vortmax Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 On 12/14/2019 at 1:47 AM, wolfie09 said: Sref 12 hr mean is 5" here.. Expand ROC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 U can see a little enhancement/wrap around east of Ontario.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Best 12 hr period for Rochester.. Yellowish color is pretty much 3".. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 It’s gonna be slushy but this will be a major Jeb walk with a beer time period! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Nam may darn be right with changeover time but it's probably throwing to much precip in the cold sector.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 We are getting NAM’d big time right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Nam is actually colder by 1 hr.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 HRR has a decent past job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 If NAM holds its 18z idea, I’ll feel much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Not loving the early part of the run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Still a good paste job Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Looks like we may already see a changeover by 1pm or so in WNY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 NAM similar time 18z. A tad East and a couple mbs higher. Ehhh. Still warning amounts in the non lake shore areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Solid 6 to 9 inches. More spread out too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 3 or 4 inches in ROC would be a huge win in my book. This is a tough setup and ratios will be like 8:1 so that’s still a lot of precip. Tempering my expectations because riding the NAM is a dangerous game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Hrrr has 7"-8" here , far from over yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Subtle warming at the 700 and 800. Noise? Or coming more in line with gfs? Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 On 12/14/2019 at 2:13 AM, DeltaT13 said: 3 or 4 inches in ROC would be a huge win in my book. This is a tough setup and ratios will be like 8:1 so that’s still a lot of precip. Tempering my expectations because riding the NAM is a dangerous game. Expand Yep give me 4” of paste and I’d definitely call it a win. Slowly putting together a nice strong start to the season. This event should put me over 30” on the season and it’s not even halfway through December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Take whatever we can get. But would be nice to get clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Foot for the tug on the NAM , I'm just outside it..Need to see the rgem improve.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 WWA for Roc! The situation continues to evolve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 On 12/14/2019 at 2:37 AM, wolfie09 said: Foot for the tug on the NAM , I'm just outside it..Need to see the rgem improve.. Expand Gonna be fun to see thus evolve esp since we are both on the bubble. Along with Freak. Who will be freaking with the rest of us as this evolves tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 On 12/14/2019 at 2:41 AM, DeltaT13 said: WWA for Roc! The situation continues to evolve Expand Almost every hour this thing improves! Scott Hetsko is now on board! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 If the SR models are correct, we will be getting some headlines by morning... Actually they are pretty much showing warning criteria.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Could the NAM pull this off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Double digits on the 3k as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 On 12/14/2019 at 2:52 AM, rochesterdave said: Almost every hour this thing improves! Scott Hetsko is now on board! Expand I don't even watch local weather. Just spit out nws forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Could ALL three of the Major Cities west of I 81 actually get hit by this? Looking like the Syracuse area may be able to get a couple inches. Won't help catch up anywhere close to the other two in the snowfall race...but hopefully it would be a start to maybe a wintry week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Rgem coming in warm again.. Ksyr 1" Kroc 1.4" Kbuf 6.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 On 12/14/2019 at 3:14 AM, wolfie09 said: Rgem coming in warm again.. Ksyr 1" Kroc 1.4" Kbuf 6.0" Expand Toss it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.