LVblizzard Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Snow struggling to find its way to the Lehigh Valley. Just a few flurries so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Snow falling here, temp 33/DP 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, hurricane1091 said: I'm far from scientific, but I'm not crazy in saying that this scenario doesn't typically perform well, right? Absolutely nothing going on here. I know for a fact we've been burned plenty of times on this situation and only one time in recent memory can I recall this playing out well. I am seeing people say this isn't a miller B but whatever it's label it's a late developing coastal and they just love to short their SW flank on predicted snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ten minutes later now moderate snow and 35F. Last winter I endured at least half a dozen systems forecast to be 2-3" and received <1", can it go the other way for once? I've been watching the rain/slow line slowly moving off the coast with the blues and purples filling in over your area. Was wondering if that was translating into real snow or what. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Light to moderate snow falling here, a coating on most surfaces. Temp 32/DP 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenCtyWx Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 This hasn't been that impressive even in Northern Warren County, NJ. I've never been a fan of these types of systems. I would much rather have either a Miller A event or even an overrunning/SWFE with mixing, where at least a substantial amount of QPF is likely. I don't know the reasoning as to why models tend to overdo precipitation amounts on the south and west side of Miller B type storms, even if this current storm doesn't technically meet that classification. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, WarrenCtyWx said: This hasn't been that impressive even in Northern Warren County, NJ. I've never been a fan of these types of systems. I would much rather have either a Miller A event or even an overrunning/SWFE with mixing, where at least a substantial amount of QPF is likely. I don't know the reasoning as to why models tend to overdo precipitation amounts on the south and west side of Miller B type storms, even if this current storm doesn't technically meet that classification. I think the problem is figuring out the meso scale probabilities where they overdo the convection that could draw in and self-generate cold air that would up the chances for a switch to all-frozen. What often kills that scenario is warm air that filters in well above the surface due to the (relatively) "warmer" ocean temps and unless there's a big arctic high to the north, it just can't get the cold air down through the whole column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 This looks like a NE NJ special, TTN just missing the pivot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Winter storm warning hoisted here for 3-6" from NWS Winter storm warning for 5-8" continued for Qtown/upper Bucks? Interesting is it going to fill in that far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just now, RedSky said: Winter storm warning hoisted here for 3-6" from NWS Winter storm warning for 5-8" continued for Qtown/upper Bucks? Interesting is it going to fill in that far west. Nope. Winter storm warning for a trace of snow, not even a dusting. Not sure what they are waiting for to drop them. It's pretty clear this one is over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 It is RAINING in Allentown, just to add insult to injury. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: Winter storm warning hoisted here for 3-6" from NWS Winter storm warning for 5-8" continued for Qtown/upper Bucks? Interesting Recent mesos seem to want to back in a couple bursts later on/tonight in extreme SEPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 2, 2019 Author Share Posted December 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, hazwoper said: Recent mesos seem to want to back in a couple bursts later on/tonight in extreme SEPA But even so I see no more than 1 inch on any guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: But even so I see no more than 1 inch on any guidance. agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 16 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It is RAINING in Allentown, just to add insult to injury. Just got to my work in Bath and at least it’s snowing there. Coating on some grassy areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 16 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: It is RAINING in Allentown, just to add insult to injury. Yup I have 38 with drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 40°F and nothing. Roads are almost completely dry from a little drizzle we had earlier. At least this was an interesting start to our winter weather. Glad some other board members are making out ok at least. I'll live vicariously through you all for just a little longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 53 minutes ago, The Iceman said: Nope. Winter storm warning for a trace of snow, not even a dusting. Not sure what they are waiting for to drop them. It's pretty clear this one is over. .3" the snow is intermittent and non accumulating the last hour. Radar is not impressive no signs of expanding in NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Amazing how empty the office is today. Guess the clouds kept everyone off the roads. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Important note the upper low is currently over central PA, over the next several hours the radar should fill in over eastern PA/NJ for the bulk of round #2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 35 minutes ago, RedSky said: Important note the upper low is currently over central PA, over the next several hours the radar should fill in over eastern PA/NJ for the bulk of round #2 SPC Mesoanalyais actually shows it centered over the Chesapeake Bay currently. Still a chance for a little snow through the evening I suppose. Been getting a few small flakes here off and on for the last hour or two. Congrats to you and everyone up that way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Radar starting to light up NW of Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Unless another round of snow comes through it looks like a 2" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kickingupastorm Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 WWA dropped here in Ardmore. Ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathernut85 Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Radar over SE PA is showing some echoes and I can confirm snow flurries in Overbrook Park, a few blocks from Lower Merion Twp/City Ave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 1 hour ago, LVblizzard said: Just got to my work in Bath and at least it’s snowing there. Coating on some grassy areas. The coating we had earlier this morning from yesterday's sleet and freezing rain and this morning's brief light snow episode is melted. We haven't had anything but flurries here, and the current temp is 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 https://www.wunderground.com/maps/radar/current/shd I got nothing. Looks like NWS even dropped the advisory we had earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 The precip had pretty much ended here although something is looping around. I did see where the WWA was dropped here in Philly too. Currently overcast and 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 Just popped out to get a package that was delivered and the flakes are flying - basically pancake flurries. Temp still at 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 2, 2019 Share Posted December 2, 2019 My forecast was cut and looking at radar trends and 18z runs the 3-6" warning is a bust although 3" is a remote chance. Welcome winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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