203whiteout Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Was North of Holyoke, MA last night driving back to coastal Fairfield County, CT and WOW, What a sharp gradient N to S in CT! 1-2 feet north of Hartford. Few inches south of city and about a coating to an inch on coast! Fairfield county has been absolutely ripped off last few years. Almost like becoming the new norm. It’s sad.. Congrats to our neighbors to the North! Enjoy it. Snow breeds snow, and it’s early! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, Greg said: There must be a lesson to learn here on when and how to read models. Medium Range vs. Short Range and when to use which one for the best analysis. Is it atmosphereic pattern dependent when it comes to which ones work best? Short ranges are usually money. Not this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Still steady light snow with dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Hrrr was Terrible. Usually that model kind of latches onto trends, but not this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Hrrr was Terrible. Usually that model kind of latches onto trends, but not this time. It latched on to that convection and never let go. Might be something to keep in mind when dealing with mid level related snowfalls going forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr was Terrible. Usually that model kind of latches onto trends, but not this time. Did for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: It latched on to that convection and never let go. Might be something to keep in mind when dealing with mid level related snowfalls going forward. Mid level rule worked well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, Greg said: There must be a lesson to learn here on when and how to read models. Medium Range vs. Short Range and when to use which one for the best analysis. The lesson is to couple model analysis with meterological intellect. We had a huge upper low passing beneath sne, and while guidance occasionally remained east with best forcing right up until go time, we know that that usually verifies a bit west of guidance. We also know that heaviest precip is normally somewhat west of modeled qpf max. Models are much better at resolving low level forcing, but still struggle tremendously with forcing in the mid levels. I'm glad I went big and nailed it. I remember insisting to scooter yesterday that we should get it, however I got so nervous last night that I finally just set the alarm for 4am and crashed. That was almost as good a call as the forecast. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said: It latched on to that convection and never let go. Might be something to keep in mind when dealing with mid level related snowfalls going forward. This was like the mid level magic event of VD day 2015, just not quite as prolific. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Great last Band over me right now. Love it. I will measure the final total when this last band is totally done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 @ Lunenburg. The guy had to add that .1 on there to come in on top 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Mid level rule worked well I had my little hissy fit before logging on to actually see the meso page last night. Seemed pretty obvious it would be a nice little 3-6" event despite the models being out to lunch. Follow 700-850 track, and it was pretty textbook actually. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 I think the 32” was New Ipswich 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Really nice mid level magic as we speak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said: I had my little hissy fit before logging on to actually see the meso page last night. Seemed pretty obvious it would be a nice little 3-6" event despite the models being out to lunch. Follow 700-850 track, and it was pretty textbook actually. Bingo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 6 hours ago, Dr. Dews said: 15.8" multi-day total, roughly 13.5" depth. Snowing 1"/hr 18.6" at 12:30pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I think the 32” was New Ipswich That is my guess....perfect eastern ridge to maximize easterly inflow..Jaffrey close second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The lesson is to couple model analysis with meterological intellect. We had a huge upper low passing beneath sne, and while guidance occasionally remained east with best forcing right up until go time, we know that that usually verifies a bit west of guidance. We also know that heaviest precip is normally somewhat west of modeled qpf max. Models are much better at resolving low level forcing, but still struggle tremendously with forcing in the mid levels. I'm glad I went big and nailed it. I remember insisting to scooter yesterday that we should get it, however I got so nervous last night that I finally just set the alarm for 4am and crashed. That was almost as good a call as the forecast. Lol Well last night in particular models had like 1” QPF not even 24 hours earlier. I’m not talking about the stuff yesterday. I mean last night. It was definitely more tame, but a good event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Well last night in particular models had like 1” QPF not even 24 hours earlier. I’m not talking about the stuff yesterday. I mean last night. It was definitely more tame, but a good event. I mean last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 There’s 2 no fails for big snows in SNE. #1 Deep easterly inflow and Ginx posted it days ago #2 ULL south of LI. Whenever those two are both present there will be BIG totals and if one or the other is present there will be minimally a moderate snowfall. Remember that that that were making love to little snow model runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Wow..pouring snow. Best of rd 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wow..pouring snow. Best of rd 2 Same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Yup-best snow of the day so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 This snowfall is exactly twice as large as the largest snowfall last year in my area. The 7.5" in November of 2018 was the largest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Just now, Sugarloaf1989 said: This snowfall is exactly twice as large as the largest snowfall last year in my area. The 7.5" in November of 2018 was the largest. How much did you get this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hrrr was Terrible. Usually that model kind of latches onto trends, but not this time. It nailed the band in west central/central CT last evening Spot On however. So it did well here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: It nailed the band in west central/central CT last evening Spot On however. So it did well here. It did well there. But for whatever reason did not like to wrap snows back in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 Fire dept slant sticked 22" in Lowell at 11:30. No way, lol. I measured about 18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: It nailed the band in west central/central CT last evening Spot On however. So it did well here. Just now, CoastalWx said: It did well there. But for whatever reason did not like to wrap snows back in. Well, it was triggered by two completely different things. That's probably why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 3, 2019 Share Posted December 3, 2019 31* and SN- here in South Portland 6.3" measured at 1PM - that's new since 7AM 10.8" for the two-day total Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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