BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: Thats messed up The reason why lake effect is the best, look at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 No I'm stoked trust me. I wish this was stuck for 5 hours right where it's at. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Near airport Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Route 33 Galleria mall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 43 minutes ago, schinz said: I am sitting up at 1800 Feet on the Chautauqua Ridge at Peek N Peak wondering what my potential is here for the band as it sinks South later today? Amy ideas? You'll definitely get hit later, but the band will not be as intense as it was near Buffalo. It's also moving quickly and shear will impact it later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 The sun has come out at north campus. It took about 30 mins for the band to transit. There was a lot of wind, so it's hard to eyeball amounts, but it looks not more than an inch. So three inches for the whole event... in line with Buffalo NWS's low-end 10% probability. It's hard as hell to get sustained LES from downtown to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just heard thunder in Hamburg, snow has just started here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 minute ago, WNash said: The sun has come out at north campus. It took about 30 mins for the band to transit. There was a lot of wind, so it's hard to eyeball amounts, but it looks not more than an inch. So three inches for the whole event... in line with Buffalo NWS's low-end 10% probability. It's hard as hell to get sustained LES from downtown to the north. We had a good hit this past January when we received 65" at the Airport and almost 30" during the one event...( yes KBUF was just under 2 feet but I'm sticking by my measurement) so it's possible and as BW mentioned earlier all models look good for some more LES next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Wow winds shifted from 230 to 260 in 10 minutes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Band is slowing down a little as it drifts south. Convergence looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Lot of activity blossoming back over the central part of the lake. That little area over southern Ontario looks like it may pickup another smaller band to bring through? This is what the HRRR was showing!And where are the Roc guys? Looks like part of the band might make it all the way to the western burbs there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Some high gusts ...Cattaraugus County... Delevan 37 1225 PM 12/11 NYSM ...Chautauqua County... Dunkirk 43 1200 PM 12/11 Buoy Jamestown Airport 38 1204 PM 12/11 AWOS Fredonia 37 1205 PM 12/11 NYSM Dunkirk Airport 36 1038 AM 12/11 ASOS ...Erie County... Buffalo 47 1212 PM 12/11 NOS-NWLON Buffalo Airport 41 1234 PM 12/11 ASOS ...Genesee County... Batavia 36 1220 PM 12/11 NYSM ...Jefferson County... Cape Vincent 38 1150 AM 12/11 NYSM ...Niagara County... Niagara Falls Airpor 37 1138 AM 12/11 ASOS ...Ontario County... Clifton Springs 41 1220 PM 12/11 NYSM ...Wyoming County... Warsaw 36 1220 PM 12/11 NYSM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 34 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: We had a good hit this past January when we received 65" at the Airport and almost 30" during the one event...( yes KBUF was just under 2 feet but I'm sticking by my measurement) so it's possible and as BW mentioned earlier all models look good for some more LES next week. There's a heading from through KBUF to Clarence that can get a good sustained connection, and that often can hit downtown and parts of the east side. Genessee Street in Buffalo seems to be close to the northern limit. North of that, bands seem to be transient. Last January was the best LES I've seen since I moved here seven years ago, and that storm topped out at about 15" in the northern third of the city and northtowns (depending on if you consider the airport and vicinity part of the northtowns). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 minute ago, WNash said: There's a heading from through KBUF to Clarence that can get a good sustained connection, and that often can hit downtown and parts of the east side. Genessee Street in Buffalo seems to be close to the northern limit. North of that, bands seem to be transient. Last January was the best LES I've seen since I moved here seven years ago, and that storm topped out at about 15" in the northern third of the city and northtowns (depending on if you consider the airport and vicinity part of the northtowns). North Buffalo, Kenmore, Tonawanda, Northern Amherst are snow wastelands. That's a fact, just gotta accept it. Their annual is probably 70" per. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Band looks like its moving north last few frames. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Band looks like its moving north last few frames. Wow yeah it sure does! That’s a classic spot for bands to stall out... southern half of West Seneca, OP, Hamburg, EA... Very interesting!!!!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Band looks like its moving north last few frames. Definitely heading back north. Snow picking up in Lackawanna again.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Wow yeah it sure does! That’s a classic spot for bands to stall out... southern half of West Seneca, OP, Hamburg, EA... Very interesting!!!! . The band isn't too strong here, Elma is getting smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: North Buffalo, Kenmore, Tonawanda, Northern Amherst are snow wastelands. That's a fact, just gotta accept it. Their annual is probably 70" per. Oh no doubt, but looking at the Buffalo Blizzards book, it seems like a truly significant LES hits the northern part of the city every 5-7 years on average. The last storm of a high magnitude that had long residence north of downtown was October 2006, so it has been quite a drought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Just now, WNash said: Oh no doubt, but looking at the Buffalo Blizzards book, it seems like a truly significant LES hits the northern part of the city every 5-7 years on average. The last storm of a high magnitude that had long residence north of downtown was October 2006, so it has been quite a drought. I would count last year as high magnitude. They get quite a few events but it's tough to get a major storm there. A consistent SSW wind setup is extremely difficult for LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 8 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Wow yeah it sure does! That’s a classic spot for bands to stall out... southern half of West Seneca, OP, Hamburg, EA... Very interesting!!!! . This happens quite often when it drifts south. I think it has to do with the topography of the coast along with the southern portions hitting the boston hills. This was not modeled well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Elma had to get 4" in the last hour. They were under the highest returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: North Buffalo, Kenmore, Tonawanda, Northern Amherst are snow wastelands. That's a fact, just gotta accept it. Their annual is probably 70" per. Amen, I grew up in North Tonawanda. It was brutal always being just a handful of miles away from pure insanity. The Christmas week storm from 2001 was particularly rough to watch from the side lines (and we even got 2 feet or so, just nowhere near what Buffalo got). Fortunately, for most people thats a huge selling point to living in the North Towns, most people hate snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 This band is certainly creating strong wind gusts along its perimeter. Even as the scraggly end has edged towards my location in Rochester the winds have ramped up significantly, its very impressive. Lot of vertical motion in that thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Back to heavy snow here. Wow! I could understand a stall but there is clearly a slight northward jog going on right now! Lake Effect at its best right now!. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 Euro over the next 6 days.. Looks good for the higher elevations of the tug for Saturday night-sunday time frame, plus whatever it has for today.. Early next week system is a miss just to the SE which majority of the models show at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Blasdell Hamburgs cam is unavailable but very heavy snow right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Work window 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 11, 2019 Author Share Posted December 11, 2019 Near whiteout conditions now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 11, 2019 Share Posted December 11, 2019 46 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Amen, I grew up in North Tonawanda. It was brutal always being just a handful of miles away from pure insanity. The Christmas week storm from 2001 was particularly rough to watch from the side lines (and we even got 2 feet or so, just nowhere near what Buffalo got). Fortunately, for most people thats a huge selling point to living in the North Towns, most people hate snow. Where'd you grow up in NT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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