CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 That’s a fairly minimal flip to rain here on the gfs. Back to snow Mon aftn. Looks good Monday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Congrats, Ray. 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Part 2 never really gets going on Gfs regarding banding ...clown maps not withstanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Even seeing some MAUL looks on some soundings...makes sense with some steep lapse rates involved. I'd watch for convective elements here which can really make for some localized white pasting fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Seems like dynamic cooling perhaps is trying to really get going and trying to work some magic. We're super close here in northern CT...riding along the lines of an isothermal paste job. Kevin without power for weeks This is a powdery snow inland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Part 2 never really gets going on Gfs regarding banding ...clown maps not withstanding It may be just banded in nature. It’s an occluding storm which usually means banded nature. On the other hand sometimes you get a healthy precip shield if things come together just right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This is a powdery snow inland Yeah don’t see wet snow there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This is a powdery snow inland I don't think it's that powdery in CT....maybe, maybe at the very onset of the WAA thump. On MOnday though thermals are a little too warm for powder here I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I don't think it's that powdery in CT....maybe, maybe at the very onset of the WAA thump. On MOnday though thermals are a little too warm for powder here I think It is. Dry fluff Bomb . Especially round 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 GFS gives me roughly 5-10 inches of snow after virtually nothing from round 1.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It may be just banded in nature. It’s an occluding storm which usually means banded nature. On the other hand sometimes you get a healthy precip shield if things come together just right i thought some models had a deepening storm Monday evening with good VV's Wouldn't an occluding storm with deep E'rly Flow favor those ORH hills nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It may be just banded in nature. It’s an occluding storm which usually means banded nature. On the other hand sometimes you get a healthy precip shield if things come together just right Euro looked more cohesive on the qpf maps. The mid-levels look pretty good on the soundings. I could see qpf being a little underdone in round 2 while overdone in round 1. Though someone is gonna get crushed for a time in round 1 as that flow start to turn easterly....classic bent back WF...that looks most likely up in eastern and northeastern areas. Round 2 could be sneaky good out west though...even as round 1 isn't totally finished in eastern MA and SE NH. Like overnight Sunday night it could already start going mid-level magic out near Chris and then also filling in over W CT. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: It is. Dry fluff Bomb . Especially round 2 Or, sleet bomb followed by intermittent nonaccumating snow showers. Or something in between. TBD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 12 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: GFS gives me roughly 5-10 inches of snow after virtually nothing from round 1.... Yup. 1 to 2 from the front and 4 to 8 from the back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 The ggem is coming in frigid in the mids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 watches with the 4:00 package? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 17 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: i thought some models had a deepening storm Monday evening with good VV's Wouldn't an occluding storm with deep E'rly Flow favor those ORH hills nicely 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro looked more cohesive on the qpf maps. The mid-levels look pretty good on the soundings. I could see qpf being a little underdone in round 2 while overdone in round 1. Though someone is gonna get crushed for a time in round 1 as that flow start to turn easterly....classic bent back WF...that looks most likely up in eastern and northeastern areas. Round 2 could be sneaky good out west though...even as round 1 isn't totally finished in eastern MA and SE NH. Like overnight Sunday night it could already start going mid-level magic out near Chris and then also filling in over W CT. That’s my interpretation too. I think out there may have best combo of deep RH in the mid levels and frontogenesis for round 2. It could spread east and blossom, but I think that’s where it was favorable on the euro. It’s also where it won’t dry out much aloft during the day Monday. Gfs looked decent here Monday night I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 I’d love to lock in the Canadian, but I’m not sure those words ever meant much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s my interpretation too. I think out there may have best combo of deep RH in the mid levels and frontogenesis for round 2. It could spread east and blossom, but I think that’s where it was favorable on the euro. It’s also where it won’t dry out much aloft during the day Monday. Gfs looked decent here Monday night I thought. Congrats, Chris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 thumpy on canadian. steady as she goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’d love to lock in the Canadian, but I’m not sure those words ever meant much. Ray said the 0z run is exactly what he thinks will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 I’m embarrassed to say after all these years I don’t know who or what “The Pope” is. Help please. . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Cmc is pretty similiar to the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 CMC is big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 The snow doesnt want to stop on the cmc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 CMC is quite the shellacking for round 1! Then a nice dump round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, snowgeek said: I’m embarrassed to say after all these years I don’t know who or what “The Pope” is. Help please. . I nicknamed jbenedet "The Pope" because his screename reminded of Pope Benedict Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Cmc over 20 here and still going wow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Kudos to all who noted the potential with the pattern. Let’s hope this is just the beginning but it could easily be the biggest storm for awhile. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Lock that ggem run up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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