Bosswx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: I may just have to get the Subie ready for some off-roading on Tuesday... Where would you go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 18 minutes ago, kingbaus said: New England gets smacked. I hate living in New Jersey. NJ has been getting an extremely generous amount of snowfall over the past 20 years. Normal is like 20-30 for most of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: I may just have to get the Subie ready for some off-roading on Tuesday... Subaru's are great till the heads start leaking. Then before long, it's on to the big scrap yard in the sky. I've owned one 20 years ago, and own one today. Just saying... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, CarLover014 said: I may just have to get the Subie ready for some off-roading on Tuesday... Don't blow a head gasket on your way to high point. Should be a fun one up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 That is an impressive convective snow band in the NAM. Very steep midlevel lapse rates and elevated TT’s. It will be interesting to see where it actually sets up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Bosswx said: Where would you go? Usually Brendan T. Byrne or Wharton State Forests Just now, sussexcountyobs said: Subaru's are great till the heads start leaking. Then before long, it's on to the big scrap yard in the sky. I've owned one 20 years ago, and own one today. Just saying... Oh, I know . Mine likes to eat wheel bearings. Haven't had the bad gasket yet, but it is gonna be replaced soon. It's either that or the Corvette 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, CarLover014 said: Usually Brendan T. Byrne or Wharton State Forests Oh, I know . Mine likes to eat wheel bearings. Haven't had the bad gasket yet, but it is gonna be replaced soon. It's either that or the Corvette I wouldn't take the Vette up by me tomorrow. Lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, sussexcountyobs said: I wouldn't take the Vette up by me tomorrow. Lol! She's under a cover. I won't be driving it for awhile until all the brine and road salt is gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Rgem continues the theme with the great banding for CNJ and SNJ . This run also clips NYC. Slp is further east on this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Rgem continues the theme with the great banding for CNJ and SNJ . This run also clips NYC. Slp is further east on this run. Any maps yet? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, NJsnow89 said: Any maps yet? Thanks He probably got his info from a paid site. use pivotal weather it's free. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 WS Warning Somerset Co NJ. 4-8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Rgem continues the theme with the great banding for CNJ and SNJ . This run also clips NYC. Slp is further east on this run. Yea it will be a condo crusher for someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Warning all the way down to SE PA and TTN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 That band is inching eastward... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Congrats Trenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, CarLover014 said: That band is inching eastward... Is this the 18z RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Zelocita Weather said: Is this the 18z RGEM? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sanman 06 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats Trenton. Staten Island get hit good it looks like !! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJsnow89 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats Trenton. Majority of NJ would get blasted if this were to come true. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg g Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 For us in the lower Hudson valley are we still looking ok or will we be getting less because of this shift?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 10-15 mile shift east for the rest of NYC beyond SI (please) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, NJsnow89 said: Majority of NJ would get blasted if this were to come true. The temps are so marginal and the band likely won't be as expansive as modeled so those totals will be limited to small areas. I would expect you'd see mostly 4-7 with isolated area over that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medroc Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 421 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 NJZ006-NYZ072>075-176>178-012230- /O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0013.191202T1600Z-191203T1200Z/ Hudson-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens- 421 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 11 AM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain into Monday morning, changes back to snow Monday afternoon into early evening. There is uncertainty with the exact timing of changeover. These amounts potentially could be higher should the transition to snow occur earlier. In addition, there is the potential for a heavy band of snow just to the west, with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour. Should this band move over the advisory area, snowfall totals would be a few inches higher than forecast. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... National Weather Service New York NY 421 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 NJZ006-NYZ072>075-176>178-012230- /O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0013.191202T1600Z-191203T1200Z/ Hudson-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens- 421 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MONDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 11 AM Monday to 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Rain into Monday morning, changes back to snow Monday afternoon into early evening. There is uncertainty with the exact timing of changeover. These amounts potentially could be higher should the transition to snow occur earlier. In addition, there is the potential for a heavy band of snow just to the west, with snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour. Should this band move over the advisory area, snowfall totals would be a few inches higher than forecast. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 11 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The temps are so marginal and the band likely won't be as expansive as modeled so those totals will be limited to small areas. I would expect you'd see mostly 4-7 with isolated area over that I'm more in the camp of, if that band actually verified, with the overnight timing, it would probably overpower temp issues. For me it's more that the RGEM is probably overdoing intensity if anything. It's a delicate balance between the eastward pull that folks to the east are rooting for and the moisture that will be robbed as it continues to pull east and redevelop off the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 GFS also wrecks Trenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Gfs has the band right over NYC and NJ. It shifted east. Ignore the temps. Its always too warm. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: western outlier so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Gfs has the band right over NYC and NJ. It shifted east. Ignore the temps. Its always too warm. The band is over eastern PA into western NJ. City gets a little wet snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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