Monday 12/2 Threat Disco

[Hoth]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Be mindful of that fact that is probably counting a lot of borderline crap as snow.

That's a great point.

[TalcottWx]

Is there still that modeled stall or has that gone with the wind? 

[JC-CT]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Pretty much anywhere.   I really doubt anyone gets over a foot

I'd be very surprised if somewhere in the berks/e nys didn't.

[JC-CT]

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Is there still that modeled stall or has that gone with the wind? 

That has actually been stubbornly persistent

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Pretty much anywhere.   I really doubt anyone gets over a foot

I think rt 2 north and western New England look good. I could see those numbers there. 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

The warm tongue is always closer than it appears 

And it was out in CT

[WinterWolf]

Just now, JC-CT said:

That has actually been stubbornly persistent

Ya..I was surprised to see that hanging tough?  Usually that’s a mirage that never plays out...or goes away as we close in.  

[dryslot]

You can toss those snow maps right into the Ct river.

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looked like 18 for you.

WCB crushes. And then it's still pretty good Monday night. But Monday morning and midday could be mixed crapola. Still hard to complain though for Dec 1-2

[dryslot]

6 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Be mindful of that fact that is probably counting a lot of borderline crap as snow.

It is.

[Damage In Tolland]

Most of the snow comes from round 2. That’s where some places grab 6-10+

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

You can toss those snow maps right into the Ct river.

I tried to, but I was following the snow maps and they had it misplaced so I ended up throwing them right into Kevin's fanny.

[CoastalWx]

Round 1 crushes for sure. I’m all in on that. Round 2 is a little more questionable. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Most of the snow comes from round 2. That’s where some places grab 6-10+

Long duration event regardless if it’s flurries or rotting under a fluff band. 

[TalcottWx]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Round 1 crushes for sure. I’m all in on that. Round 2 is a little more questionable. 

God I am confused. Need to get in front of a computer again. 

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most of the snow comes from round 2. That’s where some places grab 6-10+

Depends where you are. I think the further northeast you are, round 1 is better. But I agree round 2 is probably going to be undernodeled in many spots. Even on this euro run after it destroys western zones, it looks good further east Monday night. 

[WinterWolf]

This kind of reminds me of January 16 for the mid Atlantic...when the models pretty much honed in on NYC on south for the big hit.  Every run they were in it. 
 

This seems to be doing Something similar, with the big amounts of qpf in western New England as a constant theme with each run....on multiple guidance.   
 

 

[weathafella]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Most of the snow comes from round 2. That’s where some places grab 6-10+

Depends.  Round 1 can easily give many 4-8.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Depends where you are. I think the further northeast you are, round 1 is better. But I agree round 2 is probably going to be undernodeled in many spots. Even on this euro run after it destroys western zones, it looks good further east Monday night. 

How long does it snow into Tuesday you think?

[CT Rain]

Looks like a prolonged period of crap icing for many areas inland Sunday night, Monday AM, etc. Should be real nasty stuff with snow before and after. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

How long does it snow into Tuesday you think?

I’m thinking pre dawn Hours it’s over for us in CT...out East obviously it lasts longer into Tuesday. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CT Rain said:

Looks like a prolonged period of crap icing for many areas inland Sunday night, Monday AM, etc. Should be real nasty stuff with snow before and after. 

That could make things even worse with that sandwiched in there...

[JC-CT]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Round 1 crushes for sure. I’m all in on that. Round 2 is a little more questionable. 

Well it's also 72-96 hours out so that certainly makes sense that confidence is lower

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

How long does it snow into Tuesday you think?

Prob early morning sometime. Eastern areas it may linger into early afternoon. It depends exactly on the ULL obviously. 

[weathafella]

Snow exits the coast early Tuesday AM per all guidance 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

Looks like a prolonged period of crap icing for many areas inland Sunday night, Monday AM, etc. Should be real nasty stuff with snow before and after. 

For a time down that way H7, H85 and H92 were not very favorable, But you have the right idea with the bookend snows and mix in between.

[JC-CT]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Prob early morning sometime. Eastern areas it may linger into early afternoon. It depends exactly on the ULL obviously. 

Anything Tuesday has to be that crap where flakes are falling but accumulations don't actually budge an inch

[WinterWolf]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Anything Tuesday has to be that crap where flakes are falling but accumulations don't actually budge an inch

Yup. It’ll be over here/most in CT before the sun comes up imo.  Always go on the shorter range with these...that’s usually how it goes.  If it lasts longer, then it’s an even nicer surprise. 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, JC-CT said:

Anything Tuesday has to be that crap where flakes are falling but accumulations don't actually budge an inch

There will probably be a lot of that the final 6-8 hours. Wouldn't surprise me if weenie flakes linger much of the day Tuesday in eastern areas. But the accumulating stuff is probably ending early Tuesday morning there. 

[weathafella]

And cold follows enhanced by nice region wide and Canadian snow cover.