Snowlover11 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Idk why people are quitting on this storm. 2-5 is still very good. because it doesn’t “jackpot” their backyard. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Any word on the cmc? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 11 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Frustrating storm to try and forecast to say the least! yes WG but now a days it seems they all are 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 LOL yeah people are super tempestuous, not seeing the forest through the trees. This is one run of the GFS, a global model, and we're <24 hours out. Why anyone would take it as gospel at this point is astounding to me. Everyone needs to relax. Clearly we're all going to see snow, and you should be happy if it's anything more than a couple inches in a setup like this at this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 18 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Idk why people are quitting on this storm. 2-5 is still very good. Because if we analyze every 2-5 inch snowstorm for 46+ pages, this is going to be an exhausting winter. This was always a tricky storm, but never really had an 'epic' side to it. When the primary low heads to the west of Buffalo, we usually have very difficult time getting these to pan out. There are legit severe thunderstorm warnings in western PA. When that happens, it usually causes me to really question what we will get. So far it seems the models are having a difficult time too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said: Because if we analyze every 2-5 inch snowstorm for 46+ pages, this is going to be an exhausting winter. This was always a tricky storm, but never really had an 'epic' side to it. When the primary low heads to the west of Buffalo, we usually have very difficult time getting these to pan out. There are legit severe thunderstorm warnings in western PA. When that happens, it usually causes me to really question what we will get. So far it seems the models are having a difficult time too. BINGO. I invested a ton of time to this storm and only to get 1 to 4 inches is very disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Hrdps has several inches for NYC with more just to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Hrdps has several inches for NYC with more just to the west. More than that from the looks of it. Good banding from the parkway east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, kingbaus said: More than that from the looks of it. Good banding from the parkway east. Just saw the whole run 6+ for NYC west with some 10 inch marks in North NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 19 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Just saw the whole run 6+ for NYC west with some 10 inch marks in North NJ. Not as good as the 18z though. Looks like it's going to be nowcasting time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, kingbaus said: Not as good as the 18z though. Looks like it's going to be nowcasting time. Not as good for who? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Gefs doesnt agree with the op It shows the banding over NYC and areas to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 21 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Just saw the whole run 6+ for NYC west with some 10 inch marks in North NJ. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 The UKMET definitely came east with the core of the QPF over NYC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Not as good for who? The banding looked stronger and more organized for the area. Still a good hit for the 0z though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The UKMET definitely came east with the core of the QPF over NYC Gefs has it over the area while the op run has it over Philly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 you think this system has some moxy to it??? loop it here ...then cool the bellyaching https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Doorman said: you think this system has some moxy to it??? loop it here ...then cool the bellyaching https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=regional-northeast-13-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data You did say this will trend east. I like your method. I remember Joe Renken was talking about this on the accuweather forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 You did say this will trend east. I like your method. I remember Joe Renken was talking about this on the accuweather forum.I've never gone against Doorman, nor would I Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Our deformation snows are developing and expanding already over C PA. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Add JMA to the models which shifted east tonight 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 HOT off the press.... OPC surface prog.....dead center on the benchmark at 991mb get your shovels ready in the metro 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Expecting between 1 and 6” here 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Expecting between 1 and 6” here 0.5 - 8" here lol I love these unpredictable events 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 6 minutes ago, Doorman said: HOT off the press.... OPC surface prog.....dead center on the benchmark at 991mb get your shovels ready in the metro Doorman can you help a brother out ? I know the 70 40 line is what we look for with storms but are you saying and illustrating that the ULL is getting its act together over the 70- 40 mark ? can you please clarify for the novice / me what you are stating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Doorman can you help a brother out ? I know the 70 40 line is what we look for with storms but are you saying and illustrating that the ULL is getting its act together over the 70- 40 mark ? can you please clarify for the novice / me what you are stating. The ull should track over the benchmark 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Doorman can you help a brother out ? I know the 70 40 line is what we look for with storms but are you saying and illustrating that the ULL is getting its act together over the 70- 40 mark ? can you please clarify for the novice / me what you are stating.No, the sfc LP is over BM.The ULL is about 10k feet in the air and would be to the NW of the LP, unless it is vertically stacked over BM which would mean that the surface LP, h85, h7 and h5 were all in the same place. Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Brasiluvsnow said: Doorman can you help a brother out ? I know the 70 40 line is what we look for with storms but are you saying and illustrating that the ULL is getting its act together over the 70- 40 mark ? can you please clarify for the novice / me what you are stating. Brasy that is surface low track guidance the ULL upper level low is progged to capture the surface low underneath it and that is shown here 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Brasy that is surface low track guidance the ULL upper level low is progged to capture the surface low underneath it and that is shown here Which means nyc, LI, se MA, CT and RI are L about to be hit pretty hard brasilSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: The ull should track over the benchmark 88 ,thats what I though it showed but I honestly was thinking that the ULL would get its act together farther North than that especially looking at where the system entered ( Norm Macdonald rule ) on the west coast ----I am not complaining I was just confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now