The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 12 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I think it’d be good to have a separate thread. Did you issue a map yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 What are the chances of a flash freeze on the coast Wed. morning? None of the on air mets has mentioned what the temp profiles are through the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drop the Trough Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: We blizzard d8-9 on the op euro. Lock it. we were miller bee'ing at that same time frame for this weekend's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 18 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Verbatim we S & E of 95. For awhile you would verbatim or sleet. MBY is good for snow so does anything else matter? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: What are the chances of a flash freeze on the coast Wed. morning? None of the on air mets has mentioned what the temp profiles are through the storm. Most of the mesos seem to have a brief lull between the cold frontal rains and the snow coming in with the followup wave. That would give some time to get salt down without washing it away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Nope. Not my forecast this time but I’m currently favoring a broad 1-3 in CT. I don’t really see anything over 4” unless we get a more discrete low like Will said. I'm thinking a general 2-4 for CT, maybe less on the immediate coast SE CT. I started a threat thread. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, Drop the Trough said: we were miller bee'ing at that same time frame for this weekend's event. I don't recall this system as having much of a chance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't recall this system as having much of a chance... Yeah, only the delusional did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 11 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said: What are the chances of a flash freeze on the coast Wed. morning? None of the on air mets has mentioned what the temp profiles are through the storm. I think flash freezes are overrated here...I don't think we really get many true flash freezes...(at least I don't count a few puddles icing up as a flash freeze...or a few slick spots) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 30 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Verbatim we S & E of 95. Verbatim SE of EWB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: I'm thinking a general 2-4 for CT, maybe less on the immediate coast SE CT. I started a threat thread. I’m not a big Bastardi “agreeer” but he’s probably right in this case. The Euro in events like this will tend to be too flat or dry. I’m definitely thinking more NAM/RGem is more likely. The NAM May have sucked at 12Z in regards to QPF but that was probably a blip as it still looked okay otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 44 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Euro starting at hour 198 would make a lot of people in SNE quite happy.... With that consolidated vortex over central Canada it will have to be a real needle-threader. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: it occurs to me ... folks may not be thinking about this - or are...who knows. But, we're looking at a standardized PG layout on these charts. What may appear to be pure ANA by layout/construction of said standard when then adding QPF paint, may in fact be exposed as an actual closed ...albeit flat surface cyclone if the intervals on the pressure gradient were more discrete. We know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 hours ago, eduggs said: This looks like an old map. Litchfield County looks suspiciously dry. I'm pretty sure the latest version from ALB shows 4-5" for that area. Yeah... it was the newest at the time. They updated it late morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 On 12/8/2019 at 9:09 AM, Ginx snewx said: Still all in all this is an impressive look, would not take much shifting. Still think this period is the one to watch for our second big storm of Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drop the Trough Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't recall this system as having much of a chance... no more or less than this one at 196 hours out . It was being discussed in a discussion thread because it was being modeled at the time, by both the delusional and the not much of a chance camp. Better discussion than it's 40 at my house or my yard is back to brown brown.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 40 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, only the delusional did. Yea pretty much only Snow88 and NYCWeatherNow thought this weekend was going to be a snowstorm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yea pretty much only Snow88 and NYCWeatherNow thought this weekend was going to be a snowstorm They think a cold pool in July has a chance to materialize into a snow event 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 There’s a lot of flags for frontsie backsie. Should be interesting to see of anything pans out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 32 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Yea pretty much only Snow88 and NYCWeatherNow thought this weekend was going to be a snowstorm Not at all. Plenty of people did on other forums. Go troll away 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: They think a cold pool in July has a chance to materialize into a snow event You didnt think it would have a chance ? Let's root for a big cutter to suppress the heights so maybe the next one might have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 52 minutes ago, Drop the Trough said: no more or less than this one at 196 hours out . It was being discussed in a discussion thread because it was being modeled at the time, by both the delusional and the not much of a chance camp. Better discussion than it's 40 at my house or my yard is back to brown brown.... My point is that that particular system waa modeled as a cutter from the outset. That is not the case with respect to that system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Not at all. Plenty of people did on other forums. Go troll away Not sure what plenty of people were looking at- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 EPS signaling a snowy period after the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Plenty of people were looking at the garbage air mass for the weekend storm whether it was inland or off the coast, Its a rainer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 The 18th is probably our next shot at something more in line of being wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drop the Trough Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 7 minutes ago, dryslot said: Plenty of people were looking at the garbage air mass for the weekend storm whether it was inland or off the coast, Its a rainer. BTV: A coastal low pressure system approaches the Northeast on Saturday, bringing the potential for numerous hazards. Widespread precip will begin as snow Saturday morning, but as temperatures increase throughout the day, accumulating mixed precipitation and rain are possible. Precipitation will continue through Sunday, becoming more scattered, though the threat of mixed precip remains. Downslope winds are also a concern along the western side of the Green Mountains on Saturday as breezy easterly winds are expected ahead of the approaching low. Because of the duration of the event, hydro-related concerns also exist for the weekend, and will be monitored more closely as the weekend approaches. Uncertainty remains regarding precip type for the weekend event and will be reassessed through the coming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drop the Trough Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 29 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My point is that that particular system waa modeled as a cutter from the outset. That is not the case with respect to that system. BTV uses the word coastal in today's AFD , so there is some differences in opinion I guess, or they are flat out wrong in their analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 Nice 54 degree swing in 36ish hours -3F to 54 F. Boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, Drop the Trough said: BTV: A coastal low pressure system approaches the Northeast on Saturday, bringing the potential for numerous hazards. Widespread precip will begin as snow Saturday morning, but as temperatures increase throughout the day, accumulating mixed precipitation and rain are possible. Precipitation will continue through Sunday, becoming more scattered, though the threat of mixed precip remains. Downslope winds are also a concern along the western side of the Green Mountains on Saturday as breezy easterly winds are expected ahead of the approaching low. Because of the duration of the event, hydro-related concerns also exist for the weekend, and will be monitored more closely as the weekend approaches. Uncertainty remains regarding precip type for the weekend event and will be reassessed through the coming week. Outside of the higher elevations its still rain, Depends on what model you want to use, Some cut it, Some hug it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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