Logan11 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, snowgeek said: VD2007 was 16.8”. Sleet and dry slot tickled us. . Ahh.. Avoided sleet here. 24" in that one. My first great storm out here, after moving up from Saugerties in 2005. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Pike region looks good for rounds 1 and 2. NH/MA border region up to dendrite looks best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: RGEM on meteocentre...for the pike crowd, save it...all downhill from here RGEM NAMed us....wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: RGEM on meteocentre...for the pike crowd, save it...all downhill from here 25 to 30 mile south shift please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks a little slower on the GFS Round 2 explodes south of Lubec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Agreed. It's a hellacious dryslot in this. Beware the dryslot. The dry slot will screw someone...but I would think it's only temporary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, ineedsnow said: 25 to 30 mile south shift please Yes, I've been on the edge of all the model runs myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 25 to 30 mile south shift please Those are the Messenger increments. Death by a thousand cuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 22 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Here's the RGEM clown map. Eww. Ugly in CT, albeit Kent. That hole is showing up on Multiple pieces of guidance now. Gotta hope round two provides a lil suttin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 When does the CMC roll out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Is the RGEM doing anything with the CCB? Based on the structure of that snow map my guess it isn't...Unless it does have it but it is not bringing it into CT and has it traversing west to east across MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: When does the CMC roll out? Coming out right now. Out to 18h 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 GFS clown. Luke approves. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 ^^^Now that makes more sense Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: Is the RGEM doing anything with the CCB? Based on the structure of that snow map my guess it isn't...Unless it does have it but it is not bringing it into CT and has it traversing west to east across MA. Best stuff on RGEM for CCB looks like NH and NE MA. Though it does have some stuff in CT but It's mostly western CT and then up into far W MA and NY st. Central and eastern CT kind of end up in a hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: GFS clown. Luke approves. GFS crushes the Poconos the hardest? Must be an interesting solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Best stuff on RGEM for CCB looks like NH and NE MA. Though it does have some stuff in CT but It's mostly western CT and then up into far W MA and NY st. Central and eastern CT kind of end up in a hole. Gotcha...sort of seems similar to what the GFS would indicate? Just looking at mlvls on the GFS that's something I can envision happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 GGEM tickled a little colder too. Still has that insane WCB on the front end kind of like the RGEM does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Wait a second...do all snow maps account for sleet in the algorithms? No wonder why they're always spitting out insane totals You can't incorporate sleet into an algorithm using a fixed ratio...especially a ratio that high. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Keep in mind those TT maps include PL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: Wait a second...do all snow maps account for sleet in the algorithms? No wonder why they're always spitting out insane totals You can't incorporate sleet into an algorithm using a fixed ratio...especially a ratio that high. Where have you been the last 3 years? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Where have you been the last 3 years? I only use them to just gather an illustration of the area where snow accumulations are possible...its just a glancing look too. Other than this I don't pay attention to them and just look past them whenever I see them on social media or anywhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: GGEM tickled a little colder too. Still has that insane WCB on the front end kind of like the RGEM does. More Ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Wait a second...do all snow maps account for sleet in the algorithms? No wonder why they're always spitting out insane totals You can't incorporate sleet into an algorithm using a fixed ratio...especially a ratio that high. Just the tropical tidbits maps. Most of the others are smart enough to exclude sleet. But they should still be taken with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 The chickens are thankful for the ICON this holiday season. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Wait a second...do all snow maps account for sleet in the algorithms? No wonder why they're always spitting out insane totals You can't incorporate sleet into an algorithm using a fixed ratio...especially a ratio that high. Just use the precipitation maps. Somewhat more reliable, just not as fun or pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Nice frontender on the cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Will, any list of the top 5 December snowstorms for ORH? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Will, any list of the top 5 December snowstorms for ORH? Dollars to donuts, this won't be one of them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Will, any list of the top 5 December snowstorms for ORH? Dec 1992 is #1.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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