wolfie09 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 New map for tomorrows system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Nah, we got nothing today, except a bunch of graupel in December, lol, cant even get a band to get established because it's too warm, simply pathetic, seriously! The Tug has to be running a huge deficit right now that's a guarantee as Albany has more snow than Redfield, lol!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 24 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Already at 70% pops for Tues night into Weds Hell at this far range I'll accept almost 50% @ KBUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Hell at this far range I'll accept almost 50% @ KBUF Yes, at this range so much can happen with regards to so many factors that will ultimately determine who gets how much that it seems very safe to follow the generic wording KBUF is in their long range. "The magnitude and depth of the cold air, available moisture, and position of upper level features all look to be FAVORABLE FOR A SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT east of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Obviously at this time range specifics are not possible in terms of location and amounts. Stay tuned." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 23 hours ago, CNY_WX said: Does anybody really expect Albany to win this? Remember the Washington Nationals started out slow too. Link to this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, tim123 said: Link to this? http://Goldensnowball.com 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Roc is over 25 now. According to climate report as of 1 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: New map for tomorrows system. Where's the WWA or HWO for this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 On 12/4/2019 at 5:04 PM, CNY_WX said: Does anybody really expect Albany to win this? Remember the Washington Nationals started out slow too. Well of course not. Albany never has won and never could win. It's fun to see them on top for a few days though as its virtually unprecedented for them to ever have the lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Well of course not. Albany never has won and never could win. It's fun to see them on top for a few days though as its virtually unprecedented for them to ever have the lead. They kinda won it back in 1947-48.Albany 90.0”Buffalo 42.1”Rochester 75.5”Binghamton and Syracuse did not have official record keeping sites that were recognized by the NWS at the time however.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 5, 2019 Author Share Posted December 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: They kinda won it back in 1947-48. Albany 90.0” Buffalo 42.1” Rochester 75.5” Binghamton and Syracuse did not have official record keeping sites that were recognized by the NWS at the time however. . Those snow totals for the 1940s were abysmal. I know Buffalo had the recording station at the upper Niagara river, where was Rochesters recording station? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 5 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: I'm worried we end up with a rain snow mix and don't accumulate well at all. A number of models hinting at that. RGEM, GFS. If this could track even 25 miles further south it’d make all the difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Noticed on the 18z GFS that the system we were drooling over on the 6z run is now a giant cutter...again...im hoping this isn't a precursor of last year's cold to mild to cold to mild save for the 2 week stretch in the second half of January last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 7 hours ago, rochesterdave said: HWO this far out?. BUF is ridiculous. LES in Erie county is the only thing they give a **** about. It’s been a slow start to the LES season, hope BUF gets some action. This far out, it’s impossible to figure on a wind direction. As others have said, S towns and Tug look interesting. But the through Wayne county in. Has SYR ever been last in the golden snowball? Don’t bet against them. Lol I ruined it for SYR when I put my address here...……………………….. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Noticed on the 18z GFS that the system we were drooling over on the 6z run is now a giant cutter...again...im hoping this isn't a precursor of last year's cold to mild to cold to mild save for the 2 week stretch in the second half of January last winter. Winters of this decade... Every system this year so far has ended up farther north than forecasted as well. If in doubt this decade...it's wagons north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 That cutter will be giving somebody a lot of lake effect snow (as of now) , even if most of it misses me to the north, I welcome the opportunity lol Tired of seeing a NW flow. Only a couple people on this board welcome a west-wsw flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 37 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Noticed on the 18z GFS that the system we were drooling over on the 6z run is now a giant cutter...again...im hoping this isn't a precursor of last year's cold to mild to cold to mild save for the 2 week stretch in the second half of January last winter. Not on the gfs ensmebles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 6, 2019 Author Share Posted December 6, 2019 11 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That cutter will be giving somebody a lot of lake effect snow (as of now) , even if most of it misses me to the north, I welcome the opportunity lol Tired of seeing a NW flow. Only a couple people on this board welcome a west-wsw flow. That's because 90% of the posters on here live around Syracuse somehow. WNY has a million people and 5-6 posters on here. The predominant sentiment I get via FB is that 99% of the people in Buffalo hate the snow. They need to learn to embrace the season since its the most wintry big city on the eastern portion of America. Me and you get hit with a similar wind direction. W/WSW. Onondaga has a higher pop. then I thought 465k vs Erie countys 925k. People in Buffalo need to embrace it like those in Syracuse do. Also didn't realize 6,000 people moved into Erie County from 2010 to 2017. That's pretty shocking, really shows how the city is being revitalized and why housing prices are sky high right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Rochester is the snowiest big city in america. All depends on what's considered a big city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 51 minutes ago, tim123 said: Rochester is the snowiest big city in america. All depends on what's considered a big city. That depends on the year...;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Those snow totals for the 1940s were abysmal. I know Buffalo had the recording station at the upper Niagara river, where was Rochesters recording station?Buffalo moved record keeping from downtown out to the airport in 1943. Just love this book.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Noticed on the 18z GFS that the system we were drooling over on the 6z run is now a giant cutter...again...im hoping this isn't a precursor of last year's cold to mild to cold to mild save for the 2 week stretch in the second half of January last winter. Are we talking about the wind storm on Tuesday, cause that’s what I’m tracking. Haha. It’s losing a little steam but has maintained enough juice in the last two runs to still be a full on high wind warning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Only way to have high winds is with snow. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Some additional LES somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 3 hours ago, tim123 said: Rochester is the snowiest big city in america. All depends on what's considered a big city. The siting of the official recording for a city is far more arbitrary than a population cutoff. And it’s not just an issue that affects cities in New York — I’m pretty sure that Grand Rapids would be a Golden Snowball-level competitor if their NWS office was located a few miles west of downtown, instead of a few miles east of downtown. Either population counts or it doesn’t. If you draw the line at Rochester — a midsized city with a largely rural “metro” area that includes six counties and somehow extends all the way down to Penn Yan — then why not count Oswego or Jamestown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 4 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: They kinda won it back in 1947-48. Albany 90.0” Buffalo 42.1” Rochester 75.5” Binghamton and Syracuse did not have official record keeping sites that were recognized by the NWS at the time however. . Until 1950 weather observations for Syracuse were taken downtown. After 1950 observations were moved to Hancock Intl. Airport which is about 10 miles north of the city. More snow generally falls north of downtown so most of Syracuse’s record are post 1950. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Way I see it western central ny a population of about 3 million is the snowiest populated region in the northern hemisphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 Only region in the world I can think of is northern japan that has more snow and more population. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: Until 1950 weather observations for Syracuse were taken downtown. After 1950 observations were moved to Hancock Intl. Airport which is about 10 miles north of the city. More snow generally falls north of downtown so most of Syracuse’s record are post 1950. So far this year, most of the minimal lake effect snow events have been centered over the West-central portion of the county around Camillus to Solvay...which is the area I would expect to get the least LES in the Syracuse area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 6, 2019 Share Posted December 6, 2019 5 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: So far this year, most of the minimal lake effect snow events have been centered over the West-central portion of the county around Camillus to Solvay...which is the area I would expect to get the least LES in the Syracuse area. I’m newer to the area but here in skaneateles we have cashed in on all of them so far - and this is counter to the last two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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