Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, Pluffmud said: Yeah..this is not our storm here in RI but the season is young. I would not write off the CCB on the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Same person? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: The thing I'm a little baffled at is they have northern Fairfield and Litchfield county under the Winter Storm Warning, but, left Hartford and Tolland counties a Winter Weather Advisory? Grin what I'm seeing..we should be anywhere between 8-12"? They could technically get like 5" and then another 5" and since they fall more than 24 hours apart they wouldn't verify a warning.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Part 2 was a dud on the 06z run compared to 00z How much for Holliston/Ashland at 411 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: They could technically get like 5" and then another 5" and since they fall more than 24 hours apart they wouldn't verify a warning.... Okay..i thought that to, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: They could technically get like 5" and then another 5" and since they fall more than 24 hours apart they wouldn't verify a warning.... Yeah. Northern Fairfield county includes Danbury which is elevated and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 46 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Amazing we haven't figured out round 2 yet. Heck round 1 is hard enough to forecast right now. My gut says round 1 underperforms (relatively speaking) and round 2 overperforms. I think ORH is good for 8-14" but in the back of my mind I'm concerned they keep racking it up all day Monday on NE flow and they never ping or just briefly ping...BOS somewhere around 6-10". Jackpot zone is N ORH county over to Chris's 'hood and maybe monads and Mitch in S VT. And because Kevin will whine if I don't make a CT prediction. I'd go 6-10 there as well. Theres obviously some bigger than normal bust potential with this storm. Bump . The man knows snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Same person? Different wig? No way. Cranky lives in SE Mass and is extremely wx computer savy. Tip uses free Euro maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Holliston/Ashland line. WSW of Natick out toward 495/pike intersection You must be up by the reservoir. I’m just down the road in Miford for work. Coworker lives by the Holliston HS. Love to hit up Startline for some good beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: I would not write off the CCB on the Euro. I guess there’s always some hope! Come on CCB! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 51 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Amazing we haven't figured out round 2 yet. Heck round 1 is hard enough to forecast right now. My gut says round 1 underperforms (relatively speaking) and round 2 overperforms. I think ORH is good for 8-14" but in the back of my mind I'm concerned they keep racking it up all day Monday on NE flow and they never ping or just briefly ping...BOS somewhere around 6-10". Jackpot zone is N ORH county over to Chris's 'hood and maybe monads and Mitch in S VT. And because Kevin will whine if I don't make a CT prediction. I'd go 6-10 there as well. Theres obviously some bigger than normal bust potential with this storm. We pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How much for Holliston/Ashland at 411 feet? Prob 7-12ish right now. Again...big bust potential though. Esp over interior where Monday may snow a bit more than we think...even before the overnight Monday stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Well, 30 minutes until unitl the first chapter of the final model read. Get excited. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Different wig? No way. Cranky lives in SE Mass and is extremely wx computer savy. Tip uses free Euro maps Wow. What a smart cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Any coincidence that both Tip and Crankywx have been missing for 6 days each. *X-Files music* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob 7-12ish right now. Again...big bust potential though. Esp over interior where Monday may snow a bit more than we think...even before the overnight Monday stuff. Will seems to me Scott could definitely capitalize on the ocean enhancement stuff from late afternoon thru midnite and beyond Monday . Bit of a wild card there but S shore could thump from enhancement , no? It’s been dang consistent on modeling and by 4-5pm thermals should cooperate ceiling seems sneaky high there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Will seems to me Scott could definitely capitalize on the ocean enhancement stuff from late afternoon thru midnite and beyond . But if a wild card there but S shore could thump from enhancement , no? It’s been dang consistent on modeling and by 4-5pm thermals should cooperate Yeah. If he can flip back to snow by mid/late Monday afternoon, there's potential for big positive bust there too. The problem is obviously flipping back to snow that soon. Gets fairly mild in low levels on the east side of that CF for a while...but theoretically that should have sunk south of him by Monday late afternoon. So we'll see. 850s are marginal there on some guidance too until Monday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Prob 7-12ish right now. Again...big bust potential though. Esp over interior where Monday may snow a bit more than we think...even before the overnight Monday stuff. Since everyone is asking and I see you as the snow guru around here, thoughts on this weird snow hole over SWCT? Seems to have been showing up over the past 36 hrs, is this just the models not being able to see the subsistence zones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 WWA only for Boston ? Wtf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Since everyone is asking and I see you as the snow guru around here, thoughts on this weird snow hole over SWCT? Seems to have been showing up over the past 36 hrs, is this just the models not being able to see the subsistence zones? Yeah they are also trying to figure out if the CCB is going to be more coherent or not. There's been a general trend of more coherent in the past few runs but some of those 06z runs did show more holes again. My guess is you will see at least advisory snow (3-5) in round 2. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Juicy WCB from the nam. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 58 minutes ago, Hoth said: Lol, can't catch a break. New Jersey stealing our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, dendrite said: Juicy WCB from the nam. Where juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Where juicy Not us...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Not us...lol Well hopefully a little damp if not juicyWell hopefully a little damp if not juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 The NAM front end burst is back to being north of the Pike to about central VT/NH west to east. Looks like 4-8 by Monday morning at 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Pretty generous round 1 for above the CT/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 NH/MA border is pretty much ground zero. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Well hopefully a little damp if not juicyWell hopefully a little damp if not juicy We’ll get some snow...probably just not blockbuster unless we get a little bust in our favor. You’ll do better down there. edit...I keep forgetting you’re in Boscawen now too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: NH/MA border is pretty much ground zero. No surprise there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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