White Gorilla Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Pretty anemic stuff out here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 The worst won't hit till after sunset, that's when the strongest banding will arrive. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, psv88 said: Sleet by you too? Finally getting some precip and it is light wet snow. I can't swear there isn't an ice pellet, but I don.t see any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Its slowly sticking on cars here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: The worst won't hit till after sunset, that's when the strongest banding will arrive. Idk where it's coming from though. IVT feature seems to be narrowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 hours ago, RU848789 said: It's been said by many before, including me, but if you work in the area and are at work now and can head home, I'd highly advise it, since snow at this rate will accumulate even on major highways and we all know what happened on 11/15/18 in a similar situation. I just advised the emergency management Merck folks in Rahway, who I used to work with (I retired last week after 30+ years) to consider sending people home early: my weather notes continue to be sent to about 400-500 people there, even post-retirement, which is kind of cool. Congratulations on your retirement; my wife is also in the research end of the pharma business. I have 31 years at my job as well, but will hang on a little while longer, til my youngest graduates. As you may remember, I'm a practicing MSW with an interest in the social aspects of weather; some here often wonder what the heck that means. I think you are a good example; folks valued your input and want to keep in touch with you, but I suspect it is more than that. I think when you have worked with people for years, you develop bonds, and they want to stay in touch in some way. Best of luck to you, I have always enjoyed your analysis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, psv88 said: Sleet by you too? You're a little west of me. If that shower moving west holds together, you'll probably see snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Exactly. Will there be some places that end up under a band a get a few inches? Yep. But it's 2PM. And it's looking more and more to me like if you want to accept reality, this was way overblown (probably because of the mishap last year where that major storm was underforecast in advance). And I'm not so sure the NWS has been "decent". They started out with 6"-12" north/northwest of NYC. Then 3"-6". They're still showing 5"-10" for northern Westchester. Depends upon how you define "decent".To Imply nws let's what happen last year affect their forecast now is horse crap to be honest. Cmon that's just not true. And people have to let the storm finish up before jumping ship. Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: Final Forecast Based on Current model trends and current radar trend Move the blue over to the raritan bay coast off Perth Amboy and Woodbridge; an inch might already have been exceeded there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: You're a little west of me. If that shower moving west holds together, you'll probably see snow too. whats your temp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: whats your temp? 35.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: 35.7 36.1 here, i think we do well tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Pretty anemic stuff out here Thats what is was supposed to do until later this afternoon and tonight. I think we are going to get another 3-5 before its done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Snow falling here in Bensonhurst, Brooklyn , temps falling its 33 and falling towards to freezing mark. It’s sticking to colder surfaces . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Waiting on the ULL currently over central PA to move east it should expand these anemic radar returns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 12 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: You're a little west of me. If that shower moving west holds together, you'll probably see snow too. It was sleeting a bit in Middle Island before Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Moderate snow now in Brooklyn 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Wet snow now in Commack, Suffolk County, still toasty at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Wet snow now in Commack, Suffolk County, still toasty at 36 Means the LP is crashing the BL S. This is a good sign IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Means the LP is crashing the BL S. This is a good sign IMO BL is the issue for us, upper levels are cold. Temp hasnt budged all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 11 minutes ago, USCG RS said: It was sleeting a bit in Middle Island before Moderate snow here now. Looks pretty cool with the gusty winds, Not sure how long it lasts. Temp is 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 hour ago, RU848789 said: Snowing moderately and 1.5" OTG as of 1:30 pm at 32F. Roads are slushy, but not too bad, as long as one goes slowly, as I just made a food store run (an excuse to get out, lol); 287 and Route 1 are just mostly wet with a little slush so far, but will likely get worse by 3-4 pm, assuming the snow continues and as the sun goes down. Snowfall intensity the last hour has been light to moderate, so only got 1/2" in the last hourd with 2" OTG as of 2:30 pm. Temp ia at 33F (been bouncing between 32 and 33F, just warm enough for some melting). The 18Z HRRR only has another 2" for most of CNJ/NNJ so I'm thinking most folks in warning areas aren't going to make it to the 5-8" range predicted for many of us if the model is correct. I'm at 2" now and 2 more would be 4", which I'd be happy with - of course the HRRR is nowhere near being correct all the time. Radar really looking ragged though vs. an hour or two ago. Let's hope this thing cranks back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: BL is the issue for us, upper levels are cold. Temp hasnt budged all day Yeah, but if the heavy returns come in, the BL will be fine. Conversely, if we do not receive heavy returns, the BL is the least of our worries anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Means the LP is crashing the BL S. This is a good sign IMO CG a little help here BL ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 what I meant is WHAT IS ----> BL ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Brasiluvsnow said: what I meant is WHAT IS ----> BL ? Boundary level. The temperatures near the surface / lowest level of the atmosphere. I forget how high that goes. Maybe 950mb, maybe not that high. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: what I meant is WHAT IS ----> BL ? BL is the boundary layer, essentially the atmospheric conditions at the boundary between the air and the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 So what do you guys make of the radar getting somewhat smaller is the dry air doing this is something else happening ? Thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, psv88 said: BL is the issue for us, upper levels are cold. Temp hasnt budged all day I figured if it did anything, we were ready for snow, but we were dry for hours. It looks great out there now and we are starting to get a coating, but this band could easily pivot west of us fairly quickly...or die out while another one buries us in subsidence. Temp now 34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: Moderate snow here now. Looks pretty cool with the gusty winds, Not sure how long it lasts. Temp is 35 Coming down now, temp down to 35 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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