Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,203
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

December 2019 Discussion


Hoosier
 Share

Recommended Posts

  On 12/23/2019 at 8:28 PM, ovweather said:

Louisville currently blow-torching at 63 degrees. The record high for Christmas is 68 degrees. That record could fall Wednesday.

Looking at the visible satellite, the snow pack from last week's storm across central Illinois and Indiana is trying desperately to hang on.

Expand  

Yep...that 7-8 inch snowpack is hanging on longer than I thought it would given these warmer temps.  Supposed to be 60 Christmas day with possible t storms Sat, according to some mets around here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Didn't realize how warm Christmas has been lately.  Wednesday will mark the 4th out of the last 6 Christmases at MLI AOA 50 degrees.  2014 hit 50, 2016 hit 56, 2018 hit 50, and this Christmas it looks to make a run at 60.  Pretty crazy.

I guess next year I'll just assume December will be another dud, and look forward to another warm Christmas.  Seems to be the new norm.

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/24/2019 at 2:22 AM, cyclone77 said:

Didn't realize how warm Christmas has been lately.  Wednesday will mark the 4th out of the last 6 Christmases at MLI AOA 50 degrees.  2014 hit 50, 2016 hit 56, 2018 hit 50, and this Christmas it looks to make a run at 60.  Pretty crazy.

I guess next year I'll just assume December will be another dud, and look forward to another warm Christmas.  Seems to be the new norm.

Expand  


Yeah, this trend of awful December’s preceded by awful springs needs to stop. Seems as if almost every December since 2010 is an expansion of fall, and then spring is an expansion of winter lol. Obviously outlier months March 2012, December 2013 etc.. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/24/2019 at 2:22 AM, cyclone77 said:

Didn't realize how warm Christmas has been lately.  Wednesday will mark the 4th out of the last 6 Christmases at MLI AOA 50 degrees.  2014 hit 50, 2016 hit 56, 2018 hit 50, and this Christmas it looks to make a run at 60.  Pretty crazy.

I guess next year I'll just assume December will be another dud, and look forward to another warm Christmas.  Seems to be the new norm.

Expand  

The other way to look at it is that it is a pretty anomalous stretch of warm Christmases that can't keep going.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Since 2014 we've been in a +ENSO feature across the region. 2016-17 was a borderline La Nina and the 2017-18 La Nina barely lasted 6 months. If we take away those years, the last true La Nina event was 2011-12. Cold Decembers are more closely correlated with La Nina's so unless next year is a decent La Nina, the chances of another crappy December are higher than usual. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I got back from my trip to Ohio. I was in the Akron/Canton area, and I drove to Toledo and back. We had 5 consecutive sunny days, with no low stratus clouds. (Thursday-Monday) There is a very low chance to have 5 sunny days in a row at this time of year, with no overcast stratus clouds at any time. Here's my thinking. The chance of having roughly 24 hours of clear(ish) skies is 20% or less. Weather tends to change in some predictable ways over the course of 5 days. But if you just think of this as a series of random events, then the chance of 5 sunny days is (0.2)^5 = 0.00032 = 0.032%

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 12/25/2019 at 12:55 AM, Chambana said:

Finished product. Just pulled steaks off the grill for the wife and family. Here’s to a to a rocking January, and hoping I can reel in a much needed big dog this winter. 

DEB4E11B-24DC-452B-B019-61F979746AD3.jpeg

Expand  

Very nice.  I'm still stuffed from earlier, and seeing that still makes my mouth water lol.  

Merry Christmas everyone!

EDIT:  MLI ended up hitting 61 today.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...