moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 A picture-perfect 128/north of the Pike depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nice frontender on the cmc Check out the HRDPS. Lovely front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Pickles MPM must have more worry wrinkles than any human on earth. Jesus you both are going to get smoked. Lol I enjoy just reading and sitting back. One thing to watch for us on the southern edge of the big WAA snow amounts as Will alluded to huge omega and a marginal warm layer could be in play. The Noreaster is still up for grabs, easily could move around. Enjoy all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Dec 1992 is #1.. I figured as much. I doubt this cracks the top 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: A picture-perfect 128/north of the Pike depiction. Low end? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: I figured as much. I doubt this cracks the top 5 I think it drops off pretty quickly from 92. There's some 12-18" storms that probably round out the top 5, but Will can give you the deets. edit..looks like he did...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Will, any list of the top 5 December snowstorms for ORH? Off top of my head: 1. Dec 11-12, 1992....32.1 2. Dec 23, 1997..........18.0 3. Dec 23-25, 1961.....17.6 4. Dec 7-8, 1996........16.3 (right after 10.0 fell on 12/6/96...these are not officially counted as one system) Not sure which would be #5. There's a bunch in that 13-15 range. I'm a little surprised I couldn't think of another one over 20" but I'm pretty sure that's it for December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Best stuff on RGEM for CCB looks like NH and NE MA. Though it does have some stuff in CT but It's mostly western CT and then up into far W MA and NY st. Central and eastern CT kind of end up in a hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 9 minutes ago, dendrite said: The chickens are thankful for the ICON this holiday season. I really hope it pulls off the coup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Low end? With MPM, you can start low and can always adjust lower. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 10 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Just the tropical tidbits maps. Most of the others are smart enough to exclude sleet. But they should still be taken with a grain of salt. Well that's good to know. 10 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Just use the precipitation maps. Somewhat more reliable, just not as fun or pretty. true When I first starting taking stabs at snowfall forecasting I use to just estimate a ratio and see what the precip maps were showing for QPF and bang out some math...worked once in a while lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: With MPM, you can start low and can always adjust lower. He’s a lock for a foot. Disregard the worry coming from that region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: With MPM, you can start low and can always adjust lower. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: Well that's good to know. true When I first starting taking stabs at snowfall forecasting I use to just estimate a ratio and see what the precip maps were showing for QPF and bang out some math...worked once in a while lol Clown maps didn't even exist yet when I started forecasting. They aren't needed...using QPF and then massaging it based on the other features like midlevels and thermal profiles will get you where you need to be. 10 to 1 isn't a bad place to start but often you need to cut back on the qpf itself...once in a while you adjust upward of it's a really nice midlevel magic look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Pickles MPM must have more worry wrinkles than any human on earth. Jesus you both are going to get smoked. Lol I enjoy just reading and sitting back. One thing to watch for us on the southern edge of the big WAA snow amounts as Will alluded to huge omega and a marginal warm layer could be in play. The Noreaster is still up for grabs, easily could move around. Enjoy all I haven't been boo-hooing at all with this. At least I don't think I've been.... 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Low end? Yup.....the others weren't as demarked by the highways as this one. But, I think it does demonstrate well how the highways are built through terrain in the same way that sensible weather often sets up. 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Off top of my head: 1. Dec 11-12, 1992....32.1 2. Dec 23, 1997..........18.0 3. Dec 23-25, 1961.....17.6 4. Dec 7-8, 1996........16.3 (right after 10.0 fell on 12/6/96...these are not officially counted as one system) Not sure which would be #5. There's a bunch in that 13-15 range. I'm a little surprised I couldn't think of another one over 20" but I'm pretty sure that's it for December. I'm not sure which I'm more surprised by.....that there isn't another 20" one or that there's some semblance of doubt on your part as to whether there was one you're not thinking of. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Haven’t seen anything to change thinking of 8-12” NE CT hills with a lot Of that coming Monday night . I feel very confident after seeing all the 12z stuff 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I would certainly remove a few articles of clothing for the cmc to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Deformed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I would certainly remove a few articles of clothing for the cmc to verify. not sure I would do that, but I would definitely take that run and be happy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 12z herpes through Monday morning. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Deformed! There is our 8-12 inches from the NWS...now do the Canadians have a clue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Spanks45 said: not sure I would do that, but I would definitely take that run and be happy.... That’s a fluff bomb dude. Over performer of the qpf. Nudity is mandatory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: 12z herpes through Monday morning. Surprisingly it looks a lot more reasonable for that WCB. Usually it's the other way around but the regular RGEM is unhinged on the QPF with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: 12z herpes through Monday morning. Epic screw job for Maine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 UK looks about the same, hard to tell. Still looks like the most tucked in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s a fluff bomb dude. Over performer of the qpf. Nudity is mandatory. Any graphics from the CMC..qpf/Snow amounts, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Congrats, Chris--wow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, bobbutts said: Epic screw job for Maine. Not too much different from the other models. It's later on Monday where they have to score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 NAM, RGEM and GEM have all trended south. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Congrats, Chris--wow! Ya that’s perfect for us Western peeps...cmon Canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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