40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I’ll take under on 4-8. I'll still take the under on 3-6", too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Lol. You’ll all be taking em up then. Good luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Lol. You’ll all be taking em up then. Good luck Do you have an analog for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 I still can’t see more than 1-2/2-4. Where is Kevin deriving the bigger numbers from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: Do you have an analog for this? Every other forecast he's missed lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 GFS has this dry pocket between 900-700mb along E MA which I guess could suggest some seeder feeder action but with PWAT being so low looks like that may not even materialize before half of that QPF evaporates. NAM on the other hand looks potent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Do you have an analog for this? The typical ana-log 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: I still can’t see more than 1-2/2-4. Where is Kevin deriving the bigger numbers from? Muthafukkas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCweatherNOW Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, weathafella said: Do you have an analog for this? february 3rd 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 15 minutes ago, weathafella said: Do you have an analog for this? Don’t have specific dates , but with nice jet streak, significant upglide, and boundary just offshore with strong baroclinic zone , it argues for a significant winter wx event away from the water . Just my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Every other forecast he's missed lol Like your entire winter one last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Except for the NAM the entire 12Z suite cut back quite a bit for SNE. We await the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Don’t have specific dates , but with nice jet streak, significant upglide, and boundary just offshore, it argues for a significant winter wx event away from the water . Just my opinion Translation “no, I don’t have an analog” You will snow... but it won’t be much for anyone. This just ain’t it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Like your entire winter one last year? Twice in five years, actually...yup, just like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Tip's right that we do have some dry air to contend with for much of the area, but the strong jet is going to induce some late advection. The GFS is trying to bring in a swath of low level moisture and pressure advection late Tuesday. The pressure advection is kind of weird though, basically pressures on the isentropic surfaces are falling so quickly behind the front that SW flow behind the front is actually blowing from high to low pressure (i.e. ascent). Normally you get pressure advection due to wind blowing normal to isobars, not from local changes in pressure. So you can see why these set ups are tenuous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 33 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yeah... no shot that’s happening.... my guess is most people will be disappointed if they Are expecting more than an inch or 2... and that might even be optimistic Well, if someone were to get a lolly of 4", one could claim a 4-8" forecast verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 40 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Not a good teleconnector layout out for winter enthusiasts by the GEFs cluster. Not sure what the EPS derivatives look like, but both the CDC and CPC agencies which base their numbers on said cluster, flip hobbies until further notice. Right out through the pooch screwed Christmas weather ass bangin' Holiday, too Hopefully...the EPS is different and can offer some semblance of a salvation compared to the above despair. Otherwise, seek entertainment ( and for some, 'elation' joy circuitry ) elsewhere. Hopefully if EPS agrees it's a temporary 1 to 2 week issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 GFS op gives us a white Christmas. La-la-la-lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Yeah always throws us a festive miracle at day 15 only to be replaced by a raging cutter at go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: GFS op gives us a white Christmas. La-la-la-lock it in. FV-Wheee 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 21 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Well, if someone were to get a lolly of 4", one could claim a 4-8" forecast verified. But could they sleep well at night? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 I see that pocket of dry air OceanSt and Itswayssunny refereed too. That a Bruce Willis flag if I’ve ever seen one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Ukie looks like it would be going good at 12z Wednesday. Looks like a good thermal packing at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 1 measly muthufukka.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 RPM is juicy as a mofo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I see that pocket of dry air OceanSt and Itswayssunny refereed too. That a Bruce Willis flag if I’ve ever seen one. Maybe we can tack on another fraud five member and go for the Downeast inverted trough late Wednesday too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Oh boy oh boy oh boy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Euro is nice for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 24 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: RPM is juicy as a mofo Can a brother see it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: Can a brother see it? $5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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