Whineminster Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Does this qualify as a stinger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS, NAM, GEM and UK aren't light.. West of the main band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 Euro was a hair west...but not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: West of the main band. Well, yea....they all have the main band ashore.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Clearly hard to gauge what will happen later today. I'm up on the NH/MA border near Haverhill. Are we thinking this is it for the storm or another round? Will it be more of a now-cast thing or will it become clearler as the morning unfolds? Planning afternoon/evening travel around this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 It's going to be pretty close tonight. The mlvls look good enough that there should be a decent band that develops...only problem is it may be rather narrow and I think it's going to be a race between that becoming established and occlusion happening. I think CT is kinda screwed with round 2...maybe NW corner (shocker) gets into some of the goods with banding that develops eastern NY into N NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 way east on the deform band...it's basically done for most. Good thing we didn't up totals and stayed the course 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 PF's HRRR at 06z has 13.0" here, We'll see how "Good" this model is, My thinking was 6-10" ....................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: PF's HRRR at 06z has 13.0" here, We'll see how "Good" this model is....................... What does it do here, anything? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What does it do here, anything? Looks 7" or so for you, There's is a stripe of 12" nearby, But the 12z run should be coming out soon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Looks like Will was right with the upslope light snows much of the day in the interior hills with deep East flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 I'll know if this ends up further west then modeled it has me right on the edge of where the heaviest bands are suppose to be and i mean like 2-3 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'll know if this ends up further west then modeled it has me right on the edge of where the heaviest bands are suppose to be and i mean like 2-3 miles. and i'll know too because i'll be skunked 1.8" overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, tunafish said: and i'll know too because i'll be skunked 1.8" overnight Yikes, I got .5" but i wasn't suppose to see much more if any at all then that, I wonder what york county received? I havn't looked at a PNS yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: Yikes, I got .5" but i wasn't suppose to see much more if any at all then that, I wonder what york county received? I havn't looked at a PNS yet. Certainly better than me. In addition to below I heard 5" in OOB ...York County... 1 NNW Ogunquit 7.1 in 0135 AM 12/02 Public 2 NE Kennebunk 2.0 in 1257 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter Sanford 1.0 in 0909 PM 12/01 Public Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 According to the timing on this, Still have 24hrs or so before it starts, Feel like we tracked this for a month.......... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, tunafish said: Certainly better than me. In addition to below I heard 5" in OOB ...York County... 1 NNW Ogunquit 7.1 in 0135 AM 12/02 Public 2 NE Kennebunk 2.0 in 1257 AM 12/02 Trained Spotter Sanford 1.0 in 0909 PM 12/01 Public Curious to the updated totals, Those were kind of early on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Could this be a repeat of the December 20th, 2010 Event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Well NWS BOX is partial buying in on a part 2... I also have actual snow in my NWS forecast now as well (3-6”). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 57 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Even if you adjust west, I just feel like this massive band will barely tickle and just light crap west of it. It's a tight call. I’m with you. I don’t like the trends. I think it’s an all or nothing deal. Thinking you’ll want to be furthest South and East. Boston on the margin. Northeast trajectory from 50-100 miles east of BM = Eastern Long Island, RI, to SE MA, and especially cape and islands is where I think it’s a big hit; in terms of qpf. The changes have been subtle from run to run but the mid level track continues to trend south... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, jbenedet said: I’m with you. I don’t like the trends. I think it’s an all or nothing deal. Thinking you’ll want to be furthest South and East. Boston on the margin. Northeast trajectory from 50-100 miles east of BM = Eastern Long Island, RI, to SE MA, and especially cape and islands is where I think it’s a big hit. The changes have been subtle from run to run but the mid level track continues to trend south... The south trend favors the Cape and Islands, Long Island, Block Island areas. This is where I expect the heaviest snows to occur. The storm bombs either south of the benchmark and travels northward from there to a fifty miles east of CHH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Death band forming in Jersey. Sleet in times square. Rd 2 has begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The south trend favors the Cape and Islands, Long Island, Block Island areas. This is where I expect the heaviest snows to occur. The storm bombs either south of the benchmark and travels northward from there to a fifty miles east of CHH. How much has accumulated so far? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowBrosForever Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Curious to the updated totals, Those were kind of early on. Looks like onite total is .25 out here on Long, which is NE of previously cited locals and, most significantly, surrounded by H2O. Not enough for cx skis, at least not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: How much has accumulated so far? Oh all we have now is rain, which is expected. We will see things dramatically change as the upper level low hits the ocean off of HSE or VA Beach and the surface low goes through bombogenesis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Crush job for some today enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, SnowBrosForever said: Looks like onite total is .25 out here on Long, which is NE of previously cited locals and, most significantly, surrounded by H2O. Not enough for cx skis, at least not yet. Tough this time of year unless the rates are real heavy to accumulate by the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 3k NAM was quite a bit further east than the 12k. It's going to be tough to really pull the full meat and potatoes of the midlevel banding far enough west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: 3k NAM was quite a bit further east than the 12k. It's going to be tough to really pull the full meat and potatoes of the midlevel banding far enough west. That’s how I feel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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