weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: UK looks about the same, hard to tell. Still looks like the most tucked in. Uncle started the eggnog Wednesday. Not a bad upper level look for crazy uncle ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Ukie def trended east for Monday night. That 60h panel had the low pinned against NYC on the 00z run at 72h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Yea, it did. Great signs at 12z. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Ukie def trended east for Monday night. That 60h panel had the low pinned against NYC on the 00z run at 72h. Temperatures aren’t out yet but my guess is he shook off the bender from last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Also, Monday afternoon and night look like a lot of fun on uncle, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ukie def trended east for Monday night. That 60h panel had the low pinned against NYC on the 00z run at 72h. UK, NAM, RGEM and GEM. Only one not to is GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea, it did. Great signs at 12z. NAM is leading the way!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Good to see some slight trends back south and east on models. My gut is it will trend a bit more and get Connecticut back to a solid 5-10/6-12 for most of central and northern CT. Especially Monday afternoon and night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAM is leading the way!!! So far....hopefully not leading them all off a cliff. We'll have a better sense soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAM is leading the way!!! AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: So far....hopefully not leading them all off a cliff. We'll have a better sense soon enough. Tongue deeply in cheek... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 JESUS...9" at the pike up to 30" in Lunenburg....holy gradient on the GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Someone’s weenie is slapping that. Sword fights 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 13 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle started the eggnog Wednesday. Not a bad upper level look for crazy uncle ukie That looks like fun nearby to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 30, 2019 Author Share Posted November 30, 2019 GEM not only ticked se, but also delayed maturation a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 23 minutes ago, dendrite said: 12z herpes through Monday morning. I still have 48+ hrs before i even see a flake if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: JESUS...9" at the pike up to 30" in Lunenburg....holy gradient on the GEM Measuring snow in Lunenburg: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Hoping for 2-4” here... should at least be wintry for a time... we rise to near 40 Monday it looks like. hope someone pulls off some crazy amounts Nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Not liking the trends on the 12Z models for up here. No cliff jumping yet but definately don't feel confident on any big snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: JESUS...9" at the pike up to 30" in Lunenburg....holy gradient on the GEM Sell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 39 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Well that's good to know. true When I first starting taking stabs at snowfall forecasting I use to just estimate a ratio and see what the precip maps were showing for QPF and bang out some math...worked once in a while lol This has been my go to. You can adjust ratios too http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/data/retro_map.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Uncle still too warm into the deep interior. Snow maps won’t show much I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Not too much different from the other models. It's later on Monday where they have to score.Congrats sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 So.. The UKMET brings me back into the 12" range. Didn't someone mention it has done a good job so far with this storm. It definitely came south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 I still have 48+ hrs before i even see a flake if at all.Not good if you're talking like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 How about this. Orh records first week of Dec. I used 3 days cuz yea 3 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: So.. The UKMET brings me back into the 12" range. Didn't someone mention it has done a good job so far with this storm. It definitely came south. That’s not a UKMET map...it’s vendor produced and weenie consumed. I admit to being a consumer 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: How about this. Orh records first week of Dec. I used 3 days cuz yea 3 days We could wind up in the #2 spot--we'll hold off on #1 thoughts for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So.. The UKMET brings me back into the 12" range. Didn't someone mention it has done a good job so far with this storm. It definitely came south. Thanks, man thats the ugliest paint scheme ever 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2019 Share Posted November 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, Lava Rock said: 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: I still have 48+ hrs before i even see a flake if at all. Not good if you're talking like that Were not seeing much if anything from the WAA snows here when you have a SLP under LI moving West/East, Have to rely on the second part and there's no guarantee that ends up where its modeled right now either, Last thing we need up here is anything going SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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