Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Here’s the thing. Front end WAA qpf is probably locked in. Nor’easter qpf isn’t its 48 hrs out still 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: wow, looks like 2-5" for most of CT and call it a day. next Not even mad about it because its so odd. Would actually be cool to walk out on a decent day for lunch while every direction is getting hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Next; Off to the 0Z Euro we go. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Dr. Dews said: wow, looks like 2-5" for most of CT and call it a day. next nice call Deb, still Debbing Methuen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I'm surprised (actually hadn't been looking earlier) to see that 8" down on the south shore. That's way different than their NWS forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Updated forecast - mainly to shove Hartford in 3-5 and New Haven in 1-3. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: nice call Deb, still Debbing Methuen? 40 70 will probably see 6-10" in the dangerous streets of Methuen, MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: I'm surprised (actually hadn't been looking earlier) to see that 8" down on the south shore. That's way different than their NWS forecast. The Nor’easter nails them and if that qpf happens with better ratios they could double digit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: Updated forecast - mainly to shove Hartford in 3-5 and New Haven in 1-3. Sleet bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Updated forecast - mainly to shove Hartford in 3-5 and New Haven in 1-3. Nothing from the Nor’easter, interesting. Best of luck with this crazy anomalous system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Take them up 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Nothing from the Nor’easter, interesting. Best of luck with this crazy anomalous system Some bonus on Monday seems possible but I wouldn't bank on much here. Models look better west (NYC) and east (BOS). 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 hours ago, WinterWolf said: Ya A snow/subsidence Hole is one thing....but the whole State of CT? While the Hudson valley to our west, and NYC to our SW, and NJ to our SW. and western Mass to our north, and Boston to our NE all get whaled? That just seems like the ultimate cosmic Dildo for an entire State-not just a 10 -15 mile Snow hole. I mean absolutely everything would have to go wrong for that to ever happen..everything. And that’s as rare as needing everything To go absolutely right. Even in Boxing Day I did ok relatively speaking with that mess..just never got into the absolute crazy stuff(after being forecasted to) and ended up with about a foot. But this is showing practically nothing for the whole state of CT From rnd 2?? I just don’t buy it with so much uncertainty on the second round. boxing day had a subsidence zone bigger than the state of ct all the worry I had over the years I now see some of it in CT and CT has really been the big winners overall compared to climo and all else the past 15-20 years or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Updated forecast - mainly to shove Hartford in 3-5 and New Haven in 1-3. See you cut back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: The Nor’easter nails them and if that qpf happens with better ratios they could double digit That would be awesome. Hopefully some round 2 magic can happen region-wide, but based on the posts here it seems it's more east and north at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Here’s the thing. Front end WAA qpf is probably locked in. Nor’easter qpf isn’t its 48 hrs out still I'm a meteorologist, and I support this statement. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: Some bonus on Monday seems possible but I wouldn't bank on much here. Models look better west (NYC) and east (BOS). I hope to pick up some being the furthest east in the State, the CCB is TBD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: I'm a meteorologist, and I support his statement. Staying at a motel 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: I'm a meteorologist, and I support his statement. thats what makes this so difficult, totally agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I hope to pick up some being the furthest east in the State, the CCB is TBD You may... worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Not certain why nobody mentions the BTV WRF model but me what a all time pounding route 2 and E SNE , Berks round 2 on 18z is freakish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Thinking 8 to 10 here hoping for more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I'm a meteorologist, and I support his statement. I slept in a non Holiday Inn last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Not certain why nobody mentions the BTV WRF model but me what a all time pounding round 2 on 18z is freakish Because nobody has it bookmarked? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Not certain why nobody mentions the BTV WRF model but me what a all time pounding round 2 on 18z is freakish Because it lacks pretty graphics and you have to remember to look for it. Link: https://www.weather.gov/btv/4kmwrf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Thinking 4-6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Not certain why nobody mentions the BTV WRF model but me what a all time pounding route 2 and E SNE , Berks round 2 on 18z is freakish Cuz you never mention it post storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Not certain why nobody mentions the BTV WRF model but me what a all time pounding route 2 and E SNE , Berks round 2 on 18z is freakish Post it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Take them up yours and my qpf are pretty similar. seeing almost all of it over 1" and some of it around 1.4 - 1.5, and I think even one closer to 2". That should be 10:1 for the first .5 - .75 and then perhaps some 15:1 for the second half. i think a lot of those 8-12 might change to 12-18. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, mahk_webstah said: yours and my qpf are pretty similar. seeing almost all of it over 1" and some of it around 1.4 - 1.5, and I think even one closer to 2". That should be 10:1 for the first .5 - .75 and then perhaps some 15:1 for the second half. i think a lot of those 8-12 might change to 12-18. Time will tell, We have a few more model cycles to go, Like to see things hold going forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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