CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 I believe this snow has lasting power so what I fell the last week will be around for quite some time I. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 @WesterlyWx remember this chase? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: @WesterlyWx remember this chase? Let me know what tires you’ve got. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 My house is always open for chasers. It's too big for me and my wife. 2 extra bedrooms, just need to get beds in them. I'll sleep on the floor, and I'm dead serious, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 NAM within range! Can see the shortwave diving in lower superior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I believe this snow has lasting power so what I fell the last week will be around for quite some time I. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk I'm not so sure about that lol Kfzy forecast 40°+ for Sunday-tuesday with rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 My house is always open for chasers. It's too big for me and my wife. 2 extra bedrooms, just need to get beds in them. Man, I'll sleep on the ****in floor bro, I don't give a ****, just need pillows and a blanket!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 5 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Let me know what tires you’ve got. Lol Pirelli Cinturato P7 All Season Plus https://www.tirerack.com/tires/tires.jsp?tireMake=Pirelli&tireModel=Cinturato+P7+All+Season+Plus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just got the new Rainex silicone wiper blades too. The last pair I had were garbage, (forget the make) these are fantastic. Would highly recommend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 17 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: NAM within range! Can see the shortwave diving in lower superior. At that position I'm confused why the winds wouldn't be backing to SW or even SSW...any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: At that position I'm confused why the winds wouldn't be backing to SW or even SSW...any thoughts? It moves from that location almost due east. Keeps the winds WSW, I still think it makes it up to the Metro. Winds also veer on Thursday, but dry air moves in and cap lowers. But it has to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 The Icon looks terrible for lake effect with dry air and cap issues the entire time. I actually like this event much more for Ontario and the Tug then off Erie. But it is the Icon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Just looking at the forecast I can tell the NWS expects oscillating bands.. They have northern and southern part of the county at 70% pops from Tuesday night trough Wednesday night.. U can't have it both ways lol Big difference between w-wsw and nw-wnw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Ok, I apologize, but I am going to ask a stupid question. When considering wind direction for Lake Effect purposes, are we looking at surface wind direction, 700, 850 or 925? Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Good question I was wondering the same.. I'd always assumed at the surface.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Same for moisture is it 700 mb, 850 mb etc lol For example the 6z gfs was moist at 850mb but dry at 700mb.. I've always learned to look at 700mb for moisture and precipitation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 8 minutes ago, schinz said: Ok, I apologize, but I am going to ask a stupid question. When considering wind direction for Lake Effect purposes, are we looking at surface wind direction, 700, 850 or 925? Thanks. 700-850 MB- 5000-10,000 feet http://www.theweatherprediction.com/winterwx/lesnow/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 It varies depending on the instability. Nov 2014 had 20k cloud tops in event 1 and 15k in event 2 if I'm reading that correctly? @OSUmetstud From a climatological perspective, the storm had signs of an unprecedented event early on, with historical analogs and climatological ensembles pointing to a rare if ever seen event over a 30 year climatology. 500 mb temperatures eventually dropped to -42C on the KBUF sounding Tuesday evening. With lake temperatures around 9C, lake induced equilibrium levels exceeded the 500mb temperature and maxed out near 20000'. Further up in the atmospheric column, the 200mb heights were lower than anything in recent memory. The more traditional 850mb temperature value of -15C was also on the lower edge of the climatological spectrum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 That link above is fantastic for people learning about LES. