Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 50 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: But again, is this really so far from what we normally see? To me, punting late December has been pretty much the norm for the last 7 or 8 years, right? (and even historically we seemed to have to punt that part of the month more!) When it comes to punting any kind of snow, this region is the Ray Guy of December!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 This Snowchaser fellow sure lives up to his name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 clearly the reminders about no banter in the mid-LR thread is going unnoticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: somebody spike Bobs egg nog before he goes all last year on us again Yeah, he might be tempted to kick puppies again!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted December 17, 2019 Author Share Posted December 17, 2019 On 12/17/2019 at 2:43 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Yeah, he might be tempted to kick puppies again!! That's @stormtracker. @Bob Chill has the bunny-strangling issue. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, George BM said: That's @stormtracker. @Bob Chill has the bunny strangling issue. Oh, that's right...you are correct now that I think of it! I'm getting my cute animals mixed up here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 This has been such a crappy December- cold rain and fog every day. I'd take December 2015 's megatorch over this any day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: This has been such a crappy December- cold rain and fog every day. I'd take December 2015 's megatorch over this any day. Oh heck no....the only reason I can look past that mega torch is because of the compensation we got for it the next month, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oh heck no....the only reason I can look past that mega torch is because of the compensation we got for it the next month, lol I feel like we have had more mega of mega torches in the past than what is modeled now. This doesn’t look like a mega torch. AN sure and no snow certainly but not 70s. That’s my benchmark for mega. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 19 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Oh heck no....the only reason I can look past that mega torch is because of the compensation we got for it the next month, lol I can’t wrap my head around people who prefer 30’s and rain over 60’s and sun, even if it’s December. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Bob Chill said: Yea, I don't see anything that leads me to believe a good winter pattern is on the way within the next 2 weeks and who knows what the "improved pattern" will look like whenever it gets here. 12z eps is pretty bad. One of the worst runs yet lately. Time to put all our chips on the GEFS. Couldn't resist Bob, but...it's time!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 31 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I’m not trying to be a smart ass, but do you look at the model runs on your own? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Get your shovels oiled. @Bob Chill said it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 41 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Dude, that’s funny as hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 38.6 here and it’s currently sleeting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 2 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I can’t wrap my head around people who prefer 30’s and rain over 60’s and sun, even if it’s December. I personally hate nice weather in winter. For example, today in NC, it was upper 60's, but it was really dark gloomy and rainy, so not so bad. Since becoming a parent, I have become painfully aware that it is much nicer to have the kids run off energy outside then be cooked up all day though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Why is no one talking about the 18z NAV run?? We’re all waiting on the CRAS to confirm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: We’re all waiting on the CRAS to confirm! I was mentioning my confusion at the continued existence of the NAVGEM in the main thread and someone mentioned "hurricanes" as the answer. Do you have any background in its intended purpose? I was surprised to learn that the NAVGEM only came online back in 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 40 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: When is the December torch coming? I'm asking for a lil friend. Please don't taunt the torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 Watching the 30 for 30 on Dennis Rodman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: We’re all waiting on the CRAS to confirm! CRAS was (sadly) discontinued. Had it's one shining moment as the only model to nail the Boxing Day storm at range. It will live in infamy with other great retired models such as the NGM, MRF, DGEX, and ETA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 20 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I was mentioning my confusion at the continued existence of the NAVGEM in the main thread and someone mentioned "hurricanes" as the answer. Do you have any background in its intended purpose? I was surprised to learn that the NAVGEM only came online back in 2013. Used to be the NOGAPS. That model had a progressive bias. I'm assuming the NAVGEM no longer has that bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It will live in infamy Umm, infamy is a bad thing, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Used to be the NOGAPS. That model had a progressive bias. I'm assuming the NAVGEM no longer has that bias. If it still has that bias we are gonna have a cutter in Detroit this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 minute ago, cbmclean said: Umm, infamy is a bad thing, right? We must never forget the CRAS....for good and for bad....mainly bad....really quite bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 35 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I was mentioning my confusion at the continued existence of the NAVGEM in the main thread and someone mentioned "hurricanes" as the answer. Do you have any background in its intended purpose? I was surprised to learn that the NAVGEM only came online back in 2013. It’s run by the NAVY. It replaced the NOGAPS. I honestly don’t pay much attention too it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 13 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: We must never forget the CRAS....for good and for bad....mainly bad....really quite bad. Why doesn't somebody just throw the useless models in the digital trash bin? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 18 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: CRAS was (sadly) discontinued. Had it's one shining moment as the only model to nail the Boxing Day storm at range. It will live in infamy with other great retired models such as the NGM, MRF, DGEX, and ETA. It was the Jan 30 2010 storm it got here. But only because it was always too amped and that storm ended up way more amped than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Why doesn't somebody just throw the useless models in the digital trash bin? Lol Or you could just ignore them like I do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2019 Share Posted December 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Or you could just ignore them like I do. I guess my question is why does somebody spend 10s of millions of dollars yearly maintaining a useless model? Edit: I guess the simple answer is they do not consider it useless, but still, seems obvious to everybody on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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