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Possible Dec 1-3 Winter Storm


Zelocita Weather

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  On 12/2/2019 at 1:40 PM, Ericjcrash said:

Band setting up pretty far west. Really fun times there soon.

Resized_Screenshot_20191202-083841_RadarScope.jpeg

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Nothing high res at 06Z really showed that band there.  I’m not sure if that’s a long duration feature or not.  The area over NYC was shown on most models but it was further west than it currently is 

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  On 12/2/2019 at 1:42 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

Nothing high res at 06Z really showed that band there.  I’m not sure if that’s a long duration feature or not.  The area over NYC was shown on most models but it was further west than it currently is 

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Yeah NYC band is dissipating. Subsidence city if that band lingers on the Delaware water gap.

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  On 12/2/2019 at 2:04 PM, bluewave said:

Divergence between the NAM and HRRR. Just like we see with warm season convection.

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I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct.  When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong 

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Yesterday saw daily record snowfall in a number of locations. Records included:

Albany: 13.3" (old record: 3.7", 1969)
Boston: 1.2" (old record: 1.0", 1940)
Providence: 1.6" (old record: 0.5", 1907)
Worcester: 8.9" (old record: 4.2", 1917)

Based on the overnight guidance and early observations, it still appears that New York City is in line for 3"-6" snow with 1"-3" in Islip. Newark should also pick up closer to 6" and the potential.

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  On 12/2/2019 at 2:10 PM, SnowGoose69 said:

I don’t believe any model will get this extremely correct.  When you look at the 06Z models and the latest HRRR all of them to some degree have the current setup wrong 

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That’s  usually how it is during the warm season. But forecasters don’t need to worry about snowfall then. 

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