Gravity Wave Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Very encouraging trends for the area tonight. I'm still going to be surprised if the city gets past the 6" mark but it's very possible if that banding parks overhead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Thank You guys for the explanation , its appreciated 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Which means nyc, LI, se MA, CT and RI are L about to be hit pretty hard brasil Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk CG that ensemble mean from the other nite WAS golden!!!!! best to all tommy e 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, Doorman said: Brasy that is surface low track guidance the ULL upper level low is progged to capture the surface low underneath it and that is shown here TY Doorman and you other guys I got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 This is about as unpredictable as it can get. Congrats to the posters who get stuck in that deformation band tomorrow. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Can I ask another question ? How accurate / reliable is the surface Low track guidance ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Can I ask another question ? How accurate / reliable is the surface Low track guidance ? The surface progs from the OPC inside of 24hrs are money.... their forecasters are some of the best in the biz trust me on this 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Doorman is somewhat of a legend around these parts. That withstanding, he is appearance is rather rare these days. He normally moonlights when something big is in the cards. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHELEG Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Euro is East again 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Euro looks good for NJ, NYC, and long island 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 19 minutes ago, Doorman said: The surface progs from the OPC inside of 24hrs are money.... their forecasters are some of the best in the biz trust me on this Thanks again Doorman 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 18 minutes ago, USCG RS said: Doorman is somewhat of a legend around these parts. That withstanding, he is appearance is rather rare these days. He normally moonlights when something big is in the cards. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk USCG, then let me just add 2 things, I appreciate his and your replies and that I am not worthy , now back to tracking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Is this correct ? Central Park is so much colder than the AirportsIt is possible, considering the direction of the wind and the proximity of the airports to the waterSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 USCG, then let me just add 2 things, I appreciate his and your replies and that I am not worthy , now back to tracking Much obliged... But we are all here to learn. Nothing to be considered unworthy ofSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHELEG Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, USCG RS said: It is possible, considering the direction of the wind and the proximity of the airports to the water Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk They corrected it now to 37 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 WSWarning now in effect here for 4-7" of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: WSWarning now in effect here for 4-7" of snow. Yes same thing for Sayreville. Bloomfield is still an advisory for 2-4 but Im thinking thats going to change. Im heading up there into work soon. May the snow gods bless us all with white gold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Current temp 37/DP 34 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 24 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: WSWarning now in effect here for 4-7" of snow. It's warranted given tonight's trends. NAM looks nice now too especially just west of the city. I see precip starting to pop in NE NJ. Current temps 36-37F with 33-35F a bit further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Anyone have the 6z nam and gfs maps? Here’s the 6z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, Neblizzard said: Here’s the 6z NAM Pretty consistent with the tongue over NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 28 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: Pretty consistent with the tongue over NJ. There is also a tongue over NYC. Gfs also has the banding over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 One thing to watch for the coast is the wind direction. It’s going to be tuff to get temps low enough for accumulations until the wind goes North. I’m thinking 1-2” at home on the south shore and 3-5” at work on the far UWS where I’ll be posting from. Be careful using snow maps as your source for QPF and where banding sets up. There is more further East that could be shown as rain that may actually be snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Thought summaries of the NWS Philly/NYC forecasts and the relevant snowfall maps might be helpful. Significant bust potential exists on the low side for NWS-Philly and on the high side for the NWS-NYC, IMO. This is really going to be a nowcasting event, i.e., watching the radars and the sky. Where do I sign up for the 4-7" forecast for me? So let's get to what the NWS-Phillly is saying. Warnings are now up for 5-8" of snow for Bucks, the Lehigh Valley, Mercer, Hunterdon, and Somerset, A warning is up for 4-7" for Middlesex Warnings are up for 6-10" for the Poconos, Sussex/Warren/Morris. Advisories are now up for 2-5" for Montco, W. Chester, Berks, W. Monmouth, Ocean, and Burlington Advisories are up for 1-4" for E. Chester, Delaware, Philly, Gloucester, Camden, and E. Monmouth. And what the NWS-NYC is saying. Warnings are up for 5-7" of snow up for W. Union, and W. Essex Warnings are up for 5-10" of snow for Passaic, N. Bergen, Orange, Putnam, Rockland, N. Westchester, and N. Fairfield Advisories are up for 2-4" for eastern Union, eastern Essex, southern Bergen, Hudson, Bronx, Manhattan, Staten Island, Queens, Brooklyn, S. Westchester and N. Nassau (and 4-6" for interior CT/3-5" for coastal CT). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Overnight trends were excellent for the city but cant have it trend too much east with that band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Overnight trends were excellent for the city but cant have it trend too much east with that band. Gefs did trend it east FWIW over the city 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 30 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: One thing to watch for the coast is the wind direction. It’s going to be tuff to get temps low enough for accumulations until the wind goes North. I’m thinking 1-2” at home on the south shore and 3-5” at work on the far UWS where I’ll be posting from. Be careful using snow maps as your source for QPF and where banding sets up. There is more further East that could be shown as rain that may actually be snow ...yeah..i'm thinking 1-2" here also..all about wind direction for us.. but 2 things.. where does the deformation band set up? and the upper level low seems to be diving further south and east..colder?..just a observation.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs did trend it east FWIW over the city Need it to stop and set up shop overhead or there won't be much impact here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Need it to stop and set up shop overhead or there won't be much impact here. Agreed, I have a feeling this is a big winners and losers day. Someone has a surprise 8” all out snow storm and someone has scraps and a coating 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 HRDPS has 6+ for NYC , LI and to the west of NYC . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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