Go Kart Mozart Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 The IVT band will not occur where modeled 51 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, JC-CT said: That is just a sick snow hole over the entire state of Connecticut That can’t be correct. I mean cmon...the whole state gets completely missed by this ULL that’s south of LI?? Everybody else gets in on it, but it completely jumps over CT? Something seems off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: The IVT band will not occur where modeled 51 hours out. Of course . Many changes to go. Who knows if these bands will happen. All the models today are stalling the storm further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, JC-CT said: Is round 2 still the meat and potatoes compared to round 1? I think you said that 3 or 4 times. Why are you using the NAM? Are you upset you’re getting 6-9”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: That can’t be correct. I mean cmon...the whole state gets completely missed by this ULL that’s south of LI?? Everybody else gets in on it, but it completely jumps over CT? Something seems off? Dry air aloft FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Every model has the same ccb today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What an abysmal run for CT. Congrats to NYC. Let's let em have one brother 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 The ULL drops most of The CT on East snow. That hasn’t changed in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Dry air aloft FTL. Ya but I think that changes going forward. You put an ULL in that spot south of us...and everywhere but CT gets some goods? I ain’t buying that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Don't sell that Nam yet, Thats going to be one heck of a deform band back to the SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Finally fills in overnight Mon for a few hours...yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Wow Boston crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 wow E SNE burial late monday nite/Tues am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Going to be some sick rates with that look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Russ Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 When is snow likely to restart in Boston in the evening on Monday? Would afternoon flights run like normal? I imagine even if the runway is clear, there are so many planes that won't be able to make it to fly out of Boston. (I wish I understood all the jargon here. I sometimes lurk on this site and find it fascinating.) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 look at the 5H VV's blow up 6z to 12z ...that's 3/hr stuff there over eastern areas wide spread 2feet lol for 128 into 495 S NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Finally fills in overnight Mon for a few hours...yay. That ain’t happening...it’s not gonna play out like that with the whole state missing out for the most part on an ULL south of LI like that. at times one has to question some of these ideas...you know Meteorology..not modelology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Ya but I think that changes going forward. You put an ULL in that spot south of us...and everywhere but CT gets some goods? I ain’t buying that at all. More to it than that. EMA crushed in later frames lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Wow Boston crushed Round 2? On my phone was only seeing congrats Nys/pa/nj and keven posting like niedermeir that “all is well”. Anxious to see this back at home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 CT folks tossed the towel in a little early............... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Round 2? On my phone was only seeing congrats Nys/pa/nj and keven posting like niedermeir that “all is well”. Anxious to see this back at home. Yea round 2. Monday night is wild on the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 9 minutes ago, JC-CT said: That is just a sick snow hole over the entire state of Connecticut Wasn't someone mentioning this reminded them of Boxing Day the other day? Ouch is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: Ct folks tossed the towel a little early............... Weak for CT. Everyone else surrounds with 12+ though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow88 said: Yea round 2. Monday night is wild on the Nam. Nice. Hopefully out to my hood because I’m greedy with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Weak for CT. Everyone else surrounds with 12+ though. I guess 7-10" on Dec 1 must really suck. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: There have been 9 years out of 123 with 6 inches or more in Hfd area between 10 1 and 12 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: An inch by my area? Tossed as far as the eye can see. I actually forecasted some sleet into s NH, but those totals are absurd. I definitely agree that was a real warm outlier, but I did want to highlight one nice thing about the 3km NAM. It explicitly forecasts snow ratios based on hydrometeor type. Snow ratios change according to the rime factor. The higher the rime factor the close to pure sleet you are getting. This example from the latest 3 km shows reflectivity and rime factor. Over NNE there is reflectivity but no rime factor (=pure snow). As you move SW you get more and more riming. > 5 rime factor (cyan into the warm colors) is typically graupel and sleet. The NAM will use snow ratios anywhere from 5:1 for graupel down to 2:1 for sleet. Between the no riming and factor of 5 you get ratios from 3:1 to 8:1. It definitely produces a more realistic looking snowfall map in situations where mixing is forecast to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Round 2? On my phone was only seeing congrats Nys/pa/nj and keven posting like niedermeir that “all is well”. Anxious to see this back at home. There’s a few posters buying the NAM. That’s their choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Garbage. Congrats Lunenberg on 30". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 BOS and NYC can both nod heads in agreement with 18Z NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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