CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: 1/4-1/2SM, but only 0.15" in the can the past hour. Seems kinda high. I’m not sure we’ll ever see the throttling we put up in March with 0.3”+/hr melted and 4-5” per hour of man snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 16 minutes ago, dryslot said: So somebody got 30"? They are at about 20" in the highest spots near Albany and Mitch in S VT.... and look at the radar.... so um .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: UKIE still crushes round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: UKIE still crushes round 2 Yup, that's 1-2" of QPF over eastern NE... not too shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 14 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: Have the map that shows just snow accumulation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 How much of that has already fallen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 OKX sounding a little worried, def low confidence fx. The other challenging factor is the transition back to snow across the area on Wednesday. Using a consensus approach, this changeover occurs across the Lower Hudson Valley and interior NE NJ during the late morning hours, then works east in the afternoon and evening hours. A changeover to all snow is expected across much of the area by midnight. Timing of this transition in conjunction with the deformation zone will be key to the amount of snowfall that falls across the region. There will likely be significant differences in snowfall amounts over short distances. Forecast amount changes are highly likely as this event unfolds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Euro looks East again. Subtle trend with that today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmass495 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Cmass495 said: so UKIE has about 20" in same time frame and euro has 3-6" . NICE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro looks East again. Subtle trend with that today. I still don't even trust Euro or any model w this feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Euro looks a bit better for areas of C and W CT into NJ and NYC, im gonna laugh if the city gets more than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 56 minutes ago, dryslot said: So somebody got 30"? The heaviest I have seen in ENY and so. VT is a number of 17" spots from Schenectady to far southern Saratoga County, and also an 18" on the Greens spine in so. VT. I wonder if that is Mitch.... 13.5" here...still in that belt of light to mod snowfall from northern Mass/southern VT west into central NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I still don't even trust Euro The messenger shuffle lol. The ULL is moving east too. I’m not sure how much can sling west even with good mid level looking features. It’s close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Yeah 0z Euro round 2 more like 2-4" rather than 6-16" on 12z run... suggests the fading trend is real I'll leave the possibility for more with deformation further west and vortmaxes hard to pin down, and UK still huge, but it's tenuous Sometimes these Messenger fades don't relent once they start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: so UKIE has about 20" in same time frame and euro has 3-6" . NICE I'm suprised scooter is shrugging it off...how many times do we see banding west of qpf max? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 9 minutes ago, Logan11 said: The heaviest I have seen in ENY and so. VT is a number of 17" spots from Schenectady to far southern Saratoga County, and also an 18" on the Greens spine in so. VT. I wonder if that is Mitch.... 13.5" here...still in that belt of light to mod snowfall from northern Mass/southern VT west into central NY. I'll do my last measure for the nighttime period in about 5 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm suprised scooter is shrugging it off...how many times do we see banding west of qpf max? I believe we are seeing the ULL move East a bit faster which gives us only a little wiggle room To be honest...i'm interested and wouldn't sleep on some enhanced lift i'm seeing in models during the day tommorrow after 16-17z over N MA/S NH. Not light stuff and its still pounding fatties here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Welp, doesn't much matter what happens tomorrow, NWS BOX 12"-18" call for Franklin Co. will have worked out well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 13.5" w/ +SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I believe we are seeing the ULL move East a bit faster which gives us only a little wiggle room To be honest...i'm interested and wouldn't sleep on some enhanced lift i'm seeing in models during the day tommorrow after 16-17z over N MA/S NH. Not light stuff and its still pounding fatties here Everything always scoots east late in game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 again HRRR is really producing some nice lift starting early afternoon from Route 2 corridor into Bos / essex county fir several hours tommorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: again HRRR is really producing some nice lift starting early afternoon from Route 2 corridor into Bos / essex county fir several hours tommorrow afternoon. Se of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 thats a big CT/RI FU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Se of me there was nothing several runs ago. Look at the second photo i just added. There is good lift along all of MA/NH border toward Route 2 into E MA showing so its definitely worth watching. Other models like the UKIE /GEFS/ICON also had very solid periods of precip in our area for that time frame 18z to 0z now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 NW MA and S VT will have some 20" totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: NW MA and S VT will have some 20" totals. I would bet they already do I'm hanging on to this tiny sliver of good lift that runs basically from N ORH county ENE into SE NH on Box radar i'll be at 10" by 2am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: again HRRR is really producing some nice lift starting early afternoon from Route 2 corridor into Bos / essex county fir several hours tommorrow afternoon. Long duration snow event for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I would bet they already do You know, I generally don't get hyped but it is full on snowstorm here tonight. I would almost prefer E MA gets the better tomorrow. Almost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Long duration snow event for some. I believe there is a increasing chance that Tommorrow afternoon from 18z to 2z could drop 4-6 w 8" lolli's for * SOME and almost replace round 2 which may or may not produce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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