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52 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said:

Just cleared 8” of the heaviest snow ever...took 2 hours as opposed to 45 minutes. SouthEast Clarence. 

BUF should never have taken that Ads down. WSW criteria was met at your home and that's in northern erie county. It was definitely worthy of it for Northern erie, more so than southern erie.

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2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

BUF should never have taken that Ads down. WSW criteria was met at your home and that's in northern erie county. It was definitely worthy of it for Northern erie, more so than southern erie.

The amazing thing is the wrf model nailed this event...it had the bullseye well inland from the lake NE of the city. 

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Here's my skeptical call for Lake effect in Onondaga county.

Band stays north of us all night...then as the wind shirts northwesterly, it transitions and sets up to our south over the hills. I doubt we even see an inch. 

Freak looks to be getting in on some good action...or he's very close to it. Surprised he hasn't stopped in.

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********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

LOCATION          STORM TOTAL     TIME/DATE   COMMENTS
                     SNOWFALL           OF
                     /INCHES/   MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...Cattaraugus County...
   Perrysburg             1.8   515 PM 12/04  Co-Op Observer

...Erie County...
   Harris Hill            6.0   430 PM 12/04  Trained Spotter
   1 SW Ellicott          5.5   500 PM 12/04  CoCoRaHS
   Buffalo Airport        5.4   654 PM 12/04  ASOS
   1 W Colden             3.7   545 PM 12/04  Co-Op Observer
   3 SW Wales             2.8   545 PM 12/04  Co-Op Observer
   ENE East Aurora        2.1   628 PM 12/04  NWS Employee

...Jefferson County...
   Watertown              1.7   601 PM 12/04  Trained Spotter

&&
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1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said:

NWS discusses the LES potential next week as east of the lakes but a significant event looking likely at this time.

Yes I’m thinking next week the Southtowns are gonna be buried! Think the flow may be too Westerly to make it to the city/north towns but it’s still super early. At least we have something to track and look forward to. 

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16 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said:

Yes I’m thinking next week the Southtowns are gonna be buried! Think the flow may be too Westerly to make it to the city/north towns but it’s still super early. At least we have something to track and look forward to. 

Yeah at this juncture it looks to be deep southtowns. Oh well. We had our chance yesterday and we got a case of whoop ass instead.

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1 hour ago, wolfie09 said:

NWS calling for 1"-2" for the clipper (afd) but P&C showing 2"-6"..

Nam throws some 1/2" amount east of Ontario..

Track has bumped north a little with a track over/near Buffalo..

qpf_024h.us_ne (4).png

The warmest it gets..

namconus_T2m_neus_32.png

Rgem farther north, binging p-type issues into southern Oswego county..

rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_30.png

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40 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Much colder air will pour into the Great Lakes region Tuesday night
through Wednesday. This may allow heavy lake effect snow to develop
east of Lake Erie.

image.jpeg.d02f1bac7b8cd81fab73a055c0643f34.jpeg

Don't westerly winds focus on the boston hills southe to northern Chautauqua and Cattaraugus Co's???

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2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Don't westerly winds focus on the boston hills southe to northern Chautauqua and Cattaraugus Co's???

Winds look W/WSW right now. I'm usually on northern end of the band with west winds. Early season events usually go farther north then modeled too. Still too far out to judge winds as shortwaves can change mean wind direction and won't know that until 1-2 days before.

 

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alid Until 12:00pm, Thu, December 5

The national weather service in binghamton has issued a 

  • Snow squall warning for west central madison county in central new york, north central cortland county in central new york, southern onondaga county in central new york, 
  • Until noon est. 
  • At 1123 am est, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line extending from near watervale to la fayette to near kelloggsville. Hazard, extremely poor visibility in heavy snow. Source, radar indicated. Impact, dangerous life-threatening travel. Locations impacted include, syracuse, pompey, manlius, cazenovia, otisco, nelson, tully, fabius, watervale and la fayette. This includes the following highway exits, new york interstate 81 between 14 and 15, and near 16. Precautionary/preparedness actions, reduce your speed and turn on headlights! during snow squalls, the visibility may suddenly drop to near zero in whiteout conditions.
    18 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

    Just had heaviest snow of the year in Skaneateles for about 15 minutes or so. What a burst!

     

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HWO this far out?. BUF is ridiculous. LES in Erie county is the only thing they give a **** about. 

It’s been a slow start to the LES season, hope BUF gets some action. This far out, it’s impossible to figure on a wind direction. As others have said, S towns and Tug look interesting. But the through Wayne county in. 
Has SYR ever been last in the golden snowball? Don’t bet against them. Lol

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