penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 31 dp26 moderate sleet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 16 minutes ago, Newman said: The mesos and models now having the low stall immediately on the coast is the best case scenario for inland counties possibly including Berks. I could see the Berks area see anywhere from 0" to 6" tomorrow. The Inverted trough feature will be a nowcast event. My temp has fallen back to 31 from 35 at 4am we have decent sleet falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 31 dp26 moderate sleet Same here in Reading. 31 and back to sleet. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, penndotguy said: My temp has fallen back to 31 from 35 at 4am we have decent sleet falling 10 minutes ago, Fields27 said: Same here in Reading. 31 and back to sleet. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Got sleet here in Fleetwood too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Delaware Valley Weather Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Rain/sleet in Exton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChasingFlakes Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Rain and sleet here in pville too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Sleeting hard in Allentown right now. 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Snow and sleet here. Temp has dropped back to 26F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 12z models are pretty consistent with a very heavy band of snow somewhere in eastern PA or western NJ tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_AR_ Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 26F sleet/zr. Solid coating. Very slick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Why is the NWS forecast for Quakertown 1.5-2" snow, based entirely on the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 HRDPS continues the theme stalling the slp farther S and even drifts it SSE for a period. Increased totals in SE PA. Again, I would cut most of those in SE PA in half due to losing accums during changeover but still a nice little welcome to met winter storm! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Been sitting at 32F much of the morning, starting to see some minor ice accretion on the cars and lamp post. Maybe a pinger or two mixed in for good measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Models making decent jumps S in the short range. Maybe just maybe for once we can get something to work FOR us rather than against us. Looking very interesting to say the least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Is the herpyderp ever right what is this model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Models making decent jumps S in the short range. Maybe just maybe for once we can get something to work FOR us rather than against us. Looking very interesting to say the least. That's rather drastic in a good way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 EURO!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 That is a drastic change on the euro the craziness increases. Obviously sensing a more west track with the developing low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sibbley Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Light sleet and freezing rain in Nazareth. Temp has been hovering between 26-28F all day. Light wind, DP 26.7, RH 95%. Roads here are ice covered, at least about 700 ft elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 32F and freezing rain on car and trees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sibbley Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 up to 30F here now. Ice is melting on the cars and driveway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 18z NAM is a crushing for a large portion of this forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, RedSky said: 18z NAM is a crushing for a large portion of this forum Yeah I saw the Mt Holly post on Facebook major updates likely coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 ***Potentially Big Changes to Monday's Forecast*** We wanted to give you a quick update on the forecast as our latest computer guidance indicates significant changes could be in store. This could mean a much snowier forecast farther south for Monday including the Philadelphia Metro area. Here are the key points: 1) This afternoon through this evening, mainly rain will continue near and south of the I-95 corridor with mixed precipitation (sleet, freezing rain, and some snow) gradually changing to rain from south to north. However the southern Poconos and far northern New Jersey (Sussex County) should remain below freezing and continue to see mainly sleet and freezing rain. In fact ice amounts here may be higher than previously forecast...potentially up to a half inch of ice accretion. 2) Overnight Sunday night, precipitation will gradually change to all snow from northwest to southeast with the rain/snow line likely just north/west of the I-95 corridor by 7 AM Monday. 3) For Monday, this is when we could see potentially large changes to the forecast. Rain changes to snow through the morning for the I-95 corridor and the latest indications are there could be a band of moderate to heavy snow that sets up late morning through the afternoon for parts of eastern PA into northern/central New Jersey. This could include the Philadelphia metro area. This band may not be very wide but could put down 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates for a time resulting in 4-6+ inches of snowfall accumulation for impacted areas. This could have significant impacts on the Monday afternoon/evening commute. Snow will wind down Monday night. At this hour, we are continuing to analyze this new data and update the forecast. For the latest forecast please visit www.weather.gov/phi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 A month or two later and everybody would have been slammed silly with this one as part one would have been significant and a faster switch to part two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bosswx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Getting breezy here in Whiting. Temp 44.1°F .41” of rain. Hoping for maybe at least 2” tommorow into Tuesday. Loving the Nam..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Wow mt Holly winter storm warning for lower bucks 4 to 6". I wasn't expecting anything tbh. Getting cautiously optimistic of seeing something measurable now.. ...LONG DURATION WINTER STORM TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY... NJZ009-010-015-PAZ105-106-021100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0019.000000T0000Z-191203T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KPHI.WS.W.0007.191202T1100Z-191203T0900Z/ Hunterdon-Somerset-Mercer-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Flemington, Somerville, Trenton, Chalfont, Perkasie, Morrisville, and Doylestown 411 PM EST Sun Dec 1 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. * WHERE...In New Jersey, Hunterdon, Somerset and Mercer counties. In Pennsylvania, Upper Bucks and Lower Bucks counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM Monday to 4 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the morning and evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lingering rain overnight will mix with snow or sleet and change over to all snow around daybreak Monday morning. Snow will last for several hours on Monday before dissipating into the late evening hours. Snow accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are expected with localized higher amounts possible under heavier bands that develop. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Picked up 0.34" of precip. so far today. Current temp 36/DP 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 RGEM shifts heavy snow east into Jersey, it's a mad free for all scramble for the ball 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: RGEM shifts heavy snow east into Jersey, it's a mad free for all scramble for the ball GFS too 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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