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Monday 12/2 Threat Disco


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2 minutes ago, monadnocks said:

If that GEM run were to verify.... New Ipswich isn't that far away from me.

 

Actually good agreement on the jack zone running from the Berkshires though the N ORH hills and Monadknocks on the Euro, GEM and GFS.

UK is disregarded by me. Crazy uncle closes this off waaay too fast. If anything, the current consensus may even be too fast.

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Pretty hard not to get excited looping the EPS at 72-96 hours...that's about as good as it gets for SNE. If there's one nitpick, maybe cool the column a little more to remove the threat of taint for southern zones during the WAA, but otherwise that is full green light for bigtime snow amounts. 

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Meanwhile, in the p/c department.......I'm thinking not.

Sunday
Snow, mainly after 11am. High near 32. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 2am. Low around 27. Northeast wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Monday
Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after noon. High near 31. North wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
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Just now, moneypitmike said:

Meanwhile, in the p/c department.......I'm thinking not.

Sunday
Snow, mainly after 11am. High near 32. Calm wind becoming southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Sunday Night
Rain and snow, becoming all rain after 2am. Low around 27. Northeast wind 6 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Monday
Snow, possibly mixed with rain, becoming all snow after noon. High near 31. North wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

That stupid crap is always behind and just pathetic.  I never look at that anymore...unless we are 5 minutes from go time.  

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Just now, moneypitmike said:

Going from a Sunday high of 32 and Sunday night low of 27, yet rain, not even a mention of ip or  zr.  :)

Lol..that’s my point.  It’s GFS derived I think,  and it’s not up to date, and doesn’t make sense most times.  It’ll catch up a few minutes before go time.  Like I said...I don’t waste my time with it anymore unless the event is underway, and I just want to look at it for haha’s. 

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The gradient with this is going to be pretty significant. Where the banding traverses on Monday is going to produce some fairly hefty totals (like 10-16'' maybe?) but outside of the banding you'll probably see a huge drop off in totals. The mesoscale favored areas are going to cash in quite well. Not sure if we get into the higher-end of totals down here in CT...I can see perhaps extreme northern CT...perhaps to Kevin maybe getting into 8-12''. 

Probably update my map later this afternoon. 

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6 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

The gradient with this is going to be pretty significant. Where the banding traverses on Monday is going to produce some fairly hefty totals (like 10-16'' maybe?) but outside of the banding you'll probably see a huge drop off in totals. The mesoscale favored areas are going to cash in quite well. Not sure if we get into the higher-end of totals down here in CT...I can see perhaps extreme northern CT...perhaps to Kevin maybe getting into 8-12''. 

Probably update my map later this afternoon. 

You sound less bullish on states of emergency than Kevin.  Why do you downplay so much?   :)

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