psv88 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 2:40 PM, CarLover014 said: Looks like a goose egg this time around for me. Expand You were never in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 2:39 PM, NYCweatherNOW said: Nam looks better let’s just put it that way Expand it does not look better to me,,,more North NOT South feel free to correct me if I am mistaken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 2:41 PM, psv88 said: You were never in the game Expand Yeah, we're lucky to see anything before January most of the time. Mt. Holly's 2" is a long shot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 11:59 AM, Brasiluvsnow said: Blue Wave or anyone else = I go onto Pivotal Weather but I was not aware that I could get a snow map that you just posted. The maps I look at on there show a much broader / way larger portion of the North East . Can you tell me where / how I can find the map that you just posted which narrows areas down and shows Eastern to Shirley and Marlboro to Danbury ? Thanks in advance guys Expand Here are some quick instructions. Also, the "Local" feature isn't available for all models. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 2:43 PM, Brasiluvsnow said: it does not look better to me,,,more North NOT South feel free to correct me if I am mistaken Expand Its not better but not really much worse except maybe on the fringes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 early snow pack....cant help but, give you good vibes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 2:45 PM, donsutherland1 said: Here are some quick instructions. Also, the "Local" feature isn't available for all models. Expand Thanks Don 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 New NAM total for storm: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=neus&pkg=asnowd&runtime=2019113012&fh=84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 12z NAM probably the worst run for this system in days. Verbatim, most of the board lands a coating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Don't despair too much snow weenies. We are just getting started with met. winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 2:55 PM, Enigma said: 12z NAM probably the worst run for this system in days. Verbatim, most of the board lands a coating. Expand Coating? It shows around 1-2 inches. I would take that in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I'm cherry picking obviously, but this wouldn't suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:02 PM, White Gorilla said: Don't despair too much snow weenies. We are just getting started with met. winter. Expand We just have to wish for the best tomorrow. We still have all day and overnight tonight to look at the models. I have been on a few hours of sleep every night looking at the models. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 1:53 PM, SnowDemon said: Hot take. Moderation in the sub forum is terrible. Sent from my SM-G960U using Tapatalk Expand This is your first post since March 3rd where you complained about snowman19. Why don't you try to add to the discussion instead of getting suspended for being a jackass? 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:03 PM, Snow88 said: We just have to wish for the best tomorrow. We still have all day and overnight tonight to look at the models. I have been on a few hours of sleep every night looking at the models. Expand Let us hope the blocking is stronger than modeled 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 RGEM starts the NYC area as snow and sleet tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Any current negative NAO observations compared to what has been forecasted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Stronger blocking than advertised IMO would be a plus for the weenies but lets keep in mind that the coastal Low has not even arrived / formed as of yet. Lots of time to hug models and for changes this is a LONG event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 @SnowDemon. Nice PM. See ya in 2020. 1 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:07 PM, Snow88 said: RGEM starts the NYC area as snow and sleet tomorrow. Expand I still doubt its anything but PL near the city. The NAM warm nose is big. Still nervous for Monday. Don't like the closed low sitting out there but I doubt we have any resolution on that til tomorrow's runs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:13 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I still doubt its anything but PL near the city. The NAM warm nose is big. Still nervous for Monday. Don't like the closed low sitting out there but I doubt we have any resolution on that til tomorrow's runs Expand Closed low scenarios usually end up surprising someone, only we don't know which direction that surprise will take yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 NAM clearly improved for parts of the subforum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:13 PM, Rjay said: [mention=1920]SnowDemon[/mention]. Nice PM. See ya in 2020. Can I vote never? Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:15 PM, BxEngine said: NAM clearly improved for parts of the subforum. Expand Big cut down in snow in northern New York and Northern New England. Wonder if that means anything. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:15 PM, White Gorilla said: Closed low scenarios usually end up surprising someone, only we don't know which direction that surprise will take yet. Expand The exact dry slot placement is always a wild card with these close low set ups. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Are there any high res models that historically have had higher verification scores for closed low scenarios? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:15 PM, BxEngine said: NAM clearly improved for parts of the subforum. Expand Looks a bit improved for almost everyone, still a minor event for the city which is what I am expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 GFS just double down for west and north of the city. There are mutiple areas of banding on the GFS. We really have to watch that to see where it sets up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:50 PM, Snow88 said: GFS just double down for west and north of the city. There are mutiple areas of banding on the GFS. We really have to watch that to see where it sets up. Expand This seems to be the latest trend, the good snow stays north of the city on the models. I also think the boundary layer may be an issue for the city even on Monday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 On 11/30/2019 at 3:51 PM, HVSnowLover said: This seems to be the latest trend, the good snow stays north of the city on the models. I also think the boundary layer may be an issue for the city even on Monday. Expand The big amounts came slightly further south. By all means this isn't the end solution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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