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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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1 minute ago, Dr. Dews said:

that's one heck of a rainer next weekend

Thanks for pointing that out. The rest of us would have never been able to figure that out on our own. All of us are mere mortals in comparison.  We all should be grateful for your contributions to the forum and for your superior knowledge of all things related to weather. 

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5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

That doesn’t seem odd for d7 actually 

GGEM shifted east about 500 miles from 00z....it's gonna be all over the place. The guidance at least has a good arctic high to the north right now, so even on the westward solutions, there's a good chance of a front ender and CAD situation.

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

GGEM shifted east about 500 miles from 00z....it's gonna be all over the place. The guidance at least has a good arctic high to the north right now, so even on the westward solutions, there's a good chance of a front ender and CAD situation.

Nice epic GFS  fantasy Christmas week ice storm from Texas to the Carolinas with heavy snow NW side up to here.

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yeah...GGEM's likely not right because ...well, it's the GGEM ... 

but I rather like the idea of enhanced icing-type events during the period in question.  The GFS later on for Dallas/N. TX and so forth ... notwithstanding and likely extreme too, but we have vestiges of a fast flow/STJ with confluence in Canada and 'scooter' highs being modeled outright anyway, let alone the rec ...  Just seems clocking an icer or two are just as plausible to me. 

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NF's gettin' like 32" of snow in 10 hours out of that 120 hr Euro ...jesus christ.   Probably a narrow band of paint peeling sleet along the warm front transition ... the kind where it's jagged balls stuck together than driven along by 50 mph gusts...  

They should create a warning criteria for bullet sleeting -

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Just now, CoastalWx said:

This has a Nino look to the whole circulation over the next two weeks. A lot of talk about the Indian ocean dipole. Basically a lot of convection over the western Indian Ocean. More so than normal, that has looked like stronger Nino years believe it or not.

funny you mention... there's definitely an STJ vibe -

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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

This has a Nino look to the whole circulation over the next two weeks. A lot of talk about the Indian ocean dipole. Basically a lot of convection over the western Indian Ocean. More so than normal, that has looked like stronger Nino years believe it or not.

Dipole crashing fast. Congrats on Australia finally getting rain..

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