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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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10 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said:

Extended Rgem looked decent as well. It's a wait and see but based on current guidance 2-3 inches for many with the potential for 4+ in some areas depending on shifts and wobbles and where the banding sets up seems reasonable.  Hopefully the whole corridor of snow doesn't get shunted too far east and south. 

Well, hopefully it shifts enough to give the goods to those who missed out on the KU.

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47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

NAm and GFS BUFKIT do have good lift in the DGZ so there is that. But it's also fighting dry air near 850. Tough call.

What would win out in this situation? This is my interpretation...

It's great to have all that lift and all, but if there is insufficient moisture...well there is nothing to really lift. It will be difficult to generate much in the way of precipitation. Plus, with that dry air...and it's pretty significant around 850...whatever precip does develop and fall will be virga. given the progressiveness of this as well we don't have time to saturate...not to mention additional dry air being advected in  

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