Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: No not this early. You have last year and October 2011...that's it. Nov 2012 did have 6"+ for interior elevations but it wasn't that widespread. Nov 2014 was a smaller area in SNE over 6". (Basically just Berkshires and ORH hills) This is also a lot higher end too than last year or Nov 2012/2014. There's potential for some pretty big amounts of it goes well. Well 4 out 10. I’m just always so shocked when people post it’s not supposed to snow this time of year. Just can’t follow that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 The NWS has the range for eastern Essex at 3-12 inches in the winter storm watch lol. That is rough, what a tough call this seems to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Well 4 out 10. I’m just always so shocked when people post it’s not supposed to snow this time of year. Just can’t follow that There is a mega difference between supposed to snow and it snows on occasion just not 8 to 14 inches which is extremely rare. I mean it snows in Dec but as we have shown this first week is a desert , like 10% of the days have an inch or more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I kinda like my spot here wish it would get a little cooler though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattm4242 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Congrats inland weenies. We’ll take whatever sloppy seconds we can get by the water. You're right by me, I'd be happy with 3 or 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Made some slight adjustments...shifted the 2-4'' zone farther north into southern CT and trimmed the 8-12'' range back a bit. Almost kinda wishing i kept my initial map which was I think 1-3'' immediate shoreline and 3-6'' inland...then added a zone of like 6-10'' where I have the 8-12''...oh well. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 44 minutes ago, CT Rain said: I want that NYC burst on Monday to come NE too. Connecticut is in sort of a hole here. I blame Gov. Lamont. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: I blame Gov. Lamont. probably has a snow tax in place so snow will just go around the state 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 There are 123 years of snow records in the Hartford area. Number of days with over 2 inches of snow on Dec 1 to Dec 3 . 4 or about 1% of the 396 days. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Euro was not as good as I initially thought for wct. Deform snows are west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Euro was not as good as I initially thought for wct. Deform snows are west. But the 12z EPS trended much better for Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 EPS looks great for northern CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There are 123 years of snow records in the Hartford area. Number of days with over 2 inches of snow on Dec 1 to Dec 3 . 4 or about 1% of the 396 days. There have been 9 years out of 123 with 6 inches or more in Hfd area between 10 1 and 12 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: There have been 9 years out of 123 with 6 inches or more in Hfd area between 10 1 and 12 3 Climo is a biatch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 36 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any Pope thoughts today? I think he's cloistered himself, praying for some dry-slot dispensation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: But the 12z EPS trended much better for Connecticut That’s encouraging. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: EPS looks great for northern CT Can anyone post that ensembles' member table from that for the climo-stations? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: There have been 9 years out of 123 with 6 inches or more in Hfd area between 10 1 and 12 3 CT also only had 4 October tornadoes and none since 1979...then last October happened what would be curious to know is how many potential events we have had over those years in that time frame. I chalk this one up to "Don't count your chickens before they sh*t" category...surprises ranging from both sides of the spectrum with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: Can anyone post that ensembles' member table from that for the climo-stations? TIA Run has to finish 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, WxWatcher007 said: Yeah I was actually surprised by how much better it looked. Not the easiest final call to make today. Except for Chris. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, weatherwiz said: CT also only had 4 October tornadoes and none since 1979...then last October happened what would be curious to know is how many potential events we have had over those years in that time frame. I chalk this one up to "Don't count your chickens before they sh*t" category...surprises ranging from both sides of the spectrum with this one So not common at all. Wiz: I dont get it when people say we cant have a tornado in Oct it happens all the time...... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 13 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Except for Chris. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 11 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So not common at all. Wiz: I dont get it when people say we cant have a tornado in Oct it happens all the time...... Lol exactly. Some folks have such skewed memories/or ideas about what happens and what used to happen. I don’t ever get Kev’s take on any of that stuff...it’s just so inaccurate, and downright misleading. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Lol exactly. Some folks have such skewed memories/or ideas about what happens and what used to happen. I don’t ever get Kev’s take on any of that stuff...it’s just so inaccurate, and downright misleading. Fake weather 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, JC-CT said: Fake weather Absolutely. I get that it’s what we would love to have happen, but that’s a whole different thing from what Actually DOES happen in early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 RPM with about 2" in Tolland 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 6 minutes ago, CT Rain said: RPM with about 2" in Tolland Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: RPM with about 2" in Tolland This concerns me the fact that it doesn’t show any snow for the city. I don’t know how good this model is? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 51 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: It does incorporate the Euro just not 12z. It has a ton of sleet to the upper NH area . Seems too warm In my experience the NBM is typically too high on snow ratios and too low on max wet bulb temps aloft. So I usually don't like it because I get too much snow in the forecast relative to what I'm expecting. Here the issue seems to be surface temps (NBM has a cap above which it doesn't accumulate snow) and mid level drying. It actually has more QPF than NWS forecasts, so I would guess it's producing a lot of drizzle/freezing drizzle in those 6 hour periods and reducing snowfall as result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 24 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: So not common at all. Wiz: I dont get it when people say we cant have a tornado in Oct it happens all the time...... We just had the 30th anniversary of the deadly Coldenham Elementary school tornado, near SWF. Only about 30 miles due west of Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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