Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:30 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Whoosh, I’m being facetious. The spotter there will blow this somehow. Expand Sorry bro. After Scoots debbie post I thought you were too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:27 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: March 2001 redux on Euro Expand Objection to that, flag tossed. Don’t put this suppressed storm on par with that beast in 2001 lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:22 PM, powderfreak said: Expand Man thanks for postig this. I didn't realize how much it had jacked precip even up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not sure why Tip thinks this an ENE storm lol Expand Precip is definitely much more evenly distributed compared to yesterday’s spiraling of the models, but they look to get double our 1.00-1.50” QPF...at least on that Euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Inasmuch as no one really gives a crap about winter weather advisories, BOX should sound the warning for the public in light of snows that are starting as we type. Worry about the details later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:33 PM, Ginx snewx said: Sorry bro. After Scoots debbie post I thought you were too Expand What Debbie post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:32 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well,the blockbuster aspect is east... Expand We’ll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not sure why Tip thinks this an ENE storm lol Expand Haha lol... Just gibbin ya shit... But seriously, I'm not sure that wind-up CCB stuff for early Tuesday will get that far back west. I mean it could - but right now it's not being modeled to do so. You should do fine prior to that tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:33 PM, powderfreak said: Objection to that, flag tossed. Don’t put this suppressed storm on par with that beast in 2001 lol. Expand I think it meant 2001ish with the biggest swath right around the Northeast Mass /Southeast New Hampshire boarder west to the southern Monads/ Southern Vermont area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Yeah re: B word was wondering that too... 12z RGEM/12kNAM/Euro for Tues are not far off if low gets captured, deepens, and loops off CC as shown. To add to this potential, note that we are now seeing SLP continue to deepen into 970s (whereas on earlier guidance it was a meandering occluded 980s) Still up in the air where this happens (> 24 hours away), and I think eastern half SNE up into eNH/ME all have potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:34 PM, CoastalWx said: What Debbie post? Expand We joke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:37 PM, Greg said: I think it meant 2001ish with the biggest swath right around the Northeast Mass /New Hampshire boarder west to the southern Monads/ Southern Vermont area. Expand Not sure folks realize just how crushed NNE mts got in March 01. 3-4'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Seems extremely unwise to put Boston in a WWA. The ceiling is really high if this breaks out right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:37 PM, Greg said: I think it meant 2001ish with the biggest swath right around the Northeast Mass /New Hampshire boarder west to the southern Monads/ Southern Vermont area. Expand Yeah it was a 2-3 footer straight into Canada for the mountains though. Top 10 storm for BTV I think? That one was much of a beast over a larger area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:37 PM, Greg said: I think it meant 2001ish with the biggest swath right around the Northeast Mass /Southeast New Hampshire boarder west to the southern Monads/ Southern Vermont area. Expand Yes. Not saying its a viable analog. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just started snowing!!!! Let the fun begin!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 So what type of a lull should we be anticipating tomorrow? I need to get my daughter back to Marion. TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 This is a real tough setup. Given my mentions earlier about meso lows and vortmaxes wobbling around, the low for tomorrow night is in a precarious spot. Any minor shift and it changes things quite a bit. I’m sure most know, but I’d wait to confirm those exorbitant amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 @40/70 Benchmark the ene jack is a result of the vort sling shot at a perfect time but the early capture tucked in look because of the somewhat buckled flow is correct. Everything trended towards the UK on the tucked in look. Now, the secondary enhancement is well timed and nuts. Congrats. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:41 PM, ineedsnow said: Just started snowing!!!! Let the fun begin!!! Expand Yep. just saw first flakes!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Note there is an observation thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:42 PM, moneypitmike said: So what type of a lull should we be anticipating tomorrow? I need to get my daughter back to Marion. TIA. Expand May not be one . May just be like 72-100 hours straight of snow 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:42 PM, CoastalWx said: This is a real tough setup. Given my mentions earlier about meso lows and vortmaxes wobbling around, the low for tomorrow night is in a precarious spot. Any minor shift and it changes things quite a bit. I’m sure most know, but I’d wait to confirm those exorbitant amounts. Expand Are you waiting until Tuesday afternoon for that confirmation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:43 PM, Damage In Tolland said: May not be one . May just be like 72-100 hours straight of snow Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 HRRR if correct is gonna upset many 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:39 PM, powderfreak said: Yeah it was a 2-3 footer straight into Canada for the mountains though. Top 10 storm for BTV I think? That one was much of a beast over a larger area. Expand Several years ago I posted an AFD on that beast that I found on a UVM wx chat/archive from those days. I actually looked for the UVM site a few days ago but couldn't find. Do you know if it still exists? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:42 PM, CoastalWx said: This is a real tough setup. Given my mentions earlier about meso lows and vortmaxes wobbling around, the low for tomorrow night is in a precarious spot. Any minor shift and it changes things quite a bit. I’m sure most know, but I’d wait to confirm those exorbitant amounts. Expand We're not really predicting 20"-30" of snow right now, just looking at the trend this close in to go time. I do think climatology works in and reality will temper things a bit as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 The city never got to getting my leaves, ftl. It will be funny to see the plow hit them. So.....how long will we have snow cover? It might be tough for the Grinch to take away all of what we might get now. Could we make it all the way til March? Possible unless the rest of the winter really sucks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:45 PM, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: HRRR if correct is gonna upset many Expand Ride the ICON. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 On 12/1/2019 at 6:46 PM, Greg said: We're not really predicting 20"-30" of snow, just looking at the trend this close in to go time. I do think climatology works in and reality will temper things a bit as usual. Expand I’m just clarifying the situation for those who may not be as savvy and giving ppl a real life look into those forecasting like myself. It’s surely intriguing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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