Birds~69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: ECM is warning level snow for 2/3 of Bucks county with a 4" tongue stretching all the way to Ocean City, but still screws eastern Monmouth, wacky crazy stuff. It really is...I'm really pumped for how this plays out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Great for many, terrible for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Looks like me, Kamu and Newman are the screwed on the euro Of course it's a miller b it just might screw all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 1 minute ago, RedSky said: Looks like me, Kamu and Newman are the screwed on the euro Of course it's a miller b it just might screw all Been consistently on the fringe here for this one according to models. Still a good way to start December... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 40 minutes ago, RedSky said: Looks like me, Kamu and Newman are the screwed on the euro Of course it's a miller b it just might screw all I’ll take 3” but my gut says we get screwed this time around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 31 dp25 with light sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geeter1 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 26F here. Nothing falling yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 34 dp20 with light freezing rain, Truck is glazed over and some bushes but walks and road just damp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Mostly light freezing rain with some sleet mixed in for good measure. 30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 34 dp20 with cloudy skies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 33 and nothing falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 ChescoCoWxman - Hey Paul - what is your wxism saying about this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 22 minutes ago, LVwhiteout said: ChescoCoWxman - Hey Paul - what is your wxism saying about this storm? It never had much snow in the forecast till the 6z run overnight... Today: Dense overcast. A chance of a mix of sleet, rain, and snow in the morning, then a mix of sleet, rain, and snow likely in the afternoon. High 36, but temperatures falling in the afternoon. Wind east around 5 mph in the morning, becoming 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch. Snow or ice (on ground) accumulation about half an inch. Tonight: Dense overcast in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A mix of rain and sleet likely in the evening, then a chance of a mix of rain and snow after midnight. Low 32. Wind chill ranging from 25 to 30. Wind east around 7 mph in the evening, becoming 4 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between a quarter and half an inch. No snow or ice (on ground) accumulation expected. Monday: Dense overcast in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog. A mix of snow and rain likely. High 34. Wind north around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly between half an inch and one inch. Snow accumulation 2 to 4 inches. Monday night: Dense overcast in the evening, becoming cloudy after midnight. A chance of snow in the evening, then a slight chance of snow after midnight. Low 27. Wind chill ranging from 18 to 25. Wind north-northwest around 8 mph in the evening, becoming 11 mph, gusting to 18 mph, after midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a tenth of an inch. Snow accumulation about half an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 How the heck do I make a forecast for Doylestown based on this...most mesos are close in the sharp cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Thanks Paul! Maybe we can squeeze another 2 inches more than that, here in Lehigh County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: How the heck do I make a forecast for Doylestown based on this...most mesos are close in the sharp cutoff. 1-3", 2-4" ish... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Birds~69 said: 1-3", 2-4" ish... Yup I went 1-3" for us. Go Birds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Yup I went 1-3" for us. Go Birds! In North Wales now....elevation 400' compared to 315' Warminster/Horsham area. Doylestown at 456'. Should be a cool event w/some people doing well and some getting screwed. Such is weather life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Go Birds! Should be like a bye for them. Sunny and 80F....and vs the Dolphins. Giants game should be a slop fest in the Meadowlands. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 No matter the total accumulation if any, there should be some nice snow in the air tomorrow. Love it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 27 minutes ago, LVwhiteout said: Thanks Paul! Maybe we can squeeze another 2 inches more than that, here in Lehigh County. For sure - further North and East will see the most... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, wkd said: No matter the total accumulation if any, there should be some nice snow in the air tomorrow. Love it. Pretty much. Snow + Christmas lights = nice scenery. It's early, I'll take what I can get. Give me a lawn/tree coating and I'll be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I can guarantee this is not happening. I'm never, never in a heavy snow band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 32 dp26 freezing drizzle, roads still good walks a little dicey in spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Most mesos are hellbent on hanging the slp a bit farther S and nudging the heavier snows farther S. Southern Bucks, Montco, Chesco, and even Delco now potentially in play. Definitely nice to see trends in our favor to begin met winter as opposed to trending the opposite way. Cut those totals in half btw as most areas in SE PA will be fighting accums to starts during the rain to snow transition. Going to be a nowcast for my area no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 I can guarantee this is not happening. I'm never, never in a heavy snow band.Such a strange looking snow map. 12z nam is a good bit better but it doesn't show that death band dipping down past philly. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 1, 2019 Author Share Posted December 1, 2019 Just now, Fields27 said: Such a strange looking snow map. 12z nam is a good bit better but it doesn't show that death band dipping down past philly. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Most mesos are showing that deformation band in the general area. Whoever gets under that as the slp stalls will see the better snows...but you already know this. That CCB band will be somewhere in SE PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Most mesos are showing that deformation band in the general area. Whoever gets under that as the slp stalls will see the better snows...but you already know this. That CCB band will be somewhere in SE PA.Will be entertaining to watch unfold. Sure to be some surprised and equally disappointed people. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fields27 Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 Gfs even showing heavier amounts further south. Not quite enough for the philly crew, but just enough for me in Berks. Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 1, 2019 Share Posted December 1, 2019 The mesos and models now having the low stall immediately on the coast is the best case scenario for inland counties possibly including Berks. I could see the Berks area see anywhere from 0" to 6" tomorrow. The Inverted trough feature will be a nowcast event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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