Ericjcrash Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm in my early 30s as well, and being a cop in NYC im surpised you never heard of it. Die Hard and Seinfeld are two of many that use this slang. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_and_white_(police_vehicle) NYC RMPs were green and white, then powder blue, now the shittastic white and blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 The ICON wow. It’s consistent. Gotta tell ya. If it takes the CoUP I would be shocked. But I repeat again. It’s solution makes sense. The way it throws precip back into the region makes sense . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: The whole capture thing is always precarious imo...that usually doesn’t work all that well for most, most of the time? It gets captured too late, or not completely, or to Far East etc etc... This will always be the chance/risk we take with the primary Low dying over the eastern Great lakes and another trying to reform off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 10 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I could see it working out that way too. Once that first surge of WAA kind of washes out it may really taper off for a large area before the mid levels take over. The type of system that has everyone claiming bust when it stops and the accumulation hasn't materialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: This. If this turns into a big dog, great, but I’m looking to start putting up numbers...and get rid of the awful taste of rat from last winter. We on the same page so hopefully this doesn’t bounce back too far north now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 3 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: The ICON wow. It’s consistent. Gotta tell ya. If it takes the CoUP I would be shocked. But I repeat again. It’s solution makes sense. The question is. On that panel is 500 closed off. If it is there would be heavy snow basically from NYC to PVD with the low in that spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 I’d be happy with 2-4. Lol. At least the winds of Thor are blowing cold right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, Greg said: This will always be the chance/risk we take with the primary Low dying over the eastern Great lakes and trying to reform off the coast. No not the reformation of a Miller B, but the capture idea, that’s more complicated, and another step that adds to the complexity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The question is. On that panel is 500 closed off. If it is there would be heavy snow basically from NYC to PVD with the low in that spot Closed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: Closed It is but it’s a broad closed low and it’s far north so the surface depiction seems to match it though I’m not sure that Connecticut would be dry slotted that severely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Those true SLR maps from TT are atrocious, almost always underdone, even in marginal events that we know are going to be all snow with around 10:1 paste bombs. When it's questionable it will be even worse. On the other hand 10:1 NAM maps from TT are just as bad in the other direction. Moral: don't use clown maps for forecasting or verification, in any way. Just nice to look at it is all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 7 minutes ago, PaulyFromPlattsburgh said: The ICON wow Removing p-type you get this: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, moneypitmike said: The type of system that has everyone claiming bust when it stops and the accumulation hasn't materialized. We all know WAA has a finite amount of snow it produces, with the real potential being the CCB/deformation banding. The banding signal is definitely there the latter half of Monday into Monday night, but the in between could get ugly outside of any areas of stronger lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: No not the reformation of a Miller B, but the capture idea, that’s more complicated, and another step that adds to the complexity. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 ICON...smack that all on the floor 1 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, OceanStWx said: We all know WAA has a finite amount of snow it produces, with the real potential being the CCB/deformation banding. The banding signal is definitely there the latter half of Monday into Monday night, but the in between could get ugly outside of any areas of stronger lift. Did someone get gravy in the CON ASOS again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: It is but it’s a broad closed low and it’s far north so the surface depiction seems to match it though I’m not sure that Connecticut would be dry slotted that severely I would agree. It keeps 500 closed much longer compared to other models. GFS coming in. We will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 42 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Yes , there was a NY state met who always posted those 250 anomalies . Great tool . This is a crawler Andy G, retired now. Still running his Tandy though 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Did someone get gravy in the CON ASOS again? Time to decommission and move it to Northfield. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’d be happy with 2-4. Lol. At least the winds of Thor are blowing cold right now. They want no quarter for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 1 minute ago, Hoth said: They want no quarter for sure. I knew someone would get that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 That ULL was looking weak and far north on ICON looked best for NNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 GFS through 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 GFS is damn juicy but a bit warm south of the pike. Nice look for BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 GFS tickling a little colder than 18z...through 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Juicy yes. Wow what. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 gfs looking colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Just now, JC-CT said: GFS is damn juicy but a bit warm south of the pike. Nice look for BOS Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS tickling a little colder than 18z...through 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PaulyFromPlattsburgh Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted November 29, 2019 Share Posted November 29, 2019 Yeah, I agree this looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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