jbenedet Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, bluewave said: It’s only a Miller A front end thump if the high can hold on long enough. But a more amped solution like the Euro won’t work out. A few days ago the models looked more SWFEish. But now models have a more amplified system. I agree that we need a weaker wave to be more of a SWFE. Especially with the NAO and AO making another big positive spike. A -EPO can only do so much on its own. I’m on record here saying I never really like a -EPO, for sig snow storms. As you indicated above, much of this hinges on whether we see a -NAO build around the time the shortwave is over the central conus. Not much clarity there, given the divergence of model outcomes beginning around the 10th—only time can cure this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Gefs is cold and very active after next week. Great run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Gefs is cold and very active after next week. Great run. Man, I love your weenie optimism... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said: Along with a lot of denial and meltdowns in the SNE sub forum. They need to remember we don't live in Siberia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 19 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Man, I love your weenie optimism... What weenie ? Look for yourself. This is the only forum to call another poster a weenie without looking at the runs themselves. What's the point of discussing weather on here ? Amazing 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 And before someone calls me a weenie , see Meteorologist Webb post regarding the gefs. Webb I really like the way the GFS & GEFS have been trending w/ the shortwave that enters California in about 60-66 hours (going towards yesterday's weenie 12z Euro run). If we can continue to get more digging & more stream separation on future runs, I might be in business for a winter storm later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: And before someone calls me a weenie , see Meteorologist Webb post regarding the gefs. Webb I really like the way the GFS & GEFS have been trending w/ the shortwave that enters California in about 60-66 hours (going towards yesterday's weenie 12z Euro run). If we can continue to get more digging & more stream separation on future runs, I might be in business for a winter storm later next week. https://mobile.twitter.com/WXRISKCOM/status/1202484903415291904 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What weenie ? Look for yourself. This is the only forum to call another poster a weenie without looking at the runs themselves. What's the point of discussing weather on here ? Amazing You expect people to look at models runs all by themselves?! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Some really warm flurries currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 We all know how the LR is that is why. I'm hoping for a big white Christmas this year. And if it won't be white we just booked a trip to Florida for January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: https://mobile.twitter.com/WXRISKCOM/status/1202484903415291904 Like your call was great for the last storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Mood flakes here in Great Neck, north Nassau County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 flakes here as well. 5th straight day of snow falling from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 26 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What weenie ? Look for yourself. This is the only forum to call another poster a weenie without looking at the runs themselves. What's the point of discussing weather on here ? Amazing Sorry man, didn't intend that post the way you took it. There was no sarcasm. I really do enjoy your glass half full posts. I am the biggest weenie there is, so I have no business looking down on anyone else who might be. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 1 minute ago, SI Mailman said: flakes here as well. 5th straight day of snow falling from the sky. Wait a second, 5th straight day? Yesterday was sunny and clear. You saw snow yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What weenie ? Look for yourself. This is the only forum to call another poster a weenie without looking at the runs themselves. What's the point of discussing weather on here ? Amazing Oh, I definitely believe you on the models. Weenie was the wrong choice of word as it has pejorative connotations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Just now, White Gorilla said: Oh, I definitely believe you on the models. Weenie was the wrong choice of word as it has pejorative connotations. I'm proud =) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 9 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I'm proud =) Keep sniffing out the potential like you always do. I love it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Storm chance next weekend on every model We just have to hope the cold air stays because it's going to get cold after the cutter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 41 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: They need to remember we don't live in Siberia Compared to us in the five borough metro the do, in the northern environs come close. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Storm chance next weekend on every model We just have to hope the cold air stays because it's going to get cold after the cutter. GFS and euro look completely different for next week. Definitely rain for Mon-Tue on both, followed by a possible storm for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 29 minutes ago, Snow88 said: What weenie ? Look for yourself. This is the only forum to call another poster a weenie without looking at the runs themselves. What's the point of discussing weather on here ? Amazing you always just take the snowiest models and say "pattern looks great" Look at all the factors-pros and cons and make realistc posts, then you won't be called a weenie...LOL we have not had a good pattern for a consistent snowy pattern for a couple of years now. Cold is great, but if the storms come in b/w the cold shots, it's wasted cold... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 12 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Like your call was great for the last storm S19 sorta reminds me of one of his namesakes. “Knew the sun was hot that day so he said let’s run and we’ll have some fun before I melt away”. Then a disembodied voice says “cue the Moderators” and the rest Is yearly forum seasonal history. As always ... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 13 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: flakes here as well. 5th straight day of snow falling from the sky. Glad to know it’s falling from the sky as opposed to falling from anywhere else. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 13 minutes ago, Snow88 said: I'm proud =) As you should be. It’s better to be A Big Weenie than a small one. At my age and location on the circle I’d settle for having any. As always .... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Our next best chance for a storm according to 12z euro seems to be around the 14th-15th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SI Mailman Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 Wait a second, 5th straight day? Yesterday was sunny and clear. You saw snow yesterday?had a snow shower early in the am around 730/8 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 32 minutes ago, David-LI said: Wait a second, 5th straight day? Yesterday was sunny and clear. You saw snow yesterday? Probably last night. Sunny and clear where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 41 minutes ago, SI Mailman said: flakes here as well. 5th straight day of snow falling from the sky. 5th day in a row up here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 5, 2019 Share Posted December 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said: 5th day in a row up here as well. Yeah, the interior Northeast is doing great in this pattern. Must be nice living on an area where the phase of the NAO and AO aren’t as important as the coast for record snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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