HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 5:28 PM, Amped said: Looks like every model agrees there's going to be a band of heavy snow in NNJ or somewhere near the NY/NJ border. Expand Yea seems like Northern NJ and the HV are consistently being shown to do really well on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 5:28 PM, Nibor said: I’ve noticed and I think it was mentioned in the New England forum that there’s some sort of random blob of heavy precipitation that keeps popping up near NYC as the low tracks just to the south. Any idea what is causing that on the models? Expand Given the location of the low it's where the CCB would be RGEM run after run shows it. GFS was at it as well yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 5:30 PM, Ericjcrash said: Given the location of the low it's where the CCB would be RGEM run after run shows it. GFS was at it as well yesterday. Expand Yeah I believe its just the fact that many model runs of the various suites have had the low about 50-80 miles ESE of NYC. In that setup in a closed off system the heavy snow band will sit about 70-90 miles W of the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Euro looks a bit stronger at hr 54 compared to last run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 5:24 PM, Snow88 said: Every model is favorable at 12z except the Nam Expand 88 , help a brother out as I sucked at math never mind ZULU ( LOL ) IS 12Z = 7am ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Euro looks good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:04 PM, Snow88 said: Euro looks good Expand "CCB" is in a good spot but seems really dry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Much improved from 0z. Looks like a realistic RGEM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Really nice look, just would expect it to be a little more juiced. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Another twenty miles east and New York City gets 6-12 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:10 PM, Ericjcrash said: Expand That’s some cut off around the Queens - Nassau border up through Eastern Westchester and Putnam. Would be odd for Danbury to get less than Manhattan - I guess this is where the CCB would be parking itself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:16 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: Another two miles east and New York City gets 6-12 Expand Agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:10 PM, Ericjcrash said: Expand Interesting now a West vs East gradient as opposed to north vs south. Very different from previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:18 PM, ILoveWinter said: That’s some cut off around the Queens - Nassau border up through Eastern Westchester and Putnam. Would be odd for Danbury to get less than Manhattan - I guess this is where the CCB would be parking itself? Expand If Manhattan/Queens get more snow from this then Northeast Westchester and interior CT I will be pretty shocked, it's possible if the banding goes right over the city but very unlikely in an early December storm with this type of synoptic setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I look to be in a good position to see 1'+ here in Middletown, NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:20 PM, HVSnowLover said: Interesting now a West vs East gradient as opposed to north vs south. Very different from previous runs. Expand Looks to be due to where the back end snow band sets up. Hopefully for MBY it shifts East a little more. Round 1 won’t be a big producer unless you’re way north, so we’re mostly waiting for what the second part does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I'll take the backend couple inches and run on that run. I'll be doing backflips over here if I see 1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:27 PM, HailMan06 said: I look to be in a good position to see 1'+ here in Middletown, NY. Expand Yup, I’d say I-84 corridor/Rt 17 is in a good spot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 That will work..... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 This one has big bust potential written all over it with so many moving parts. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:48 PM, bluewave said: This one has big bust potential written all over it with so many moving parts. Expand this would be a slam dunk with a better airmass 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:48 PM, bluewave said: This one has big bust potential written all over it with so many moving parts. Expand Either way. Agreed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:48 PM, bluewave said: This one has big bust potential written all over it with so many moving parts. Expand Of both the high and low variety I would say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:48 PM, bluewave said: This one has big bust potential written all over it with so many moving parts. Expand Snow88 , I got this one = hey BW why are you being so negative lol . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:48 PM, bluewave said: This one has big bust potential written all over it with so many moving parts. Expand This storm honestly is giving me a headache, I really don't like the setup for the coast but I can also see how it can turn out well if everything falls into place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:50 PM, forkyfork said: this would be a slam dunk with a better airmass Expand I'm not so sure because if the system develops slower/closes off slower there would be no CCB or heavy snow on the NW side anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Anyone have a ball park starting for this on Sunday ????? Are we still looking at noon ? Asking for many people who are going to airports and driving back to colleges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:50 PM, ILoveWinter said: Of both the high and low variety I would say Expand That’s for sure. All dependent on location. Hopefully, the uncertainty gets conveyed in the forecasts. Get ready for nowcast time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 6:55 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I'm not so sure because if the system develops slower/closes off slower there would be no CCB or heavy snow on the NW side anyway. Expand the mid level tracks are great for us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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