wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Rgem looks decent for wny.. I think the Ggem gives kbuf around 5" at standard 10-1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Look at the wind direction, out of the south lol.. U wouldn't expect that with a system over the Delmarva.. Has something to do with that northern stream energy..It all has to do with that H850 LP from the Northern Stream energy and its enormous, lol, but things can change, especially for us! Unfortunately everyone to our South and East is pretty much toastSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 That's a nice track for WNY no way we rain with that setup.You'll see, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 What a bomb on the gfs lol Gets down to 949mb.. Been watching this one from afar haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: What a bomb on the gfs lol Gets down to 949mb.. Been watching this one from afar haha Comes through here much weaker and as all snow...in fact I figure the GFS will come around on Monday night-Tuesday's little storm and a lot if what's being forecast looks to be white up until Christmas. Quite the change from about 1 week ago when it was cutter after cutter after cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Sure does look snowier on euro. 3 to 5 incher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Why’s the nws discussion still calling for .75” of rain across wny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 It's going to rain as well lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 6 minutes ago, tim123 said: Sure does look snowier on euro. 3 to 5 incher If this one comes in... I’m gonna feel great! Lol. It’s a classic set up. Minus the upper level low Freak mentioned (he’s usually right). Anyway, I’ve been on this sucker for several days now while every other met was downplaying. im looking forward to seeing how it rolls out. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Bristol Hills come in with over a foot. If it does stay a cold rain, as most expect, it’ll be such a freaking waste of the most ideal track for the Genesee Valley and East Buffalo burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 It’s interesting in that it’s either snow or rain. It’s not a sleet or frz type deal. Very much a Spring type storm. The 700 level looks ok. The 850 is on the cusp. Lower levels gonna suck. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Euro still weak and south for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Euro still weak and south for Tuesday. But definitely came further NW with the precip shield...i believe yesterday's 12z was complete whiff SE...also it shows a shortwave (Alberta clipper) for Wednesday that would bring some lake snows NE of the lakes for a bit. Too early for anything worthy, however if this run is like the 00z there were several Clippers giving is chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 The pre XMas storm, Cranky has been advertising for a week, looks more and more interesting. I’ll be in Philly. It could be a coastal but more likely run up the east spine of the Apps (does it get better?) according to Cranky. Something else to obsess over. Is it getting active? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 I know Wolfie already posted but damn if this doesn’t look like it’s trying to turn into something fun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 The longest lake effect band in history.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The longest lake effect band in history.. You can't see it but it's actually circling the globe and re-intensifying back over lake superior... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2019 Author Share Posted December 12, 2019 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The longest lake effect band in history.. If that happens I'll be chasing as i'm off next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Dynamic cooling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, vortmax said: That will change by tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 12, 2019 Author Share Posted December 12, 2019 Snow totals from yesterdays LES. I figured Elma had highest total. 11.5" https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Nam flips WNY over to snow by 1 pm Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 The NWS is not at all impressed with Saturday-Sunday especially at lower elevations..and they consider Monday night-Tues an open wave...huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Well, FWIW, around here, this December shaping up quite similar to last year. Which wasn't good for snow, and seems to remind of many similar ones in past decade. Less than 2" snowcover for the entire month last year, other than a 3-4" snowfall that hung around a couple days around 12/7 and then we had a stick save 5.5" Xmas eve into Xmas morning. After that, nada. This year, Ol Man Winter did us a solid to start the month but we've been bleeding out ever since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 3k nam pretty much the same, right around lunchtime Saturday, 12+ hrs earlier than the gfs.. Temps will be marginal even on the backside.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Couple degrees would turn this into a meaningful event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 51 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 3k nam pretty much the same, right around lunchtime Saturday, 12+ hrs earlier than the gfs.. Temps will be marginal even on the backside.. Hi-Res models picking up on that Dynamic cooling even the 18z RGEM has it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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