40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: Touchy. I was posting it because that's what I feel like at the moment, walking in the door and hitting the "adjust up" button. I'm not touchy. The manner in which you communicated that appeared to impugn my effort...be clearer. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah I wasn’t bashing it. I still like 12-18 for him. The upper end of that range should not be common, if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiktock Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Final Call https://www.blogger.com/u/1/blogger.g?blogID=2820149554058213224#editor/target=post;postID=4432335682091072156;onPublishedMenu=allposts;onClosedMenu=allposts;postNum=0;src=postname As someone living just north of Haverhill over the New Hampshire border (Plaistow)this is my absolute dream forecast. I cannot thank you enough if this comes true. fingers crossed!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 14 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So... Gil Simmons.. A Met on WTNH in CT just did a live feed on FB. He said only to expect and inch or two tonight....and that most will get above freezing tomorrow during the day ( he said not to bank on closed schools ). He also say that round 2 tomorrow night might bring us 1-3 at the most. I think he is using the 3k NAM ( which he showed ). He seemed very confident that this will be the outcome.so, im guessing these snow maps from the Euro and HRRR aren't accurate. Well...at least we are getting the ground covered. :-) 3k NAM....really??? That’s why I’m not a fan of that station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I wasn’t bashing it. I still like 12-18 for him. You still 3-5” here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, WinterWolf said: 3k NAM....really??? That’s why I’m not a fan of that station. I kid you not. He said he likes this model as it seems to be a solid model. I guess we will see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Gfs about to rock round 2??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Surface low forming off Bethany Beach. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Didn't the 3km NAM have like 1 inch of WAA snow for Ray yesterday? Yep and as we expected it has cooled the mid levels off a bit. A nice meet in the middle solution. But we are getting to the point where folks will start bashing any and all model that isn’t 100% crush job . They just don’t need that negativity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Congrats James. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 29 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I was hoping they’d post the snow maps from it Put the EPS away at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
giventofly Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Congrats [mention=1069]Fozz[/mention]Where are the hourly city charts on Maue's site? I can't seem to find them anywhereSent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Put the EPS away at this point. If you’re using the NAM at all I’d advise you to heed own advice . Abysmal 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Congrats to all of you except really northern folk. And also congrats Trenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: If you’re using the NAM at all I’d advise you to heed own advice . Abysmal If you can’t use meso-models now, when do you? It’s an honest question. At some point you have to put the coarser guidance to bed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bishbish777 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Hey all, I'm new here! I grew up in the Pacific Northwest, so I know a decent bit about the weather out there. I'm pretty clueless about the weather around here, though. Lookin' forward to tracking this storm with y'all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 i talk to brad field he says northern ct should be under warnings .i say national weather service not looking at the trends colder storm . anything over 6 inches should have warnings . 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats to all of you except really northern folk. And also congrats Trenton. That 5.5" total in the central Berkshires seems a bit low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Congrats to all of you except really northern folk. And also congrats Trenton. Seems reasonable...not the insane amounts of the euro, but Quite major nonetheless. I like my area in CT on that depiction...now do I really believe that? Not really lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 39 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: My final call. One of the lower confidence forecasts I've made. High bust potential in either direction I feel. I couldn't talk myself into what the upper range might be. Honesty great map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Reggie lining up for round two... Not unlike the NAM with mixed precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Right now, the disturbance in question for round 2 is the area of energy over eastern NE and western IA at this hour. Clearly seen on WV imagery. Where the upper level energy catches the surface low will determine where it blows up rapidly and where the best most intense snow rates occur. If it is captured southeast of ACK, Cape and Islands will see a lot of snow and blizzard conditions, but if the capture is later more like south of Nova Scotia and Boston region gets the most snows. When the storm explodes as the upper level disturbance catches the surface low bombogenesis occurs and turns any remaining rain over to a heavy wind blown snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Right now, the disturbance in question for round 2 is the area of energy over eastern NE and western IA at this hour. Clearly seen on WV imagery. Where the upper level energy catches the surface low will determine where it blows up rapidly and where the best most intense snow rates occur. If it is captured southeast of ACK, Cape and Islands will see a lot of snow and blizzard conditions, but if the capture is later more like south of Nova Scotia and Boston region gets the most snows. When the storm explodes as the upper level disturbance catches the surface low bombogenesis occurs and turns any remaining rain over to a heavy wind blown snow. Actually the round 2 shortwave is farther east than that. It still needs to rotate around the north side of the upper low. Just a tick north of Lake Erie at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, bishbish777 said: Hey all, I'm new here! I grew up in the Pacific Northwest, so I know a decent bit about the weather out there. I'm pretty clueless about the weather around here, though. Lookin' forward to tracking this storm with y'all! Welcome aboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
natedizel Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 6 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Honesty great map I have not seen 1 station call for that much snow in central rhode island or even coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 RD 2 on the RGEM just destroys SNH through eastern Mass. Really good shot down into the Philly area too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Actually the round 2 shortwave is farther east than that. It still needs to rotate around the north side of the upper low. Just a tick north of Lake Erie at the moment. It is over ERIE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: It is over ERIE? It is. The shortwave over IA may be what enhances precip Monday afternoon. The thing over Erie is Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, powderfreak said: RD 2 on the RGEM just destroys SNH through eastern Mass. Really good shot down into the Philly area too. If someone can get in on good WAA tonight and also banding Tuesday it could be big totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: It is. The shortwave over IA may be what enhances precip Monday afternoon. The thing over Erie is Tuesday. Yeah I just figured it out, thanks for the correction, the energy over MO is the one that slows the precip down and actually enhances convection, but the short wave over ERIE is the one that is the catalyst for the secondary bombogenesis tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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