Wetbulbs88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: I don't think NYC gets more than 1-3" but Upton should at least issue a WWA. A WWA has been up for hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Wetbulbs88 said: A WWA has been up for hours... Actually just saw it was issued 21 min ago.2-4 for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 945 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 NJZ006-NYZ072>075-176>178-021100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0013.191202T1600Z-191203T1200Z/ Hudson-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens- 945 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 11 AM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain into Monday morning, changes back to snow Monday afternoon into early evening. There is uncertainty with the exact timing of changeover. These amounts potentially could be higher should the transition to snow occur earlier. In addition, there is the potential for a heavy band of snow just to the west, with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour. Should this band move over the advisory area, snowfall totals would be a few inches higher than forecast. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. Check local Department of Transportation information services for the latest road conditions. && $$ Also covering their asses for the death band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Actually just saw it was issued 21 min ago.2-4 for NYCTo be fair, nyc and n Nassau has had one since this afternoon Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: It shifted east Decent run, nothing super exciting but at this point I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, USCG RS said: To be fair, nyc and n Nassau has had one since this afternoon Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Didnt see one posted until now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Ericjcrash said: Actually just saw it was issued 21 min ago.2-4 for NYC Nice little double hedge: ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain into Monday morning, changes back to snow Monday afternoon into early evening. There is uncertainty with the exact timing of changeover. These amounts potentially could be higher should the transition to snow occur earlier. In addition, there is the potential for a heavy band of snow just to the west, with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour. Should this band move over the advisory area, snowfall totals would be a few inches higher than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 All models are trending East this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Didnt see one posted until now. Must not have included your area till now? Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Must not have included your area till now? Weird. Didnt see anything for city or LI before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Didnt see anything for city or LI before. Yeah they posted one much earlier today, hence why the one you posted said 'remains in effect'. It may have been masked by a coastal flood advisory, etc as there are numerous advisories up now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Didnt see anything for city or LI before.Perhapa they failed to issue it, but it was mentioned in KOKX earlier AFD Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 My tropical tidbits is till way behind, but from what I can see, surprised the RGEM is as robust as it is. Seems to have trouble bringing the cold air in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: My tropical tidbits is till way behind, but from what I can see, surprised the RGEM is as robust as it is. Seems to have trouble bringing the cold air in. Yeah its definitely warmer than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 17 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Didnt see anything for city or LI before. So Trenton went from 11.1 inches to 1.3 inches in one run, 6 hours apart, crazy. If that doesn't tell you this is a nowcast tomorrow nothing will. Forget the models, all they're telling us is some people within a 75 mile radius of NYC will do well tomorrow and some will get screwed, they don't know exactly where yet, and they won't even after it begins. Insane. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Gfs bas nothing for the area ( which I think is wrong given the thermals. ) The band is over Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, kingbaus said: LOLOLOL gfs is a big hit from CNJ north i give up. I have IEP's to write; winter break is coming and I am under pressure to get things done before the break, and I'm sitting here hoping for a snow day which will only make my workload worse. Will see you all when this gets rolling, if it ever does. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: i give up. I have IEP's to write; winter break is coming and I am under pressure to get things done before the break, and I'm sitting here hoping for a snow day which will only make my workload worse. Will see you all when this gets rolling, if it ever does. He deleted his post. Terrible gfs run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Congrats Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, kingbaus said: Yeah I'm about to give up on this one. Nothing is going our way tonight. Yeah hope for 4", expect nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 So we have the GFS west, NAM and RGEM east and EURO sort of in between. Our climo makes forecasting interesting if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Yeah hope for 4", expect nothing. Expect more also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 you guys are ridiculous, gfs although has the heavy snow well west of us it still delivers 2-5” of snow which the nws is predicting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, kingbaus said: Yeah I'm about to give up on this one. Nothing is going our way tonight. Given the vast uncertainty regarding where the heaviest bands will setup, this would be foolish to give up. Massive bust potential though for someone, good or bad. Personally I think they'll be a large deform band over our area with the heaviest just west of the city. Local spots could see 8-12" with many seeing 6"+ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats Philly. Yeah, as if it's really gonna happen as depicted. Trenton goes from 11.1 to 1.3 from one 18Z to 0Z and we're suppose to take any of this as gospel. Had enough for today, and not expecting much tomorrow or tomorrow night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, Snowlover11 said: you guys are ridiculous, gfs although has the heavy snow well west of us it still delivers 2-5” of snow which the nws is predicting. Idk why people are quitting on this storm. 2-5 is still very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, SnoSki14 said: Given the vast uncertainty regarding where the heaviest bands will setup up, this would be foolish to give up. Massive bust potential though for someone, good or bad. Personally I think they'll be a large deform band over our area with the heaviest just west of the city. Local spots could see 8-12" with many seeing 6"+ I agree with this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Frustrating storm to try and forecast to say the least! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Idk why people are quitting on this storm. 2-5 is still very good. Doubt much would accumulate on the fringe of the band. However if its overhead you're gonna have a great night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 You guys get too emotional over each model run. RGEM shows nothing for Philly area and GFS shows a hit. Which is it? It's kind of comical. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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