powderfreak Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: The HRRR did that on a storm last year then everyone ended up pissed off when it didn't happen, I take that model with a grain of salt. It was spot on all day yesterday on the extended runs with precip slipping southeast significantly. It honestly it was the first model to pull the rug out successfully and consecutively. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: It was spot on all day yesterday on the extended runs with precip slipping southeast significantly. I don't find it very reliable quite honestly, You won't hear me mention it, But i usually get a good laugh out of it when i look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 I'll give the HRRR another couple runs and see what happens. It's actually been strengthening the case for a flip to snow in SNE with each run....not weakening it as we usually see as we get closer. But it's still the HRRR more than 6 hours out, so you proceed with caution. If we're still seeing massive stingers on the 16z run, then it might be real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I don't find it very reliable quite honestly, You won't hear me mention it, But i usually get a good laugh out of it when i look at it. Ha, see it’s worked well for me up here. I’m going to start calling it Doctor No. Each event has underperformed up here from 24-30 hours out and it’s always the HRRR that breaks the bad news. I cant get excited until I see that thing go nuts. Thats why I posted it yesterday and it’s been spot on up here lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Its up the anty for accumulations here too but i won't believe it until i see it dropping out of the sky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Just now, powderfreak said: Ha, see it’s worked well for me up here. I’m going to start calling it Doctor No. Each event has underperformed up here from 24-30 hours out and it’s always the HRRR that breaks the bad news. I cant get excited until I see that thing go nuts. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 CC out of ENX shows the lower CC eroding away in the SW portion of the radar quad as the ptype changes back to snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Yeah hrrr was showing the slide SE so I’ll give it credit there. In general, I feel the extended stuff does waffle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah hrrr was showing the slide SE so I’ll give it credit there. In general, I feel the extended stuff does waffle. It's hot and cold like any other short term meso model....I remember it shat the bed really bad in the Xmas 2017 storm...didn't figure it out until like 4 hours before it started. It was also too far west in the March 13, 2018 storm (the big one). But it has its coups too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 idk...it's tried to get every SNE deform band up here over the last 5 years and with every run it slips a little further south until at T-1hr it realizes it isn't getting north of MHT. I toss it like a Belichick challenge flag. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Its up the anty for accumulations here too but i won't believe it until i see it dropping out of the sky.Nothing frz now. Just some light mist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 I’d be shocked if we saw anything significant accumulate up here. We don’t do well in those scenarios I don’t think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Absolutely disgusting day. Pouring. doubt anyone SE of Worcester flips to frozen. Maybe the top of blue hill gets a cat paw late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: CC out of ENX shows the lower CC eroding away in the SW portion of the radar quad as the ptype changes back to snow. That area looks interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 17 minutes ago, dendrite said: CC out of ENX shows the lower CC eroding away in the SW portion of the radar quad as the ptype changes back to snow. Can someone translate this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 We pour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Heavy mist here currently. 34F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 23 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Can someone translate this? Raindrops falling are more wide than tall as they get bigger. (Pancake shape if updrafts get strong in convection) As they get smaller and/or freeze they become more spherical, so the horizontal polarized radar beam and the vertical polarized radar beam start getting closer in their returned power. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Heavy cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 8 minutes ago, radarman said: Raindrops falling on radar are more wide than tall as they get bigger. (Pancake shape if updrafts get strong in convection) As they get smaller and/or freeze they become more spherical, so the horizontal polarized radar beam and the vertical polarized radar beam start getting closer in their returned power. Now he needs someone to translate this...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Thunder Portsmouth RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2019 Author Share Posted November 24, 2019 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 1 hour ago, wxeyeNH said: 30.5F Freezing rain. Best I can tell it's snowing at Waterville Valley and Loon. No mangled flakes here, just ZR. Had a coating of snow and then bit of sleet earlier. Temp inching up Snowing on top, mix further down, although it seems to be doing nothing at the moment. 1/2” or so on the summit, have a hard time believing that we’ll hit the 4-7” forecast but a few quick bands this afternoon would go a long way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 43 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't find it very reliable quite honestly, You won't hear me mention it, But i usually get a good laugh out of it when i look at it. Well, it was right in showing yesterday as sunny. .55" so far at ORH. I'm not tossing in the towel yet for observing some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 31.3F Light freezing rain. Starting to notice the glaze on trees. Pine branches just starting to bend. Temp rise has slowed considerably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Dryslotted ATM. Good practice for winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 24, 2019 Author Share Posted November 24, 2019 Just getting pounded with rain. Hammertime 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Certainly dumping at hunter on the cams ditto crush job at Killington on cams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alex Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Just drizzle/light rain here now. Lame! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Freezing rain and a little sleet all night here. Then a lull. Rain redeveloped and it 'finally' flipped to snow in the last 15 minutes. 32F. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now