IWXwx Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 4 hours ago, Hoosier said: Saturday night/Sunday morning looks ridiculously mild in the warm sector. I was going to post that I'm looking forward to the last boomer of the year Sunday morning, but that secondary that the NAM is showing might well give up another clap of thunder Sunday night/early Monday morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 27, 2019 Author Share Posted December 27, 2019 After yesterday's record high of 61 at ORD -- which broke the previous record high of 55 -- the only day left in December with a record high in the 50s is 12/22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted December 27, 2019 Share Posted December 27, 2019 Looking mild around here until at least January 5th. Wonder who has the first epic melt down of the season? Whatever happens please for the love of god, don’t let us suffer through another cold, snowy April. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 10 minutes ago, Chambana said: Wonder who has the first epic melt down of the season? Josh or Beavis 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 31 minutes ago, Chambana said: Looking mild around here until at least January 5th. Wonder who has the first epic melt down of the season? Whatever happens please for the love of god, don’t let us suffer through another cold, snowy April. you know it's coming.... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 32 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Josh or Beavis Ha. I’ve been seething and melting already, for about 4 weeks...you just haven’t seen it yet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 hour ago, buckeye said: you know it's coming.... One of the wintriest Novembers on record followed by a terrible Dec. Starting Jan with a clean slate and avg snowfall to date. Jan-Apr eill dictate any meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 14 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: One of the wintriest Novembers on record followed by a terrible Dec. Starting Jan with a clean slate and avg snowfall to date. Jan-Apr eill dictate any meltdowns. You always find the positive in everything. Your right, winter started with a bang around Halloween. Makes you wonder, did winter blow its load early? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 I almost want January to be bad just to see the full scale beavis meltdown. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: One of the wintriest Novembers on record followed by a terrible Dec. Starting Jan with a clean slate and avg snowfall to date. Jan-Apr eill dictate any meltdowns. Let me show you the glass half empty version: November is fall not winter, so you had one of the snowiest fall months on record which occurred in mostly one massive fluke and is now responsible for 80 % of your current average snowfall to date. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 The secondary wave on the new 3km NAM looks pretty sweet. Impressive area of heavy snow up in Wisconsin with that by the end of the run. Wish the wave would deepen about 12hrs earlier though so northern IL would get in on that lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 22 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: The secondary wave on the new 3km NAM looks pretty sweet. Impressive area of heavy snow up in Wisconsin with that by the end of the run. Wish the wave would deepen about 12hrs earlier though so northern IL would get in on that lol. Really goes nuts with deepening... probably too nuts lol. This thing is sort of like being in the mid Atlantic and watching a miller b develop too late and hammer Boston. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 UK is really going nuts with the secondary energy as well. Update: 00z Euro is 10 mb weaker than the UK. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 I know December has shit the bed but how far are we from wettest year all time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Cyclone is getting some nice rain this morning as a heavier batch tracks through the QC area. Barely anything here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
totsata Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 52 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: I know December has shit the bed but how far are we from wettest year all time? I believe ORD is at 48.16" which would be 5th all time as it stands. Maybe the 3rd spot is reachable. Not sure we will get 2.7"+ in the next few days to better the record. Some of the master stat keepers here please correct me if numbers are off. 1. 2008 - 50.86" 2. 2011 - 49.83" 3. 1983 - 49.35" 4. 2018 - 49.23" 5. 1970 - 46.09" 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 On 12/26/2019 at 6:14 PM, mimillman said: Ah, I wasn’t using ORD, that’s the issue. Still, a risk of over performing on the temperature ahead of the weekend storm pretty much gets us there. Will be very close, kind of rooting for it so future generations understand how s**t this December was. Update on this. The 28th-31st has to put up a number of 190 for the combined high temperatures to tie the monthly average high for November (41.6) and 193 to break the November average high. Today should be a 11:59 pm high, and perhaps crucially, Monday should have a midnight high... just how high is the question. If we were having to rely on the daytime high on Monday, the monthly would be all but certain to come up short. Midnight high just might bail it out. I think the current LOT forecast for the 31st (35 degrees) is a bit too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 I believe ORD is at 48.16" which would be 5th all time as it stands. Maybe the 3rd spot is reachable. Not sure we will get 2.7"+ in the next few days to better the record. Some of the master stat keepers here please correct me if numbers are off. 1. 2008 - 50.86" 2. 2011 - 49.83" 3. 1983 - 49.35" 4. 2018 - 49.23" 5. 1970 - 46.09"Given how guidance has been trending, jumping from 5th to 2nd is a lock.Maybe a very outside chance of 1st still.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 31 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Given how guidance has been trending, jumping from 5th to 2nd is a lock. Maybe a very outside chance of 1st still. . Need an additional 1.68" for sole possession of 2nd. You are more optimistic than I am of getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Hrrr says no problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 Calling it now. Biggest snow at ORD on Mon-Tue since Veterans Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Calling it now. Biggest snow at ORD on Mon-Tue since Veterans Day.I wouldn’t go there yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Calling it now. Biggest snow at ORD on Mon-Tue since Veterans Day. Unless I am missing something the biggest snow at ORD since 3.4" on Veterans Day has been 0.3". Seems very likely. For Detroit it's closer. The largest snowfall since 9.2" on Veterans Day has been 0.6", set twice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 28, 2019 Author Share Posted December 28, 2019 18 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: I wouldn’t go there yet. . I mean, it will be an even more pathetically sad commentary on this month if >0.3" can't fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 1 hour ago, Hoosier said: Calling it now. Biggest snow at ORD on Mon-Tue since Veterans Day. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 7 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Cyclone is getting some nice rain this morning as a heavier batch tracks through the QC area. Barely anything here. Yeah came down nicely this morning. Picked up just under an inch. Pretty foggy out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Need an additional 1.68" for sole possession of 2nd. You are more optimistic than I am of getting there. I think we're gonna have to do most of the work tonight with the rain amounts. Focus for heaviest tomorrow night should be east of ORD. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Calling it now. Biggest snow at ORD on Mon-Tue since Veterans Day.Agreed. Still far enough out to change but like you said would have to be a big fail to not get more than 0.3". Possible that we get some snow showers/squalls on Monday that put down a couple tenths prior to the main snow Monday night. Only thing that gives me pause is that it's an atypical setup. However, hard to argue at this point against the overall solid model agreement. Euro ensemble strongly supports the 0.1"+ liquid amounts from the operational. I don't think we'll get 3-4" like on the Euro op Kuchera map but 1-2" max amounts seems reasonable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Looks like the main slug of wraparound snows will come Mon night. Hopefully we'll get to see snow fall during the daytime sometime before April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 28, 2019 Share Posted December 28, 2019 Looks like a few inches of snow tonight followed by possibly .3-.5” of ice, then rain and 35 degrees tomorrow...followed by heavy snow Monday. Could end up with around 20” of wet snow, with 21” still on the ground here currently. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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