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December 2019 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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18 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

everyone complaining about this month, I actually still have snow on the ground, 7 days in a row to be exact....not bad for the first week of December.

7 Days here, too.  Most will be gone in a couple of days, only to be rejuvenated again.  We take. 

Already have about the December snowfall average, so all is gravy from here.

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16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The thing Wednesday is pressing SE as it tries to generate precip. That’s usually not good for bigger amounts. It tends to indicate CAA and drier air issues may occur. Something to keep in mind. It could come back juicier, but I’d still a little conservative. 

CAA dominates moving into Tuesday and well into Wednesday.

image.png.8a5e7a4341df68a5526080add7db7922.png

You can see the resultant subsidence

image.png.19021053bc53d615b167a91fc7c7e92f.png

Here is the 850 RH. Plenty of dry air around. Sure dynamics are pretty damn solid and that will help with lift...but you can have all the lift you want...if there's nothing to lift...well 

image.png.031b2e2e1023a408e37ea893d82fa6da.png

 

I do agree with BOX there may be some narrow bands of snow, but this is going to be NBD in terms of accumulating snow. 

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Surgeon General Warning: SREFs cause brain cancer, diluted thoughts, false hopes, euphoria and will decrease your forecast accuracy. Quitting SREFs greatly increases your weather forecasting ability in as little as 5 minutes. Pregnant Women, Women, Men and all human beings should not take SREFs daily. SREFs contain horribly outdated formulas and algorithims. Use SREFs responsibly.

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