yuge flakes right now after a brief period of smaller dendrites.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Per the NWS they just upgraded to a winter storm warning for oswego county...6-12 inches..Wolfie i live within the city of oswego..do you think our location is a tad to far north to get into the real deformation banding zone that they are calling for down south closer to the syracuse area..i just didnt know if that westward jog on the models brought the heavier precip. further northwest to include the lake shore communities..how much you projecting snow amounts for us..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said:

 


90c9812621149f5f72d2d71ea173b3d2.jpg

Lot of ice on the leading edge of the wings and back off the flaps. Tricky flying weather today for sure!


.

 

My son flew back to get to his Navy base this morning at 6am out of KSYR.  I was originally groaning a month ago when I heard the flight time (I'm not a 4 a.m. person) but as events transpired, was a good plan.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TugHillMatt said:

Odd that BGM seems to have lowered the totals on their updated snowfall map.

Near Dunkirk now. Heavy rain and mid 30s. I will post updates as we trek east on the Thruway.

When you get here, you will witness a full fledged snowstorm that has just started and I'm sure you'll be a happy Camper! cause I am, and I never am, lol!!

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...