Jacob brooklyn Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Last few years we've had record warm Jan/Feb months but cold Nov & March. This is a repeating pattern. I'm on the cold/snowy March train. You'll start seeing it on the models by Feb 15-20 as wavelengths change due to seasonal effects. Even if flowers are out? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: Possible, however there's a lot less cold this year. This has been an incredible torch The EPO will be flipping negative and that will initially favor the west. The effects of a -PNA diminish substantially after Feb 20 and I could see the west & east both stay cold. Blocking will likely build too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 Is it really true that Joe Bastardi is still forecasting a cold and snowy February for the east coast? I read that on twitter. It has to be a joke right? Satire? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: based on what? The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. There's currently nothing that supports a "snowy" March Based on my weenie senses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, PB-99 said: I had 10 inches of snow that October. 2 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 1 hour ago, blizzard24 said: those that say winter is over will regret that very soon . im still forecasting l least two blizzard between now into march with many big snowstorms for sne area and i 95 area. i dont use mjo is joke changes every day . Why only Two? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 At least Philly can brag that they beat 72-73. Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Total Snowfall Oct 1 to Apr 30 Missing Count 1 1973-04-30 T 0 2 2020-04-30 0.3 86 3 1998-04-30 0.8 0 4 1950-04-30 2.0 0 5 2012-04-30 4.0 0 - 2002-04-30 4.0 0 7 1931-04-30 4.1 0 8 1919-04-30 4.5 0 9 1951-04-30 4.6 0 10 1992-04-30 4.7 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 11 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Is it really true that Joe Bastardi is still forecasting a cold and snowy February for the east coast? I read that on twitter. It has to be a joke right? Satire? He gave up today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: He gave up today about 3 weeks after the rest of us knew it was over.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 5, 2020 Share Posted February 5, 2020 2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Last few years we've had record warm Jan/Feb months but cold Nov & March. This is a repeating pattern. I'm on the cold/snowy March train. You'll start seeing it on the models by Feb 15-20 as wavelengths change due to seasonal effects. I’m a big fan of the repeating pattern idea as well. Last February the vast majority of the board had thrown in the towel only to see that snow blitz. It’s entirely possible that something similar happens again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I’m a big fan of the repeating pattern idea as well. Last February the vast majority of the board had thrown in the towel only to see that snow blitz. It’s entirely possible that something similar happens again And even more likely it doesn’t. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 7 hours ago, PB-99 said: I had 10 inches of snow that October. I received 16 inches from that storm. Lost 4 pear trees that still had most of their leaves on them. Of course that was followed by one of the worst winters in recent memory, now rivaled by this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 10 hours ago, psv88 said: And even more likely it doesn’t. Not saying it’s a lock, just that it wouldn’t be surprising. You could have taken last winter and made that your forecast for this winter and blown all the pro Mets out of the water for winter forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 3 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Not saying it’s a lock, just that it wouldn’t be surprising. You could have taken last winter and made that your forecast for this winter and blown all the pro Mets out of the water for winter forecast could go for 3 clunkers in a row and forecast it for next year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 50 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: could go for 3 clunkers in a row and forecast it for next year. I would feel fairly confident making that forecast. We need a major climatic event to reset the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 I for one am looking forward to my 28.85" pressure reading tomorrow...it ain't much, but its all we got... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 6, 2020 Share Posted February 6, 2020 At least somebody is getting record snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 The stats below are for NYC, KNYC and represent the number of 10 inch or above, 6-9.9 inch and 6 inch or above snowfalls for each month since records have been kept the last 151 years. There have been 193 storms of 6 inches or above and 65 of 10 inches or above in this time frame. Although December at 37, does have more 6 inch snowfalls then March (31), there have been more 6 inch snowfalls from March 1 forward (38) than in December. NYC's best month for large snowfalls and snowfall in general is historically February, not the last few years though. No. of 10 + inch snows by Month 1…....November 12…..December 16…..January 25…..February 9…....March 2…....April 65….Total No. of 6-9.9 inch snows by Month 4…......November 25…....December 32…....January 40…....February 22…....March 5…......April 128....Total No. of 6 + inch snows by Month 5…......November 37…....December 48…....January 65…....February 31…....March 7…......April 193....Total Here's the average snowfall per month at Central Park since January 1991 through January 2020, the period that the next 30 year averages will be calculated on. Right now its 30.3 inches, they need 12.9 more by December 31 to get a 30.0 inch average for the period. October......0.1 November...0.5 December...4.9 January......8.7 February...10.5 March.........5.1 April...........0.4 Total......30.3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 On 2/1/2020 at 8:56 AM, IrishRob17 said: @Midlo Snow Maker planted that seed in my head years ago but I’ve never got around to setting one up. He’s the king of home snow making. I'm still at it It's been a crappy three years here for snow making 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 7, 2020 Share Posted February 7, 2020 some years with the biggest snowfall coming in March or April... year...…..snowfall date 1887-88...20.9"...3/12-14 1891-92.....8.0"...3/17-18 1895-96...12.0"...3/15-16 1905-06.....6.5"...3/13-14 1913-14...14.5"...3/1-2 1914-15...10.2"...4/3-4 1914-15.....7.7"...3/6-7 1923-24.....8.4"...4/1 1940-41...18.1"...3/7-8 1955-56...11.6"...3/18-19 1957-58...11.8"...3/20-21 1958-59.....5.5"...3/12 1959-60...14.5"...3/3-4 1967-68.....6.6"...3/1 1975-76.....4.2"...3/9-10 1979-80.....4.6"...3/13-14 1980-81.....8.6"...3/5 1981-82.....9.6"...4/6 1983-84.....6.9"...3/8-9 1991-92.....6.2"...3/18 1992-93...10.3"...3/13 1997-98.....5.0"...3/22 1998-99.....4.5"...3/14-15 2006-07.....5.5"...3/16 2008-09.....8.3"...3/1-2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 On 2/4/2020 at 9:44 PM, MJO812 said: What an active pattern Imagine if we had blocking This pattern would have been insane for our area. We need to change your name back... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 minute ago, Rjay said: We need to change your name back... Go back to metfan please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 Hopefully, the Great Lakes cutter and coastal hugger storm tracks take a break after the last 2 winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: Go back to metfan please I have to respectfully disagree. The name Snow88 has not been working weather wise for NYC metro for the past 2 winters. MJO812 is still new, he needs to give it more time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 6 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: I have to respectfully disagree. The name Snow88 has not been working weather wise for NYC metro for the past 2 winters. MJO812 is still new, he needs to give it more time. Lol. When he was metfan we had all those snowy winters in the 2010’s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 3 hours ago, Allsnow said: Go back to metfan please Maybe next winter I changed it for good luck but I guess it's not working . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 I cant wait for this horrible winter to be over. I hope we have a good severe and tropical season. I use to love winter when we had alot of snow but it is getting boring around these parts. Summer is starting to become my favorite season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted February 8, 2020 Share Posted February 8, 2020 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Maybe next winter I changed it for good luck but I guess it's not working . Since the current cold season is so full of wintry weather excitement we could have a suggest a new name for Anthony exercise. I suggest ( with a nod to the bottom of Unc’s posts) ...... SWPRO...... As always ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 9, 2020 Share Posted February 9, 2020 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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