Syrmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 11 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Back to snow here. Crazy weather. Same here, it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I'd say 4 to 8 west to east in roc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Well that was interesting. I went outside to check conditions (back to snow) and literally just saw the town plow clowns whack my mailbox. Is the B Team on for the holiday weekend?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Delta, thoughts on Monroe county? I saw earlier 2-4”. You still there or more optimistic? Point and Click gave a big jump to 6-10. I’m a bit hopeful we get into a back side band overnight. Staying at my folks in Pittsford to get as close as I can. I still like 2-4 still, especially for the west side. Will definitely see more east. We are going to see a plume or snow materialize over the fingerlakes soon as the mid level vorticity and lift interacts with the Atlantic moisture from new low. The western edge will have a brutal cut off. I definitely don’t like my position but we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 New snowfall map. 350 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just under 5" as of 4pm, not doing much of anything at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Also, as a quick aside. The fugiwhara effect should have never been mentioned (by whoever it was on the other forum) as this is not an example of it at all. The fugiwhara effect is when two separate low pressure systems approach each other and interact by rotating about each other. What we are seeing on the east coast with this storm Is more akin to a tornado with multiples mesoscale vortices. There is one large area of lift and energy that has localized areas of enhanced convective activity. This creates a broad area of low pressure with smaller meso lows that are slowly consolidating around the strongest area of lift. I can see how it could be confused but it’s not the same. Anyway. we want the primary area of lift to consolidate just off NYC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Just under 5" as of 4pm, not doing much of anything at the moment.. That’s pretty impressive. We have maybe 3/4 of an inch of pure sleet here. The density is incredible. Can still see grass though, boooo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Sitting at 33 degrees here, so that stinks. Need to get under the influence of the new low to draw down some colder air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 **Latest Snowfall Totals thru Mon Night*** 10 - 16 inches of snow becoming more likely. Areas could see 2 in / hr. Travel could be very dangerous to impossible Stay safe everyone. Dave Nicosia Warning Coordination Meteorologist NWS Binghamton, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Sitting at 33 degrees here, so that stinks. Need to get under the influence of the new low to draw down some colder air. We're at 30.2 right now in Ontario. Been steady for 2 hours now. Parachutes falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Severe thunderstorm warnings in wester pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Rest of the Storm on the rgem.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 That same model has 7"-8" for freak and Max by 0z lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 All sleet with just enough snowflakes mixed in to keep me optimistic for an imminent change over....all day long. Bottomed out at 12° last night and topped out at 28° today. Down to 26° and light sleet ongoing at 4:45pm. Patiently waiting for the transition back to snow but this warm air aloft seems fairly robust/persistent in our neck of the woods. We’ll see what the night/morning brings but I have to admit that several models did a pretty good job showing an area of lower snow accumulations extending northward just reaching into our area for at least the last two days. We probably missed out on a solid 4-6” today if it had been all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Gfs is interesting.. Doubt it can locate the bands lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Precip starting to blossom. You can see where things are starting to set up on radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I arrived home to a 4 to 5 inch snow/ice pack north of Bville. It is heavy.... snowblower was struggling with the plowed stuff at the end of driveway. Already a huge pile there with how sleet/snowpack mounds up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Started as a few flurries late this morning, and didn't start picking up until after 1PM here in ENY. Snow's been moderate to heavy, at times, the past couple of hours. Probably a couple of inches out there now with temps in the low 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 25 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: That same model has 7"-8" for freak and Max by 0z lol... I can buy 7-8" total for storm. Other than that...No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I arrived home to a 4 to 5 inch snow/ice pack north of Bville. It is heavy.... snowblower was struggling with the plowed stuff at the end of driveway. Already a huge pile there with how sleet/snowpack mounds up. I was thinking about snowblowing this goop but its windy and frankly, i think we get another 3-4" of lighter density snow on top so not a problem. That's my theory anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 35 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: **Latest Snowfall Totals thru Mon Night*** 10 - 16 inches of snow becoming more likely. Areas could see 2 in / hr. Travel could be very dangerous to impossible Stay safe everyone. Dave Nicosia Warning Coordination Meteorologist NWS Binghamton, NY No. 4-8" looks about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I was thinking about snowblowing this goop but its windy and frankly, i think we get another 3-4" of lighter density snow on top so not a problem. That's my theory anyway. You're probably right. It will probably redevelop too late for us to get to a foot. Models may show it....but I am skeptical, just as I was about us staying all snow. I am slowly learning to just accept that it rarely works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Sort of like how the HRRR is showing us only getting 3 more inches? Color me shocked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, TugHillMatt said: You're probably right. It will probably redevelop too late for us to get to a foot. Models may show it....but I am skeptical, just as I was about us staying all snow. I am slowly learning to just accept that it rarely works out. We could get a foot or so, not impossible but i've been suspicious of a lot of modeling showing an extended period of what looks like light to moderate snow redeveloping and *somewhere* there will be some heavier blobs...doesn't even look like banding. That's what has me suspicious of more than 6-10". I'd like to see a pivoting of the WAA band to form a solid deformation band and explosive slp development. Instead, some other sort of magical processes, inverted trough, etc., will occur with a weakling slp somewhere SE of SNE to produce large snow amts... somewhere. It even has precip pulling SE as Monday grinds on. If we had clear lake enhancement i'd feel more confident. We'll see, they're all different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Syrmax said: We could get a foot or so, not impossible but i've been suspicious of a lot of modeling showing an extended period of what looks like light to moderate snow redeveloping and *somewhere* there will be some heavier blobs...doesn't even look like banding. That's what has me suspicious of more than 6-10". I'd like to see a pivoting of the WAA band to form a solid deformation band and explosive slp development. Instead, some other sort of magical processes, inverted trough, etc., will occur with a weakling slp somewhere SE of SNE to produce large snow amts... somewhere. It even has precip pulling SE as Monday grinds on. If we had clear lake enhancement i'd feel more confident. We'll see, they're all different. Good discussion. Radar to me looks weak as well. Things pulling off quickly to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Lake enhancement could save a storm like this. Just too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Our 1 inch of sleet today counted as snow. Lol so atleast it pads the stats. 18.8 for year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 .50 precip. So 2 to 1 ratio. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Radar starting to look promising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now