Brian5671 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, bluewave said: I have no idea where the band may set up. But the forecast soundings have very steep mid level lapse rates and elevated TT’s. So it’s possible somebody gets thunder if that IVT sets up. So many moving parts with this event that it may come down to nowcast time on Monday. Hit it on the head-agree if there was ever anything that came down to a now cast this is it.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I like where the JmA has the low forming. 850’s are below freezing and I’m assuming that’s when it goes to town. A bunch of precip falls after this so I’m assuming it’s good 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Any word on the 18z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, David-LI said: Any word on the 18z euro? It will soon initialize. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, David-LI said: Any word on the 18z euro? It starts at 6:50pm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycemt123 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 It starts at 6:50pmT-minus 2 minutes Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman86 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Cant wait xD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Let the pigeons loose give us some good news !!!!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 hours ago, psv88 said: Usually the north shore is about the same as the city in marginal setups, this one may be different, but too early to tell. I wouldn't say "usually". It depends on the time of year. Very early in the season actually favors the city. Most of the cold season favors the north shore in marginal set-ups. But its situational. Some storms are going to shaft us. March 1914 and February 2010 come to mind as noteworthy exceptions to the late in the season pattern. Everyone here remembers the March storm, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, kingbaus said: SNE forum is saying part 2 looks good. But what about for us? Same. A few inches for NYC west. Barely anything for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, kingbaus said: 18z euro looks meh in the first part. Suggests northern parts of the area would see a quick 1-2" tomorrow. It looks great Monday. Has the narrow axis of 1"+ QPF pretty much over the city. The rain/snow line would collapse quickly southeast during the morning hours. Boston has heavy snow into Tuesday morning. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, kingbaus said: 18z euro looks meh in the first part. Any graphics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, CarLover014 said: Any graphics? No I'm getting the info from SNE forum no maps yet. But purdue says over a 1" of frozen precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: Suggests northern parts of the area would see a quick 1-2" tomorrow. It looks great Monday. Has the narrow axis of 1"+ QPF pretty much over the city. The rain/snow line would collapse quickly southeast during the morning hours. Boston has heavy snow into Tuesday morning. I’m expecting 1 to 3 inches tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, kingbaus said: No I'm getting the info from SNE forum no maps yet. But purdue says over a 1" of frozen precip. I didn't say that, just that it has heavy precipitation amounts. Verbatim it has a gradient in snowfall, with the heaviest on the north and west side of the city, NNJ, SI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 meh 18z is even less impressive nyc east cut totals down another 1-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kingbaus Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, purduewx80 said: I didn't say that, just that it has heavy precipitation amounts. Verbatim it has a gradient in snowfall, with the heaviest on the north and west side of the city, NNJ, SI. How reliable are these clown maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Snowlover11 said: meh 18z is even less impressive nyc east cut totals down another 1-3” It's the banding. The models are going to jump around. We are getting a few inches on Monday with the highest totals the north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, kingbaus said: How reliable are these clown maps? They dont do well in marginal events. These maps are too low if the snow is coming down really heavy. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Agree 1000% ....not to over use phrase but this is a classic NOWCAST event...i think some areas will get a lot more snow in part 2 then currently depicted just my opinion.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 expect the lease and anything more is just a bonus. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said: meh 18z is even less impressive nyc east cut totals down another 1-3” I like 1 to 3 tomorrow (snow to sleet) and 1 to 3 Monday afternoon and evening. Rain and 36 in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 i really like where we are for banding monday 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, NYCSNOWMAN2020 said: Agree 1000% ....not to over use phrase but this is a classic NOWCAST event...i think some areas will get a lot more snow in part 2 then currently depicted just my opinion.. I'm going to stare at the light pole all night on Monday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, forkyfork said: i really like where we are for banding monday same. regardless of what amounts we all end up with, there will be some fascinating mesoscale meteorology going down for at least parts of this sub-forum during the day monday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: Hit it on the head-agree if there was ever anything that came down to a now cast this is it.... I think 2-8” is a good call for the park right now. I think the southern greens jackpot with 2’+ great, great storm up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, purduewx80 said: same. regardless of what amounts we all end up with, there will be some fascinating mesoscale meteorology going down for at least parts of this sub-forum during the day monday. good low level speed convergence while h5 deform is overhead 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: I think 2-8” is a good call for the park right now. I think the southern greens jackpot with 2’+ great, great storm up there! I think Berkshires jack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 29 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: I wouldn't say "usually". It depends on the time of year. Very early in the season actually favors the city. Most of the cold season favors the north shore in marginal set-ups. But its situational. Some storms are going to shaft us. March 1914 and February 2010 come to mind as noteworthy exceptions to the late in the season pattern. Everyone here remembers the March storm, right? This isn’t our storm. Suffolk County will Probably be the only location north of Toms River in the entire NE without snow. A real painful storm incoming 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, psv88 said: This isn’t our storm. Suffolk County will Probably be the only location north of Toms River in the entire NE without snow. A real painful storm incoming Every storm has a surprise so you never know where that banding sets up. Long Island could get hit as the storm slowly pulls out 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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