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 hour ago, rochesterdave said: Good to know. I’ve just had these Bridgestones (Dueller HT Alenza) in slush and ice and can honestly say they suck. On dry, they’re amazing. Quiet, smooth and save me 2-3 mpg from the beefy off roaders.. So it’s pick ur poison. Great in the stuff or nice on the road. Your truck looks like a beast. Jesus Christ! That thing is worth more than my house! It's a rather large truck lol. Diesel f-350 long bed with 4 full doors which makes makes the thing a beast in the snow. Looking at those bridgestones and can see they aren't the best for snow. My cooper tires had a ton of road noise that I wasn't a fan of and come spring time I'm going to get a set of highway tires for the spring/summer/fall then throw my goodyear tires on for the winter/snow plowing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Pirelli Cinturato P7 All Season Plus https://www.tirerack.com/tires/tires.jsp?tireMake=Pirelli&tireModel=Cinturato+P7+All+Season+Plus Those are the same tires I have on my Cruze. It’s a little tank in the snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 I just bought these bad boys this week! I also chose to stud them because I’ve noticed some difference on truly icy roads (and they sound and look cooler, haha). I have separate rims for each so it’s relatively easy to change between seasons. Dedicated snow tires are a game changer. The rubber is softer in cold conditions and the additional sipes really grab the snow. I also add about 500lbs of sand bags in the bed during big storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: That link above is fantastic for people learning about LES. Yes, thanks so much!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 7, 2019 Author Share Posted December 7, 2019 28 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Those are the same tires I have on my Cruze. It’s a little tank in the snow! Yeah they are fantastic. With AWD they truck through pretty much everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 My wife has continental terraincontact A/T on her Xterra Pro 4 x. https://www.tirerack.com/tires/tires.jsp?tireMake=Continental&tireModel=TerrainContact+A%2FT&partnum=77SR8TCATOWL&vehicleSearch=true&fromCompare1=yes&autoMake=RAM&autoYear=2017&autoModel=2500 4WD Crew Cab&autoModClar=LT275%2F70-18 or LT285%2F60-20 i found them to quiet on the highway and nothing has stopped it whether it’s mud or snow. AT tires usually suck at something and good at everything else. These are good at everything. This truck also has a rear locking diff and really matters. I have a Ram 2500 with the standard transforce highway tire. Everyone says they suck and they might in fact suck, but they are good on the highway and I haven’t had any issues with the 4wd on so far. I tow a snowmobile trailer up by the tug so I’ve seen some crap. I am thinking once the front wheels are engaged all the engine weight and cab weight make up for marginal tires. I am tempted to get the continentals. I need 2 new tires and it’s cheaper to put the transforce back on instead of a set of 4 new continental tires. I wonder which vehicle is the better as a snow chase vehicle. The xterra is pretty insane 4wd with the lockers especially. It’s light and maneuverable. The ram has a much higher clearance and is very very planted and gives confidence. But if the ram goes off the road somehow, it could be 7500lb problem. Hmmm. No matter what these vehicles are pretty able. I got some ideas about testing them. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Gfs is mainly a Westerly flow from Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday evening, with variations of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 43 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: My wife has continental terraincontact A/T on her Xterra Pro 4 x. https://www.tirerack.com/tires/tires.jsp?tireMake=Continental&tireModel=TerrainContact+A%2FT&partnum=77SR8TCATOWL&vehicleSearch=true&fromCompare1=yes&autoMake=RAM&autoYear=2017&autoModel=2500 4WD Crew Cab&autoModClar=LT275%2F70-18 or LT285%2F60-20 i found them to quiet on the highway and nothing has stopped it whether it’s mud or snow. AT tires usually suck at something and good at everything else. These are good at everything. This truck also has a rear locking diff and really matters. I have a Ram 2500 with the standard transforce highway tire. Everyone says they suck and they might in fact suck, but they are good on the highway and I haven’t had any issues with the 4wd on so far. I tow a snowmobile trailer up by the tug so I’ve seen some crap. I am thinking once the front wheels are engaged all the engine weight and cab weight make up for marginal tires. I am tempted to get the continentals. I need 2 new tires and it’s cheaper to put the transforce back on instead of a set of 4 new continental tires. I wonder which vehicle is the better as a snow chase vehicle. The xterra is pretty insane 4wd with the lockers especially. It’s light and maneuverable. The ram has a much higher clearance and is very very planted and gives confidence. But if the ram goes off the road somehow, it could be 7500lb problem. Hmmm. No matter what these vehicles are pretty able. I got some ideas about testing them. I don't have any experience with the transforce but I did have a set of bfgoodrich commercial T/A's and those were nice on the highway and I even had them on for a year of snow plowing and they did ok. Biggest thing i found was I had to go into 4 wheel drive more often then other tires. Locking rear diff is nice, I have a limited slip rear end on my f350 and it's pretty crazy how much traction you get when it engages. My buddy has a newer f350 that has a locking rear but he says he hasn't even used it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 Those winds might back all the way SW for a time on Wednesday, Canadian model pretty good at picking up those subtle shortwaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: @WesterlyWx remember this chase? That's dry powder bro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 I just picked up Nokian Nordman 7s with studs. Tank. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now