SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Today Show was just outside and it looked like PLSNRA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: Today Show was just outside and it looked like PLSNRA Can confirm the kitchen sink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Band setting up pretty far west. Really fun times there soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 And like that it’s snowing on the uws! We are going big today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Band setting up pretty far west. Really fun times there soon. Nothing high res at 06Z really showed that band there. I’m not sure if that’s a long duration feature or not. The area over NYC was shown on most models but it was further west than it currently is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: Nothing high res at 06Z really showed that band there. I’m not sure if that’s a long duration feature or not. The area over NYC was shown on most models but it was further west than it currently is Yeah NYC band is dissipating. Subsidence city if that band lingers on the Delaware water gap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Nice band over Monmouth County this run on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Nam has multiple bands Some in Jersey and 1 hitting the NYC area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Nam has multiple bands Some in Jersey and 1 hitting the NYC area. 3k juiced out to 6 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 NAMs a crush job. Still snowing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 7" for the city. I'll take 6" if that verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Surface temps are gorgeous on the NAM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 When is the snow suppose To start? Just drizzle here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Divergence between the NAM and HRRR. Just like we see with warm season convection. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Starting snowing at MMU at 8, and was 32 when I left for work in TEB. 80 was all right coming in; temperature went from 32 to 34 on my ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, bluewave said: Divergence between the NAM and HRRR. Just like we see with warm season convection. I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct. When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Final Numbers Central Park - 3-5" LGA - 2-4" JFK - 1-3" Islip - 1-2" Newark - 3-5" HPN - 3-6" SWF - 6-10" Danbury - 2-4" Morristown - 4-8" New Brunswick - 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 12 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: 7" for the city. I'll take 6" if that verifies Nice to see the band shifted further east again with the higher amounts for all of Westchester! Edit: Actually it didn't really shift and more so expanded. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct. When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong Without hyperbole, this is one of the most difficult forecasts I can remember in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said: Without hyperbole, this is one of the most difficult forecasts I can remember in a long time. Exactly, huge bust potential either way. someone is going to snow 4” an hour (short term) under the convective band this afternoon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Yesterday saw daily record snowfall in a number of locations. Records included: Albany: 13.3" (old record: 3.7", 1969) Boston: 1.2" (old record: 1.0", 1940) Providence: 1.6" (old record: 0.5", 1907) Worcester: 8.9" (old record: 4.2", 1917) Based on the overnight guidance and early observations, it still appears that New York City is in line for 3"-6" snow with 1"-3" in Islip. Newark should also pick up closer to 6" and the potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 14 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct. When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong That’s usually how it is during the warm season. But forecasters don’t need to worry about snowfall then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 When could the peak banding hit in the city? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzLuv Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 34F and switching to snow here. Nothing accumulated yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
etudiant Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Seems to be mostly a raw weather event here in Manhattan, thirties, windy and raining. No substantial snow thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 My new daytime/work location this year is right on the water, at the tip of Wall Street in lower Manhattan. Still drizzle here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 woke up to am icy mess this morning the cars in my driveway had white cold shells on them. Currently 32 degrees in New City and snowing lightly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: The latest HRRR has lightning potential as the band really intensifies. Several strikes already showing up with those cells off the Jersey Shore. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwx85 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 11 minutes ago, hooralph said: When could the peak banding hit in the city? You would have better accuracy predicting the next time the Jets win the Super Bowl. 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 the hrrr doesnt seem that impressive at all with amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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